{"id":7272,"league_id":9,"league":"Brasileirão Serie A","kickoff":1789860600,"home":"Vasco da Gama","away":"Coritiba","home_id":164,"away_id":370,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[5,0],"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#0a766c"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","model_prob":0.855,"narrative":"Double chance 1X at 1.11. For this to go wrong, Coritiba have to beat an expected 1.00 goals by some distance — which is the risk, stated plainly. In the same direction, Vasco da Gama need this: fighting relegation with 10 to play. In the same direction, what Coritiba are playing for — chasing Europe — tells you more about the shape of this than either side's rating does. Which is why we land on Vasco da Gama avoiding defeat. 86% likely, returning 11p in the pound. The confidence is the point here, not the payout.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":3,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":2,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}