{"id":7330,"league_id":9,"league":"Brasileirão Serie A","kickoff":1793917800,"home":"Palmeiras","away":"Remo","home_id":162,"away_id":372,"venue_id":159,"rank":4,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.666,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.87,0.67],"flags":[{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"Palmeiras have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.3, and 2.00 a game at home."},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","note":"Since opening, AWAY has drifted 12.0% since the market opened."}],"lambda_home":1.865178201164013,"lambda_away":0.6682469891915878,"corner_rate":12.04,"card_rate":0.244,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.795,"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":24,"name":"Carlos Miguel","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.866},{"id":28,"name":"Joaquín Piquerez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.759},{"id":3876,"name":"Alexander Barboza","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.88},{"id":26,"name":"Gustavo Gómez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.76},{"id":3622,"name":"Agustín Giay","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.781},{"id":30,"name":"Andreas Pereira","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.671},{"id":4613,"name":"Lucas Evangelista","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.878},{"id":1154,"name":"Marlon Freitas","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.793},{"id":27,"name":"Murilo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.75},{"id":34,"name":"José Manuel López","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.791},{"id":530,"name":"Jhon Arias","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.764},{"id":35,"name":"Bruno Fuchs","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.41},{"id":33,"name":"Vitor Roque","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.405},{"id":42,"name":"Mauricio","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.402},{"id":4937,"name":"Arthur Gabriel","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.369},{"id":37,"name":"Ramón Sosa","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.363},{"id":25,"name":"Khellven","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.322},{"id":3624,"name":"Felipe Anderson","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.273},{"id":43,"name":"Larson","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.249},{"id":29,"name":"Emiliano Martínez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.247},{"id":4491,"name":"Luis Pacheco","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05},{"id":40,"name":"Marcelo Lomba","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05},{"id":38,"name":"Luis Benedetti","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.044}],"confidence":0.9},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":12221,"name":"Marcelo Rangel","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.819},{"id":17535,"name":"Marlon Lopes","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.807},{"id":85,"name":"Marllon","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.817},{"id":210,"name":"Zé Ivaldo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.581},{"id":12225,"name":"Marcelinho","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.735},{"id":12229,"name":"Zé Ricardo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.666},{"id":4962,"name":"Zé Welison","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.63},{"id":12231,"name":"Jajá","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.464},{"id":12226,"name":"Vitor Bueno","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.415},{"id":80,"name":"Antonio Galeano","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.661},{"id":193,"name":"Gabriel Taliari","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.72},{"id":12329,"name":"Patrick","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.625},{"id":12224,"name":"Leonel Picco","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.578},{"id":4725,"name":"Duplexe Tchamba","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.568},{"id":12345,"name":"Eduardo Melo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.329},{"id":18196,"name":"David Braga","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.325},{"id":3938,"name":"Ivan","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.308},{"id":12227,"name":"Alef Manga","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.266},{"id":129,"name":"Matheus Alexandre","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.209},{"id":20550,"name":"Mayk","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.208},{"id":58948,"name":"Tico","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.206},{"id":63352,"name":"Edson Fernando","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.159},{"id":12288,"name":"Ygor Vinhas","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.045}],"confidence":0.795},"unavailable":[{"id":36,"name":"Jefté","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Meniscus Injury"},{"id":5053,"name":"Paulinho","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Calf Injury"},{"id":13703,"name":"Gabriel Poveda","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Thigh