{"id":7324,"league_id":9,"league":"Brasileirão Serie A","kickoff":1793831400,"home":"Athletico","away":"Vasco da Gama","home_id":371,"away_id":164,"venue_id":351,"rank":4,"status":"finished","provisional":false,"lineup_status":"confirmed","confidence":0.794,"score":[1,3],"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.65,1.14],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.47700376812510165,"DRAW":0.2573937719361761,"AWAY":0.26560245993872245},"read":{"text":"Athletico to edge it","side":"home"},"top_pick":null,"pass":"Athletico v Vasco da Gama is one to leave alone. The likely outcome is priced too short to be worth taking, and nothing else is sure enough to call.","confident":[],"flags":[{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Vasco da Gama have made four changes from the side expected, with Cuiabano, Alan Saldivia and Puma Rodríguez out of the eleven."}],"lambda_home":1.645234633541987,"lambda_away":1.1417976933453693,"corner_rate":10.14,"card_rate":0.181,"lineups":{"status":"confirmed","confidence":null,"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":12252,"name":"Mycael","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":12240,"name":"Arthur Dias","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":12239,"name":"Juan Felipe Aguirre","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":12243,"name":"Lucas Esquivel","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":110,"name":"Gilberto","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":189,"name":"Jádson","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":144,"name":"Luiz Gustavo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":12244,"name":"Steven Mendoza","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":12251,"name":"Leozinho","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":12249,"name":"João Cruz","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":12246,"name":"Kevin Viveros","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":653,"name":"Léo Jardim","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":654,"name":"Paulo Henrique","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":3559,"name":"Gabriel Pereira","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":656,"name":"Robert Renan","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":657,"name":"Lucas Piton","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":659,"name":"Thiago Mendes","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":22744,"name":"Santiago Sosa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":662,"name":"Andrés Gómez","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":20155,"name":"Alan Lescano","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":23008,"name":"Facundo Colidio","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":9167,"name":"Brenner","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"unavailable":[{"id":9808,"name":"Carlos Terán","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"club_decision"},{"id":13698,"name":"Claudinho","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury"},{"id":655,"name":"Carlos Cuesta","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Hip Injury"},{"id":12279,"name":"Marino Hinestroza","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"rested"},{"id":672,"name":"Mateus Carvalho","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":12252,"name":"Mycael","side":"home"},{"id":12240,"name":"Arthur Dias","side":"home"},{"id":12239,"name":"Juan Felipe Aguirre","side":"home"},{"id":12243,"name":"Lucas Esquivel","side":"home"},{"id":110,"name":"Gilberto","side":"home"},{"id":189,"name":"Jádson","side":"home"},{"id":144,"name":"Luiz Gustavo","side":"home"},{"id":12244,"name":"Steven Mendoza","side":"home"},{"id":12251,"name":"Leozinho","side":"home"},{"id":12249,"name":"João Cruz","side":"home"},{"id":12246,"name":"Kevin Viveros","side":"home"},{"id":221446,"name":"João Vitor da Silva Santos","side":"home"},{"id":221449,"name":"Daniel Oliveira","side":"home"},{"id":221445,"name":"Francisco Botelho de Carvalho Neto","side":"home"},{"id":221448,"name":"Kauan Gabriel Fagundes Andronico","side":"home"},{"id":221447,"name":"Ryan Lucas de Souza","side":"home"},{"id":4489,"name":"Gilberto Junior","side":"home"},{"id":212417,"name":"Enzo Bernardo Freitas de Souza","side":"home"},{"id":213179,"name":"Fábio Lucas Ferreira Dos Santos","side":"home"},{"id":12254,"name":"Léo","side":"home"},{"id":221422,"name":"Murilo Camargo","side":"home"},{"id":221424,"name":"Gustavo Veiga","side":"home"},{"id":12253,"name":"Leonardo Derik","side":"home"},{"id":221423,"name":"Marcos Pesseti","side":"home"},{"id":221433,"name":"Kauan Felipe Klisman Rocha","side":"home"},{"id":221439,"name":"Kauã Enzo De Sousa Oliveira","side":"home"},{"id":221427,"name":"João Vigolo Gomes","side":"home"},{"id":35157,"name":"Alemão","side":"home"},{"id":221430,"name":"Rair Barbosa Santos","side":"home"},{"id":9808,"name":"Carlos Terán","side":"home"},{"id":17567,"name":"Dantas","side":"home"},{"id":13698,"name":"Claudinho","side":"home"},{"id":12241,"name":"Gastón Benavídez","side":"home"},{"id":53405,"name":"Vitinho","side":"home"},{"id":53406,"name":"Arthur Rodrigues Monteiro","side":"home"},{"id":17335,"name":"Bruno Baldini","side":"home"},{"id":221431,"name":"Arthur Garcia Braga","side":"home"},{"id":221440,"name":"Breno Falchi  Da Paixão","side":"home"},{"id":221428,"name":"Bruno Gabriel Pereira De Souza","side":"home"},{"id":221436,"name":"Esmael Santos Pimentel Junior","side":"home"},{"id":221432,"name":"Gabriel Vitor Carmo dos Santos","side":"home"},{"id":221425,"name":"Guilherme da Silva Gonçalves","side":"home"},{"id":221421,"name":"Guilherme Gama","side":"home"},{"id":221426,"name":"Jaison Gabriel De Ramos","side":"home"},{"id":221437,"name":"Lucas Eduardo Barato Bernardi","side":"home"},{"id":221438,"name":"Rayhan Andraus","side":"home"},{"id":221434,"name":"Thomas Haislan Santarosa Pereira","side":"home"},{"id":221435,"name":"Victor da Silva Pereira","side":"home"},{"id":221429,"name":"Victor Hugo Cardoso","side":"home"},{"id":221391,"name":"Marcelo Gabriel Leal Souza \"Búfalo\"","side":"home"},{"id":221386,"name":"Lucas Guimarães Amorim","side":"home"},{"id":221392,"name":"Lucas Lima Araujo","side":"home"},{"id":221385,"name":"Willian Bispo","side":"home"},{"id":221394,"name":"Matheus