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Offside.win Europa League SK Sturm Graz v NK Celje

SK Sturm Graz v NK Celje

Europa League, League phase, Matchday 4. Kick-off Thursday 5 November, 20:00 UK time, at Merkur Arena, Graz.

Our call

We looked at this match and did not find a call worth making. That can change as team news comes in: calls are looked at again every fifteen minutes until kick-off, so one can change or come down, and each closes when the match starts. the bet slip stays exactly as posted.

Passing on SK Sturm Graz v NK Celje. The likely outcome is priced too short to be worth taking, and nothing else is sure enough to call.

Preview

This one tilts toward Sturm Graz because the underlying numbers tell a clear story. Sturm Graz create the better chances nearly every week, thriving even when surrendering possession, and they have driven up their chance creation across their last four outings while dominating their recent home fixtures. Celje simply cannot match that output, having been out-created in most of their recent matches and three of their last five outings. Celje are missing a big chunk of their goals alongside a key midfielder, and Sturm Graz will control the flow despite missing a defender and their main scorer. Sturm Graz win this because they carve open opponents consistently while Celje struggle to generate enough threat at the other end.

Form

The table

SK Sturm Graz are 19th and NK Celje 29th.

Expected line-ups

SK Sturm Graz: Ammar Helac, Luís Balbo, Joshua Quarshie, Paul Koller, Arjan Malić, Luca Weinhandl, Jon Gorenc Stanković, Valmir Matoshi, Simon Seidl, Oumar Diakité, Gizo Mamageishvili.

NK Celje: Žan-Luk Leban, Leonardo Koutris, Artemijus Tutyškinas, Łukasz Bejger, Pijus Širvys, Svit Sešlar, Mark Zabukovnik, Mario Kvesić, Yaya Dukuly, Blaž Kramer, Milot Avdyli.

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