Injury"},{"id":12330,"name":"Jáderson","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Thigh Injury"},{"id":628,"name":"João Lucas","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Meniscus Injury"},{"id":77415,"name":"Matheus Felipe","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Thigh Injury"},{"id":244,"name":"Yago Pikachu","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Thigh Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":24,"name":"Carlos Miguel","side":"home"},{"id":28,"name":"Joaquín Piquerez","side":"home"},{"id":3876,"name":"Alexander Barboza","side":"home"},{"id":26,"name":"Gustavo Gómez","side":"home"},{"id":3622,"name":"Agustín Giay","side":"home"},{"id":30,"name":"Andreas Pereira","side":"home"},{"id":4613,"name":"Lucas Evangelista","side":"home"},{"id":1154,"name":"Marlon Freitas","side":"home"},{"id":27,"name":"Murilo","side":"home"},{"id":34,"name":"José Manuel López","side":"home"},{"id":530,"name":"Jhon Arias","side":"home"},{"id":35,"name":"Bruno Fuchs","side":"home"},{"id":33,"name":"Vitor Roque","side":"home"},{"id":42,"name":"Mauricio","side":"home"},{"id":4937,"name":"Arthur Gabriel","side":"home"},{"id":37,"name":"Ramón Sosa","side":"home"},{"id":25,"name":"Khellven","side":"home"},{"id":3624,"name":"Felipe Anderson","side":"home"},{"id":43,"name":"Larson","side":"home"},{"id":29,"name":"Emiliano Martínez","side":"home"},{"id":4491,"name":"Luis Pacheco","side":"home"},{"id":40,"name":"Marcelo Lomba","side":"home"},{"id":38,"name":"Luis Benedetti","side":"home"},{"id":36,"name":"Jefté","side":"home"},{"id":52628,"name":"Zié Koné","side":"home"},{"id":206914,"name":"André Lucas","side":"home"},{"id":5053,"name":"Paulinho","side":"home"},{"id":76827,"name":"Miguel Cinoncelli Bilong","side":"home"},{"id":4492,"name":"Heittor","side":"home"},{"id":18154,"name":"Bruno Bertinato","side":"home"},{"id":59259,"name":"Fabiano Rodrigues Pereira","side":"home"},{"id":44,"name":"Erick Belé","side":"home"},{"id":5003,"name":"Rafael Coutinho","side":"home"},{"id":31,"name":"Allan","side":"home"},{"id":12221,"name":"Marcelo Rangel","side":"away"},{"id":17535,"name":"Marlon Lopes","side":"away"},{"id":85,"name":"Marllon","side":"away"},{"id":210,"name":"Zé Ivaldo","side":"away"},{"id":12225,"name":"Marcelinho","side":"away"},{"id":12229,"name":"Zé Ricardo","side":"away"},{"id":4962,"name":"Zé Welison","side":"away"},{"id":12231,"name":"Jajá","side":"away"},{"id":12226,"name":"Vitor Bueno","side":"away"},{"id":80,"name":"Antonio Galeano","side":"away"},{"id":193,"name":"Gabriel Taliari","side":"away"},{"id":12329,"name":"Patrick","side":"away"},{"id":12224,"name":"Leonel Picco","side":"away"},{"id":4725,"name":"Duplexe Tchamba","side":"away"},{"id":12345,"name":"Eduardo Melo","side":"away"},{"id":18196,"name":"David Braga","side":"away"},{"id":3938,"name":"Ivan","side":"away"},{"id":12227,"name":"Alef Manga","side":"away"},{"id":129,"name":"Matheus Alexandre","side":"away"},{"id":20550,"name":"Mayk","side":"away"},{"id":58948,"name":"Tico","side":"away"},{"id":63352,"name":"Edson Fernando","side":"away"},{"id":12288,"name":"Ygor Vinhas","side":"away"},{"id":628,"name":"João Lucas","side":"away"},{"id":77415,"name":"Matheus Felipe","side":"away"},{"id":12222,"name":"Léo","side":"away"},{"id":59300,"name":"Leo Andrade","side":"away"},{"id":21311,"name":"Cristian Gonzalez","side":"away"},{"id":13703,"name":"Gabriel Poveda","side":"away"},{"id":217165,"name":"Andres Gonzalez","side":"away"},{"id":12330,"name":"Jáderson","side":"away"},{"id":244,"name":"Yago Pikachu","side":"away"},{"id":12234,"name":"Franco Catarozzi","side":"away"},{"id":25476,"name":"Edson Kauã","side":"away"},{"id":12228,"name":"João Pedro Silva","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":5053,"name":"Paulinho","side":"home","team":"Palmeiras","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"out","reason":"Calf Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-05","season":{"apps":11,"starts":1,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":52,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Chapecoense","kickoff":1780254000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.023,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":36,"name":"Jefté","side":"home","team":"Palmeiras","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"LB","status":"out","reason":"Meniscus Injury","expected_return":"2026-12-20","season":{"apps":11,"starts":3,"goals":0,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":52,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Flamengo","kickoff":1779580800,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.008,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":34,"name":"José Manuel López","side":"home","team":"Palmeiras","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":48,"starts":39,"goals":17,"assists":10,"big_chances":7,"clean_sheets":28,"team_games":52,"tracked_apps":48,"tracked_starts":39},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":2,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Vasco da Gama","kickoff":1787511600,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"4-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","chance_creator"],"importance":0.307,"country":{"team":"Argentina","apps":6,"goals":1,"assists":1,"tournament":{"name":"World Cup 