Henrique Marcelino Gonzaga","side":"home"},{"id":221384,"name":"Davi Alves Costa Oliveira","side":"home"},{"id":221395,"name":"Guilherme Simões","side":"home"},{"id":221393,"name":"João Roberto Monteiro Siqueira","side":"home"},{"id":213177,"name":"Bryan Sant Ana","side":"home"},{"id":212419,"name":"Kauê Sestrem","side":"home"},{"id":221388,"name":"Rhichey Filho","side":"home"},{"id":208599,"name":"Daniel Troiano","side":"home"},{"id":67371,"name":"Jorge Rivaldo","side":"home"},{"id":221387,"name":"Juliano Santini","side":"home"},{"id":221389,"name":"Emanuel Ribeiro da Silva","side":"home"},{"id":35287,"name":"Renan Viana","side":"home"},{"id":13688,"name":"Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno","side":"home"},{"id":96383,"name":"Nicolas Azambuja","side":"home"},{"id":221398,"name":"Arthur Antunes Bolis","side":"home"},{"id":221390,"name":"Gabriel Fernandes Fraga","side":"home"},{"id":221397,"name":"Leonardo Pedro Bom","side":"home"},{"id":221396,"name":"Victor Hugo Ferreira da Silva","side":"home"},{"id":221441,"name":"Arthur Strieder Sehn","side":"home"},{"id":221444,"name":"Bernardo Teixeira Souza Saramento","side":"home"},{"id":96410,"name":"Carlos Eduardo Souza de Barros","side":"home"},{"id":12238,"name":"Santos","side":"home"},{"id":12340,"name":"Matheus Soares","side":"home"},{"id":67383,"name":"Maksym Voronov","side":"home"},{"id":212418,"name":"João Pedro de Borba Rodrigues","side":"home"},{"id":221443,"name":"Joaquim Shneider Maia","side":"home"},{"id":221442,"name":"Pedro Henrique De Souza Lopes","side":"home"},{"id":221417,"name":"Eduardo Sardi","side":"home"},{"id":12255,"name":"Felipinho","side":"home"},{"id":221407,"name":"Gabriel Feitosa","side":"home"},{"id":221408,"name":"Gustavo Henrique Rodrigues Afonso","side":"home"},{"id":221410,"name":"Ruan Felipe Bayer De Souza","side":"home"},{"id":221411,"name":"Vitor Gabriel dos Santos Lima \"Vitinho\"","side":"home"},{"id":221416,"name":"Wellington dos Santos","side":"home"},{"id":221403,"name":"Guilherme Back","side":"home"},{"id":12245,"name":"Bruno Zapelli","side":"home"},{"id":221400,"name":"Bryan Arantes Lima","side":"home"},{"id":221404,"name":"Italo Dos Santos","side":"home"},{"id":213178,"name":"Kauan Augusto Stabelini","side":"home"},{"id":221399,"name":"Gustavo Rodrigues Gomes","side":"home"},{"id":35289,"name":"Alejandro García","side":"home"},{"id":221409,"name":"Benjamin Joaquín Brito","side":"home"},{"id":9245,"name":"Kerwin Vargas","side":"home"},{"id":221402,"name":"Lucas Marezi","side":"home"},{"id":221413,"name":"Davi Lucas Roza","side":"home"},{"id":12242,"name":"Juan Portilla","side":"home"},{"id":219526,"name":"Leonardo Cerci Elias","side":"home"},{"id":12247,"name":"Chiqueti","side":"home"},{"id":12250,"name":"Dudu","side":"home"},{"id":12277,"name":"Diogo Riquelme","side":"home"},{"id":100029,"name":"Kayke Ayrton","side":"home"},{"id":221415,"name":"Adriano Oliveira Farias","side":"home"},{"id":212414,"name":"Caio Mozart Martins Varanda","side":"home"},{"id":221419,"name":"Flávio Alexandre José da Silva Santana","side":"home"},{"id":221412,"name":"Guilherme de Oliveira Alves","side":"home"},{"id":221405,"name":"Gustavo Sousa Guedes","side":"home"},{"id":221406,"name":"Henrique Moritz","side":"home"},{"id":221401,"name":"José Henrique Soares Gomes","side":"home"},{"id":221418,"name":"Kaike da  Silva Pereira","side":"home"},{"id":221420,"name":"Kauan A Stabelini","side":"home"},{"id":221414,"name":"Max Alberto Martins Da Silva Junior","side":"home"},{"id":212415,"name":"Pedro Wisniewski Carraro","side":"home"},{"id":12248,"name":"Julimar","side":"home"},{"id":653,"name":"Léo Jardim","side":"away"},{"id":654,"name":"Paulo Henrique","side":"away"},{"id":3559,"name":"Gabriel Pereira","side":"away"},{"id":656,"name":"Robert Renan","side":"away"},{"id":657,"name":"Lucas Piton","side":"away"},{"id":659,"name":"Thiago Mendes","side":"away"},{"id":22744,"name":"Santiago Sosa","side":"away"},{"id":662,"name":"Andrés Gómez","side":"away"},{"id":20155,"name":"Alan Lescano","side":"away"},{"id":23008,"name":"Facundo Colidio","side":"away"},{"id":9167,"name":"Brenner","side":"away"},{"id":664,"name":"Puma Rodríguez","side":"away"},{"id":12281,"name":"Alan Saldivia","side":"away"},{"id":11147,"name":"Riquelme","side":"away"},{"id":17490,"name":"Paulinho","side":"away"},{"id":669,"name":"Lucas Freitas","side":"away"},{"id":655,"name":"Carlos Cuesta","side":"away"},{"id":22747,"name":"Alison De Nardi Araujo","side":"away"},{"id":13685,"name":"Walace Falcão","side":"away"},{"id":1152,"name":"Cuiabano","side":"away"},{"id":22751,"name":"Bruno André","side":"away"},{"id":5110,"name":"Riquelme Avellar","side":"away"},{"id":5032,"name":"Breno Vereza da Silva","side":"away"},{"id":666,"name":"David","side":"away"},{"id":3063,"name":"Bruno Duarte","side":"away"},{"id":5042,"name":"Adson","side":"away"},{"id":52624,"name":"Bruno Lopes","side":"away"},{"id":12333,"name":"Andrey Fernandes","side":"away"},{"id":12280,"name":"Claudio Spinelli","side":"away"},{"id":668,"name":"Daniel Fuzato","side":"away"},{"id":4929,"name":"Pablo","side":"away"},{"id":5109,"name":"Phillipe Gabriel","side":"away"},{"id":665,"name":"Tchê Tchê","side":"away"},{"id":4755,"name":"Jair","side":"away"},{"id":10276,"name":"Johan Rojas","side":"away"},{"id":4591,"name":"Guilherme Estrella","side":"away"},{"id":660,"name":"Nuno Moreira","side":"away"},{"id":12279,"name":"Marino Hinestroza","side":"away"},{"id":4988,"name":"Loide Augusto","side":"away"},{"id":22748,"name":"Gustavo Guimarães Soares","side":"away"},{"id":12283,"name":"João Mutano","side":"away"},{"id":22750,"name":"Samuel Jesus","side":"away"},{"id":4590,"name":"Euder","side":"away"},{"id":49597,"name":"Ramon Rique","side":"away"},{"id":672,"name":"Mateus Carvalho","side":"away"},{"id":5096,"name":"Lukas Zuccarello","side":"away"},{"id":658,"name":"Cauan Barros","side":"away"},{"id":674,"name":"Hugo Moura","side":"away"},{"id":661,"name":"Philippe Coutinho","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":13698,"name":"Claudinho","side":"home","team":"Athletico","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"LB","status":"out","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":4,"goals":0,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Remo","kickoff":1779649200,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.016,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":9808,"name":"Carlos