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The table-toppers regularly dominate possession and translate that into dangerous opportunities. Grêmio face a massive challenge because they will be missing the striker responsible for a large portion of their scoring output. Without their primary creator who leads the squad in assists, the visitors lack the invention to trouble the home side. Flamengo are on a strong run of form, winning four of their last six. While missing key playmakers, their ability to sustain pressure remains superior. Possession will be the difference, allowing the hosts to break down a depleted defense and clinch the result.","why":"Flamengo win, at odds of 1.18. The hosts consistently manufacture scoring chances while Grêmio have lost their main threat and their best provider, leaving them toothless. Because Flamengo control the ball for long stretches, they will dictate the pace and overwhelm the visitors. This outcome only fails if the home side proves unable to finish the high volume of chances they create while playing without their own creative midfielders.","result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":"as we read it","expected_total":3.08,"actual_total":4,"market":"held","opening_odds":1.2,"closing_odds":1.18,"line":"The game went almost exactly as we read it.","decided":[]}}]}