2026","apps":2,"goals":0,"assists":1,"ended":1783818000},"lately":null},"load":{"games":3,"minutes":195,"country":0}},{"id":244,"name":"Yago Pikachu","side":"away","team":"Remo","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"RW","status":"out","reason":"Thigh Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":{"apps":34,"starts":23,"goals":4,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":10,"team_games":37,"tracked_apps":34,"tracked_starts":23},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Bahia","kickoff":1776895200,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.123,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":13703,"name":"Gabriel Poveda","side":"away","team":"Remo","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"out","reason":"Thigh Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":{"apps":15,"starts":0,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":37,"tracked_apps":15,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":12330,"name":"Jáderson","side":"away","team":"Remo","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Thigh Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":{"apps":14,"starts":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":37,"tracked_apps":14,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.001,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":628,"name":"João Lucas","side":"away","team":"Remo","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"RB","status":"out","reason":"Meniscus Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":{"apps":6,"starts":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":5,"team_games":37,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.011,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":77415,"name":"Matheus Felipe","side":"away","team":"Remo","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"out","reason":"Thigh Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-20","season":{"apps":5,"starts":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":37,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.011,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":12231,"name":"Jajá","side":"away","team":"Remo","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":31,"starts":20,"goals":9,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":9,"team_games":37,"tracked_apps":31,"tracked_starts":20},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Red Bull Bragantino","kickoff":1792362600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.214,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":170,"country":0}},{"id":193,"name":"Gabriel Taliari","side":"away","team":"Remo","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":23,"starts":17,"goals":4,"assists":2,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":7,"team_games":37,"tracked_apps":23,"tracked_starts":17},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":2,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Bahia","kickoff":1774206000,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"4-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.127,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":162,"away":372},"split":{"home":{"above":null,"below":{"w":6,"d":4,"l":0}},"away":{"above":{"w":1,"d":3,"l":6},"below":null}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":162,"name":"Abel Ferreira","vs":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1778445600,"score":"1-1","result":"D"}}},"away":{"id":120,"name":"Thiago Carpini","vs":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":2,"last":{"kickoff":1758412800,"score":"1-4","result":"L"}}}},"best_xi":[{"id":3876,"name":"Alexander Barboza","team_id":162,"position":"D","matches":11,"goals":1,"assists":1}],"players":{"34":{"caps":19,"goals":1,"country":"Argentina","signed":null},"36":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Rangers","fee":6000000,"at":1755648000}},"3876":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Botafogo","fee":3400000,"at":1782864000}},"5053":{"caps":1,"goals":0,"country":"Brazil U23","signed":null}}},"notable":[{"id":12246,"name":"Kevin Viveros","goals":20,"rank":1},{"id":4450,"name":"Pedro Guilherme","goals":20,"rank":2},{"id":1869,"name":"Gabriel Barbosa","goals":15,"rank":3},{"id":3813,"name":"Kaio Jorge","goals":12,"rank":4},{"id":56,"name":"Samuel Lino","goals":12,"rank":5},{"id":3621,"name":"Carlos Vinícius","goals":11,"rank":6},{"id":97,"name":"Luciano Juba","goals":11,"rank":7},{"id":3877,"name":"Danilo Santos","goals":10,"rank":8},{"id":5127,"name":"Jonathan Calleri","goals":10,"rank":9},{"id":17270,"name":"Renê Sousa","goals":10,"rank":10},{"id":12231,"name":"Jajá","goals":9,"rank":11},{"id":651,"name":"John Kennedy","goals":9,"rank":12},{"id":34,"name":"José Manuel López","goals":9,"rank":13},{"id":147,"name":"Luciano","goals":9,"rank":14},{"id":1867,"name":"Matheus Pereira","goals":9,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 