Terán","side":"home","team":"Athletico","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"out","reason":"club_decision","expected_return":"2026-12-02","season":{"apps":17,"starts":10,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":9,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":17,"tracked_starts":10},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.024,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":12246,"name":"Kevin Viveros","side":"home","team":"Athletico","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":34,"starts":34,"goals":20,"assists":4,"big_chances":3,"clean_sheets":20,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":34,"tracked_starts":34},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":1},"standout":{"opponent":"Botafogo","kickoff":1774823400,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"4-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","ever_present"],"importance":0.46,"country":{"team":"Colombia","apps":3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":{"games":2,"minutes":179,"country":0}},{"id":12251,"name":"Leozinho","side":"home","team":"Athletico","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":21,"starts":11,"goals":5,"assists":1,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":5,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":21,"tracked_starts":11},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"São Paulo","kickoff":1784766600,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"2-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["best_performer"],"importance":0.125,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":143,"country":0}},{"id":12249,"name":"João Cruz","side":"home","team":"Athletico","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"AM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":29,"starts":12,"goals":3,"assists":5,"big_chances":4,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":39,"tracked_apps":29,"tracked_starts":12},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Vitória","kickoff":1785801600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_creator","chance_creator"],"importance":0.114,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":151,"country":0}},{"id":12279,"name":"Marino Hinestroza","side":"away","team":"Vasco da Gama","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"RW","status":"out","reason":"rested","expected_return":"2026-11-05","season":{"apps":31,"starts":8,"goals":2,"assists":1,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":53,"tracked_apps":31,"tracked_starts":8},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Corinthians","kickoff":1792877400,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.041,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":127,"country":0}},{"id":655,"name":"Carlos Cuesta","side":"away","team":"Vasco da Gama","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"out","reason":"Hip Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-20","season":{"apps":27,"starts":26,"goals":1,"assists":2,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":12,"team_games":53,"tracked_apps":27,"tracked_starts":26},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Olimpia","kickoff":1779314400,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.06,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":672,"name":"Mateus Carvalho","side":"away","team":"Vasco da Gama","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-30","season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":662,"name":"Andrés Gómez","side":"away","team":"Vasco da Gama","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":40,"starts":34,"goals":7,"assists":5,"big_chances":3,"clean_sheets":22,"team_games":53,"tracked_apps":40,"tracked_starts":34},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":1},"standout":{"opponent":"Coritiba","kickoff":1789860600,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"5-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.157,"country":{"team":"Colombia","apps":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"tournament":{"name":"World Cup 2026","apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"ended":1781748000},"lately":null},"load":{"games":1,"minutes":37,"country":0}},{"id":23008,"name":"Facundo Colidio","side":"away","team":"Vasco da Gama","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":14,"starts":11,"goals":3,"assists":3,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":53,"tracked_apps":14,"tracked_starts":11},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Coritiba","kickoff":1789860600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"5-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["chance_creator"],"importance":0.077,"country":{"team":null,"apps":2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":{"games":3,"minutes":228,"country":0}},{"id":9167,"name":"Brenner","side":"away","team":"Vasco da Gama","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":30,"starts":10,"goals":4,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":53,"tracked_apps":30,"tracked_starts":10},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Fluminense","kickoff":1785976200,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.065,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":120,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":371,"away":164},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":2},"below":{"w":3,"d":3,"l":1}},"away":{"above":{"w":3,"d":0,"l":4},"below":{"w":2,"d":1,"l":0}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":43,"name":"Odair Hellmann","vs":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":1,"last":{"kickoff":1778455800,"score":"0-1","result":"L"}}},"away":{"id":290,"name":"Pedro Emanuel","vs":null}},"best_xi":[{"id":20155,"name":"Alan Lescano","team_id":164,"position":"M","matches":7,"goals":3,"assists":0}],"players":{"655":{"caps":42,"goals":0,"country":"Colombia","signed":null},"662":{"caps":20,"goals":1,"country":"Colombia","signed":{"from":"Stade Rennais","fee":4500000,"at":1768953600}},"9167":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Udinese","fee":5000000,"at":1769558400}},"12246":{"caps":3,"goals":0,"country":"Colombia","signed":null},"12279":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Atlético Nacional","fee":5200000,"at":1769472000}},"20155":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Argentinos Juniors","fee":6450000,"at":1788912000}},"23008":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"River Plate","fee":3900000,"at":1786060800}}}},"notable":[{"id":12246,"name":"Kevin Viveros","goals":20,"rank":1},{"id":4450,"name":"Pedro Guilherme","goals":18,"rank":2},{"id":1869,"name":"Gabriel Barbosa","goals":15,"rank":3},{"id":3813,"name":"Kaio Jorge","goals":12,"rank":4},{"id":3621,"name":"Carlos Vinícius","goals":11,"rank":5},{"id":97,"name":"Luciano Juba","goals":11,"rank":6},{"id":56,"name":"Samuel Lino","goals":11,"rank":7},{"id":3877,"name":"Danilo Santos","goals":10,"rank":8},{"id":5127,"name":"Jonathan Calleri","goals":10,"rank":9},{"id":17270,"name":"Renê Sousa","goals":10,"rank":10},{"id":12231,"name":"Jajá","goals":9,"rank":11},{"id":651,"name":"John Kennedy","goals":9,"rank":12},{"id":34,"name":"José Manuel López","goals":9,"rank":13},{"id":147,"name":"Luciano","goals":9,"rank":14},{"id":1867,"name":"Matheus Pereira","goals":9,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 34","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":38,"home_wins":15,"draws":10,"away_wins":13,"home_goals":61,"away_goals":47,"avg_total_goals":2.8421052631578947,"home_win_rate":0.39473684210526316,"away_win_rate":0.34210526315789475,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Athletico","date":"2026-05-10T23:30:00+00:00","home":"Vasco da Gama","score":"1-0","event_id":7143,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":371,"home_team_id":164},{"away":"Vasco da Gama","date":"2024-09-12T00:30:00+00:00","home":"Athletico","score":"2-1","event_id":231758,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":164,"home_team_id":371},{"away":"Athletico","date":"2024-08-29T23:00:00+00:00","home":"Vasco da Gama","score":"2-1","event_id":231755,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":371,"home_team_id":164},{"away":"Athletico","date":"2024-08-27T00:00:00+00:00","home":"Vasco da Gama","score":"2-1","event_id":303426,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":371,"home_team_id":164},{"away":"Vasco da Gama","date":"2024-05-05T19:00:00+00:00","home":"Athletico","score":"1-0","event_id":303223,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":164,"home_team_id":371},{"away":"Vasco da Gama","date":"2023-11-25T22:30:00+00:00","home":"Athletico","score":"0-0","event_id":309049,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":164,"home_team_id":371},{"away":"Athletico","date":"2023-07-23T21:30:00+00:00","home":"Vasco da Gama","score":"0-2","event_id":308866,"away_score":2,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":371,"home_team_id":164},{"away":"Vasco da Gama","date":"2020-12-27T21:15:00+00:00","home":"Athletico","score":"3-0","event_id":321756,"away_score":0,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":164,"home_team_id":371},{"away":"Athletico","date":"2020-09-06T21:00:00+00:00","home":"Vasco da Gama","score":"1-0","event_id":321560,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":371,"home_team_id":164},{"away":"Athletico","date":"2019-09-22T19:00:00+00:00","home":"Vasco da Gama","score":"1-1","event_id":326442,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":371,"home_team_id":164}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":371,"position":5,"played":33,"points":54,"goal_diff":10,"team_name":"Athletico","won":15,"drawn":9,"lost":9,"goals_for":50,"goals_against":40,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":164,"position":14,"played":32,"points":38,"goal_diff":-9,"team_name":"Vasco da Gama","won":10,"drawn":8,"lost":14,"goals_for":40,"goals_against":49,"group":null},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.33,"record":"2-2-2","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"none","sequence":"WDWLDL","venue_ppg":1.33},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"2-0-4","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLLWLL","venue_ppg":1}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Athletico are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0.04,"players":[{"player":"Carlos Terán","role":"DEF","reason":"club_decision","goal_share":0,"importance":0.024,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":35},{"player":"Claudinho","role":"DEF","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.016,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":35}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.3},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.1}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vasco da Gama are without 3 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":3,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0.053,"combined_importance":0.101,"players":[{"player":"Carlos Cuesta","role":"DEF","reason":"Hip Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.06,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":15},{"player":"Marino Hinestroza","role":"MID","reason":"rested","goal_share":0.053,"importance":0.041,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":17},{"player":"Mateus Carvalho","role":"MID","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":17}]},"strength":0.253,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.5},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.6},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.2},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.4}]},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Vasco da Gama have made four changes from the side expected, with Cuiabano, Alan Saldivia and Puma Rodríguez out of the eleven.