34","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":1,"home_wins":0,"draws":1,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"avg_total_goals":2,"home_win_rate":0,"away_win_rate":0,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Palmeiras","date":"2026-05-10T20:40:00+00:00","home":"Remo","score":"1-1","event_id":7141,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":162,"home_team_id":372}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":162,"position":2,"played":33,"points":70,"goal_diff":34,"team_name":"Palmeiras","won":20,"drawn":10,"lost":3,"goals_for":56,"goals_against":22,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":372,"position":19,"played":33,"points":29,"goal_diff":-15,"team_name":"Remo","won":6,"drawn":11,"lost":16,"goals_for":36,"goals_against":51,"group":null},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.17,"record":"4-1-1","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":0.33,"clean_sheets":4,"streak":"none","sequence":"WWLWDW","venue_ppg":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"1-3-2","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":1,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"LDDDLW","venue_ppg":0.5}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Palmeiras are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0.041,"combined_importance":0.031,"players":[{"player":"Paulinho","role":"ATT","reason":"Calf Injury","goal_share":0.041,"importance":0.023,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5},{"player":"Jefté","role":"DEF","reason":"Meniscus Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.008,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":11}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-0.2},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Remo are without 5 players, and Yago Pikachu is a real loss.","evidence":{"count":5,"measured":5,"combined_goal_share":0.088,"combined_importance":0.146,"players":[{"player":"Yago Pikachu","role":"MID","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0.088,"importance":0.123,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":11},{"player":"João Lucas","role":"DEF","reason":"Meniscus Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.011,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10},{"player":"Matheus Felipe","role":"DEF","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.011,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10},{"player":"Jáderson","role":"MID","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.001,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":11},{"player":"Gabriel Poveda","role":"ATT","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5}]},"strength":0.365,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.6},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.4},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.3},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.4}]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.795,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.205,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Palmeiras are safely mid-table; Remo are fighting relegation, with 4 games remaining.","evidence":{"games_left":4,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":2,"points":70,"games_left":4,"gap_to_leader":6,"gap_to_safety":33,"gap_to_europe":-17},"away":{"state":"relegation_fight","position":19,"points":29,"games_left":4,"gap_to_leader":47,"gap_to_safety":-8,"gap_to_europe":24},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0.4,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":2.1}]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 1-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Abel Ferreira has 44 matches in charge at Palmeiras, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Abel Ferreira","matches_in_charge":44,"tenure_days":217,"ppm":2,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":2.5,"after_ppm":2.2,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Thiago Carpini is 7 games into the job at Remo, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Thiago Carpini","matches_in_charge":7,"tenure_days":93,"ppm":0.86,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.7,"after_ppm":0.4,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Palmeiras come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":4.145833333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":4.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Remo come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.916666666666667,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.157,"defence":0.283,"effective_matches":17.7,"shrunk":0.31},"away":{"attack":-0.183,"defence":-0.056,"effective_matches":15.1,"shrunk":0.35}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Remo work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":50.2,"shots":18.3,"xg_per_shot":0.107,"corners":5.9,"corners_per_shot":0.324,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.54},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":45.9,"shots":14.8,"xg_per_shot":0.064,"corners":6.4,"corners_per_shot":0.435,"finishing_vs_xg":0.06},"possession_gap":4.3},"strength":0.17,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Palmeiras have scored 6 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.54,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Remo are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.06,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"283 yellow cards in this referee's last 60 games, where 282 would be usual in this league, and 13 