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":{"home":{"n":2,"out":["Chiqueti","Kerwin Vargas"],"in":["Leozinho","João Cruz"]},"away":{"n":4,"out":["Cuiabano","Alan Saldivia","Puma Rodríguez","Bruno Duarte"],"in":["Gabriel Pereira","Lucas Piton","Andrés Gómez","Brenner"]}}},"strength":0.8,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Athletico have taken 1.33 points a game from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5, and 1.33 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.33,"record":"2-2-2","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"none","sequence":"WDWLDL","venue_ppg":1.33},"strength":0.15,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vasco da Gama have taken 1.00 points a game from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8, and 1.00 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"2-0-4","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLLWLL","venue_ppg":1},"strength":0.233,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":4,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":5,"points":54,"games_left":4,"gap_to_leader":19,"gap_to_safety":17,"gap_to_europe":-1},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":14,"points":38,"games_left":4,"gap_to_leader":35,"gap_to_safety":1,"gap_to_europe":15},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 1-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":-1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Odair Hellmann has 32 matches in charge at Athletico, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Odair Hellmann","matches_in_charge":32,"tenure_days":221,"ppm":1.44,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":2.2,"after_ppm":1.2,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Pedro Emanuel has 28 matches in charge at Vasco da Gama, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Pedro Emanuel","matches_in_charge":28,"tenure_days":176,"ppm":1.57,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.8,"after_ppm":0.9,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Athletico come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":5.916666666666667,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":5.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vasco da Gama come in on 3 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":3.1458333333333335,"matchesIn7":2,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":3.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.097,"defence":0,"effective_matches":15.5,"shrunk":0.34},"away":{"attack":0.056,"defence":0.02,"effective_matches":17.2,"shrunk":0.32}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48.8,"shots":15.5,"xg_per_shot":0.094,"corners":6.4,"corners_per_shot":0.414,"finishing_vs_xg":0.38},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":53.8,"shots":15.8,"xg_per_shot":0.083,"corners":5.6,"corners_per_shot":0.354,"finishing_vs_xg":0.1},"possession_gap":-5.1},"strength":0.203,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Athletico have scored 5 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.38,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vasco da Gama are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.1,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"230 yellow cards in this referee's last 49 games, exactly what this league averages, and 10 reds.","evidence":{"matches":49,"yellows_per_match":4.69,"reds_per_match":0.204,"league_yellows_per_match":4.7,"league_reds_per_match":0.276,"yellow_ratio":1,"red_ratio":0.74},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.3364885259603612},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 9.0% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.09,"margin_pct":9,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The line has barely moved since it opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":0,"direction":null},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":0,"direction":null},{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":0,"direction":null}]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"The sharp reference book is not quoting this fixture.","evidence":{"entitled":true},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"HOME":0.4788,"DRAW":0.2689,"AWAY":0.2523},"book":{"HOME":0.477,"DRAW":0.2574,"AWAY":0.2656},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.96,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.4,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.09,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.477,"DRAW":0.2574,"AWAY":0.2656}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"12":0.7311,"1X":0.7477,"X2":0.5212},"book":{"12":0.7426,"1X":0.7344,"X2":0.523},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.286,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"1X":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"X2":{"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0512,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"12":0.7426,"1X":0.7344,"X2":0.523}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"HOME":0.6549,"AWAY":0.3451},"book":{"HOME":0.6423,"AWAY":0.3577},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0667,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6423,"AWAY":0.3577}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"yes":0.5616,"no":0.4384},"book":{"yes":0.5357,"no":0.4643},"best":{"yes":{"odds":1.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"no":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0714,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"yes":0.5357,"no":0.4643}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"over":0.9262,"under":0.0738},"book":{"over":0.9307,"under":0.0693},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.05,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":11,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0433,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.9307,"under":0.0693}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"over":0.7789,"under":0.2211},"book":{"over":0.7555,"under":0.2445},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.286,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":3.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0443,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.7555,"under":0.2445}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"over":0.5274,"under":0.4726},"book":{"over":0.5139,"under":0.4861},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.85,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":1.95,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0534,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.5139,"under":0.4861}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"over":0.3052,"under":0.6948},"book":{"over":0.2897,"under":0.7103},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":1.364,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0456,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2897,"under":0.7103}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.794,"model":{"over":0.4293,"under":0.5707},"book":{"over":0.4605,"under":0.5395},"best":{"over":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"under":{"odds":1.727,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.079,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.4605,"under":0.5395}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.5226,"DRAW":0.1064,"AWAY":0.371},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.556,"model":{"yes":0.1658,"no":0.8342},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"btts","outcome":"yes","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5616,"book_prob":0.5357,"edge":0.0259,"shrunk_edge":0.0219,"odds":1.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.75}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7789,"book_prob":0.7555,"edge":0.0235,"shrunk_edge":0.0198,"odds":1.286,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.286}],"kelly":0.0015,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":10.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5707,"book_prob":0.5395,"edge":0.0312,"shrunk_edge":0.0172,"odds":1.727,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.727}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"corners"},{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"over","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3052,"book_prob":0.2897,"edge":0.0155,"shrunk_edge":0.0131,"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.2}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"over","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5274,"book_prob":0.5139,"edge":0.0136,"shrunk_edge":0.0115,"odds":1.85,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.85}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7477,"book_prob":0.7344,"edge":0.0133,"shrunk_edge":0.0096,"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.3}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"result"},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6549,"book_prob":0.6423,"edge":0.0125,"shrunk_edge":0.0091,"odds":1.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.5}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"result"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"DRAW","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2689,"book_prob":0.2574,"edge":0.0115,"shrunk_edge":0.0083,"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.5}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"result"},{"market":"over_under_05","outcome":"under","line":0.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.0738,"book_prob":0.0693,"edge":0.0046,"shrunk_edge":0.0039,"odds":11,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":11}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4788,"book_prob":0.477,"edge":0.0018,"shrunk_edge":0.0013,"odds":1.96,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.96}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"result"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"X2","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5212,"book_prob":0.523,"edge":-0.0018,"shrunk_edge":-0.0013,"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.8}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"result"},{"market":"over_under_05","outcome":"over","line":0.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.9262,"book_prob":0.9307,"edge":-0.0046,"shrunk_edge":-0.0039,"odds":1.05,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.05}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"12","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7311,"book_prob":0.7426,"edge":-0.0115,"shrunk_edge":-0.0083,"odds":1.286,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.286}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"result"},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"AWAY","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3451,"book_prob":0.3577,"edge":-0.0125,"shrunk_edge":-0.0091,"odds":2.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.5}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"result"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"AWAY","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2523,"book_prob":0.2656,"edge":-0.0133,"shrunk_edge":-0.0096,"odds":3.4,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.4}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"result"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"under","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4726,"book_prob":0.4861,"edge":-0.0136,"shrunk_edge":-0.0115,"odds":1.95,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.95}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"under","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6948,"book_prob":0.7103,"edge":-0.0155,"shrunk_edge":-0.0131,"odds":1.364,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.364}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"over","line":10.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4293,"book_prob":0.4605,"edge":-0.0312,"shrunk_edge":-0.0172,"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"corners"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"under","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2211,"book_prob":0.2445,"edge":-0.0235,"shrunk_edge":-0.0198,"odds":3.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.75}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"no","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4384,"book_prob":0.4643,"edge":-0.0259,"shrunk_edge":-0.0219,"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.794,"family":"goals"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Vasco da Gama are in trouble, and not only on results. Vasco da Gama are trending down: their last four games have been their poorest for the chances they make and allow. And they shoot plenty but from poor positions: 17 on target from 80 shots in their last six. As for the other side, Athletico have failed to win three of their last ten games in which they made the better chances. Their football is better than their results. Until Vasco da Gama sort that out, they are there to be got at.