reds.","evidence":{"matches":60,"yellows_per_match":4.72,"reds_per_match":0.217,"league_yellows_per_match":4.69,"league_reds_per_match":0.288,"yellow_ratio":1.01,"red_ratio":0.75},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":12.7,"temperature_c":25,"description":"cloudy"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.32999098983606523},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6846,"created_at":"2026-10-30T02:15:13Z","event":{"id":7330,"event_date":"2026-11-05T22:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":162,"home_team":"Palmeiras","away_team_id":372,"away_team":"Remo","league_id":9,"league_name":"Brasileirão Serie A"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":76.9,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.7688,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":7330,"event_date":"2026-11-05T22:30:00Z","home_team":"Palmeiras","away_team":"Remo","polymarket_event_id":"1242915","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":null,"liquidity_clob":null,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":null,"best_ask":null,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":null,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":[{"price":0,"player":"Lucas Villalba"},{"price":0,"player":"Zé Lucas"},{"price":0,"player":"Jonathan"},{"price":0,"player":"Keny Arroyo"},{"price":0,"player":"Kaio Jorge"},{"price":1,"player":"Fabrício Bruno"},{"price":0,"player":"William"},{"price":0,"player":"Gerson"},{"price":0,"player":"Matheus Pereira"},{"price":0,"player":"Lucas Romero"},{"price":0,"player":"Patrick Bezerra"},{"price":0,"player":"Zé Ivaldo"},{"price":0,"player":"Marlon"},{"price":0,"player":"Antonio Galeano"},{"price":0,"player":"Marcelinho"},{"price":0,"player":"Zé Ricardo"},{"price":0,"player":"Jajá"},{"price":0,"player":"Marllon"},{"price":0,"player":"Eduardo Melo"},{"price":0,"player":"Zé Welison"}],"exact_scores":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-05T09:57:20Z"}},"computed_at":1793887467,"verdicts":[{"narrative":"Palmeiras will dominate this match from start to finish. While they fight for the title, their football is even better than their results suggest. They have manufactured superior scoring opportunities in eight of their last ten outings. They stay tight at the back, recording four clean sheets in six, which makes life difficult for a struggling Remo side. The visitors sit in the bottom three and consistently allow opponents to create more dangerous openings, especially when traveling. Losing Yago Pikachu removes their primary threat. He provided four goals this season, and without his movement, Remo will struggle to test the home defense. Palmeiras control the territory, and their superior creativity will decide it.","drivers":[{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Remo are without 5 players, and Yago Pikachu is a real loss.","evidence":{"count":5,"measured":5,"combined_goal_share":0.088,"combined_importance":0.146,"players":[{"player":"Yago Pikachu","role":"MID","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0.088,"importance":0.123,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":11},{"player":"João Lucas","role":"DEF","reason":"Meniscus Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.011,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10},{"player":"Matheus Felipe","role":"DEF","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.011,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10},{"player":"Jáderson","role":"MID","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.001,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":11},{"player":"Gabriel Poveda","role":"ATT","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5}]},"strength":0.365,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.6},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.4},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.3},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.4}]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Palmeiras are safely mid-table; Remo are fighting relegation, with 4 games remaining.","evidence":{"games_left":4,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":2,"points":70,"games_left":4,"gap_to_leader":6,"gap_to_safety":33,"gap_to_europe":-17},"away":{"state":"relegation_fight","position":19,"points":29,"games_left":4,"gap_to_leader":47,"gap_to_safety":-8,"gap_to_europe":24},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0.4,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":2.1}]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Remo work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":50.2,"shots":18.3,"xg_per_shot":0.107,"corners":5.9,"corners_per_shot":0.324,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.54},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":45.9,"shots":14.8,"xg_per_shot":0.064,"corners":6.4,"corners_per_shot":0.435,"finishing_vs_xg":0.06},"possession_gap":4.3},"strength":0.17,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-3}]}],"set_aside":[{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Thiago Carpini is 7 games into the job at Remo, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Thiago Carpini","matches_in_charge":7,"tenure_days":93,"ppm":0.86,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.7,"after_ppm":0.4,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]}]}],"locked":true,"plan":"monthly","locked_calls":1,"colors":{"home":null,"away":null},"venue":{"name":"Nubank Parque","city":"Sao Paulo","capacity":43713},"pulled":[],"published":[]}