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6812,"created_at":"2026-10-29T02:15:15Z","event":{"id":7324,"event_date":"2026-11-04T22:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":371,"home_team":"Athletico","away_team_id":164,"away_team":"Vasco da Gama","league_id":9,"league_name":"Brasileirão Serie A"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":46.8,"prob_draw":26.2,"prob_away":27,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.69,"away":1.07},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":74.5,"prob_over_25":51.3,"prob_over_35":29.7},"btts":{"prob_yes":53.3},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":70.4},"corners":{"prob_over_85":67.4,"prob_over_95":55.9,"prob_over_105":45.1}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":46.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4681,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793828151,"report":{"fetched_at":1793839012,"ht":[1,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"card","minute":1,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"Jádson","player_id":189,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"goal","minute":22,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"S. Mendoza","player_id":12244,"assist":"L. Gustavo","kind":"regular","score":[1,0]},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"J. Cruz","in_id":12249,"out":"S. Mendoza","out_id":12244},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"F. Colidio","in_id":23008,"out":"S. Sosa","out_id":22744},{"t":"sub","minute":46,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"B. Duarte","in_id":3063,"out":"Brenner","out_id":9167},{"t":"card","minute":55,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"A. Lescano","player_id":20155,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"goal","minute":61,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"J. F. Aguirre","player_id":12239,"assist":null,"kind":"ownGoal","score":[1,1]},{"t":"goal","minute":63,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"B. Duarte","player_id":3063,"assist":"P. Rodríguez","kind":"regular","score":[1,2]},{"t":"goal","minute":67,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"G. Pereira","player_id":3559,"assist":"F. Colidio","kind":"regular","score":[1,3]},{"t":"sub","minute":69,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"J. Portilla","in_id":12242,"out":"Jádson","out_id":189},{"t":"sub","minute":69,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"Leozinho","in_id":12251,"out":"J. F. Aguirre","out_id":12239},{"t":"sub","minute":75,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"R. Rique","in_id":49597,"out":"A. Lescano","out_id":20155},{"t":"sub","minute":75,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"Jair","in_id":4755,"out":"A. Gómez","out_id":662},{"t":"card","minute":77,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"K. Viveros","player_id":12246,"card":"red","reason":"Violent conduct"},{"t":"sub","minute":86,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"J. Rivaldo","in_id":67371,"out":"K. C. Vargas","out_id":9245},{"t":"sub","minute":87,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"Gilberto","in_id":110,"out":"G. Benavídez","out_id":12241},{"t":"sub","minute":89,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"P. Henrique","in_id":654,"out":"P. Rodríguez","out_id":664},{"t":"card","minute":90,"added":2,"side":"home","player":"Dantas","player_id":17567,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"card","minute":90,"added":4,"side":"home","player":"A. Dias","player_id":12240,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"}],"players":[{"id":3559,"team_id":164,"minutes":90,"rating":7.7,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":1152,"team_id":164,"minutes":90,"rating":7.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":659,"team_id":164,"minutes":90,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":656,"team_id":164,"minutes":90,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12281,"team_id":164,"minutes":90,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":653,"team_id":164,"minutes":90,"rating":6.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":3,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":664,"team_id":164,"minutes":89,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":662,"team_id":164,"minutes":75,"rating":6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":20155,"team_id":164,"minutes":75,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":9167,"team_id":164,"minutes":45,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":22744,"team_id":164,"minutes":45,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":3063,"team_id":164,"minutes":45,"rating":7.3,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":23008,"team_id":164,"minutes":45,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":49597,"team_id":164,"minutes":15,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":4755,"team_id":164,"minutes":15,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":654,"team_id":164,"minutes":1,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":666,"team_id":164,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":668,"team_id":164,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":657,"team_id":164,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":669,"team_id":164,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":660,"team_id":164,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":665,"team_id":164,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":5042,"team_id":164,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12252,"team_id":371,"minutes":90,"rating":5.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":1,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12243,"team_id":371,"minutes":90,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":144,"team_id":371,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":12240,"team_id":371,"minutes":90,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":17567,"team_id":371,"minutes":90,"rating":5.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":12241,"team_id":371,"minutes":87,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":9245,"team_id":371,"minutes":86,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":4,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12246,"team_id":371,"minutes":77,"rating":5.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":1,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12239,"team_id":371,"minutes":69,"rating":5.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":189,"team_id":371,"minutes":69,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":12249,"team_id":371,"minutes":45,"rating":6.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":12244,"team_id":371,"minutes":45,"rating":7.6,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":4,"on_target":3,"key_passes":0},{"id":12251,"team_id":371,"minutes":21,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":12242,"team_id":371,"minutes":21,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":67371,"team_id":371,"minutes":9,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":110,"team_id":371,"minutes":8,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":13688,"team_id":371,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":17335,"team_id":371,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12253,"team_id":371,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12250,"team_id":371,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12255,"team_id":371,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12245,"team_id":371,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12238,"team_id":371,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":51,"shots":15,"on_target":4,"corners":7,"fouls":11,"yellow":3,"red":1,"big_chances":0,"passes":520,"pass_pct":84.2,"offsides":0,"saves":1},"away":{"possession":49,"shots":7,"on_target":3,"corners":0,"fouls":17,"yellow":1,"red":0,"big_chances":2,"passes":497,"pass_pct":85.9,"offsides":1,"saves":3}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":12252,"name":"Mycael","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":17567,"name":"Dantas","position":"D","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":12239,"name":"Juan Felipe Aguirre","position":"D","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":12240,"name":"Arthur Dias","position":"D","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":12241,"name":"Gastón Benavídez","position":"M","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":189,"name":"Jádson","position":"M","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":144,"name":"Luiz Gustavo","position":"M","number":14,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":12243,"name":"Lucas Esquivel","position":"M","number":37,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":12244,"name":"Steven Mendoza","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":9245,"name":"Kerwin Vargas","position":"F","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":12246,"name":"Kevin Viveros","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":12249,"name":"João Cruz","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":12242,"name":"Juan Portilla","position":"M","number":27,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":12251,"name":"Leozinho","position":"F","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":67371,"name":"Jorge Rivaldo","position":"F","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":110,"name":"Gilberto","position":"D","number":12,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":12238,"name":"Santos","position":"G","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":17335,"name":"Bruno Baldini","position":"D","number":55,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":12253,"name":"Leonardo Derik","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":12250,"name":"Dudu","position":"M","number":53,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":12255,"name":"Felipinho","position":"D","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":12245,"name":"Bruno Zapelli","position":"M","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":13688,"name":"Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno","position":"F","number":70,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"3-5-2","players":[{"id":653,"name":"Léo Jardim","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":3559,"name":"Gabriel Pereira","position":"D","number":55,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":12281,"name":"Alan Saldivia","position":"D","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":656,"name":"Robert Renan","position":"D","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":664,"name":"Puma Rodríguez","position":"M","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":20155,"name":"Alan Lescano","position":"M","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":22744,"name":"Santiago Sosa","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":659,"name":"Thiago Mendes","position":"M","number":23,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":1152,"name":"Cuiabano","position":"M","number":66,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":662,"name":"Andrés Gómez","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":9167,"name":"Brenner","position":"F","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":23008,"name":"Facundo Colidio","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":3063,"name":"Bruno Duarte","position":"F","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":49597,"name":"Ramon Rique","position":"M","number":83,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":4755,"name":"Jair","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":654,"name":"Paulo Henrique","position":"D","number":96,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":668,"name":"Daniel Fuzato","position":"G","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":657,"name":"Lucas Piton","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":669,"name":"Lucas Freitas","position":"D","number":43,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":660,"name":"Nuno Moreira","position":"M","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":665,"name":"Tchê Tchê","position":"M","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":5042,"name":"Adson","position":"F","number":28,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":666,"name":"David","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#d81711","away":null},"venue":{"name":"Arena da Baixada","city":"Curitiba","capacity":43000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}