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past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Nicolas Chiesa","matches_in_charge":12,"tenure_days":72,"ppm":1.58,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.6,"after_ppm":1.9,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Pablo Repetto has 39 matches in charge at Independiente Santa Fe, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Pablo Repetto","matches_in_charge":39,"tenure_days":207,"ppm":1.69,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.2,"after_ppm":1.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as 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Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.3469554844321972},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":null,"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6672,"created_at":"2026-10-27T02:15:16Z","event":{"id":642986,"event_date":"2026-11-02T23:10:00Z","status":"postponed","home_team_id":4635,"home_team":"Cúcuta Deportivo","away_team_id":797,"away_team":"Independiente Santa Fe","league_id":80,"league_name":"Categoría Primera A"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":40.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4076,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":642986,"event_date":"2026-11-02T23:10:00Z","home_team":"Cúcuta Deportivo","away_team":"Independiente Santa Fe","polymarket_event_id":"1223064","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":119.394127,"volume_1wk":1234.970756,"volume_1mo":1234.970756,"volume_1yr":1234.970756,"open_interest":2614.9504319999996,"liquidity_clob":9905.8736,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.49,"best_ask":0.51,"change_1d":-0.015,"change_1wk":-0.065,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.23,"CA Belgrano 0 - 0 CA Barracas Central":0.12,"CA Belgrano 0 - 1 CA Barracas Central":0.09,"CA Belgrano 0 - 2 CA Barracas Central":0.0235,"CA Belgrano 0 - 3 CA Barracas Central":0.048,"CA Belgrano 0 - 4 CA Barracas Central":0.232,"CA Belgrano 0 - 5 CA Barracas Central":0.185,"CA Belgrano 1 - 0 CA Barracas Central":0.155,"CA Belgrano 1 - 1 CA Barracas Central":0.135,"CA Belgrano 1 - 2 CA Barracas Central":0.0375,"CA Belgrano 1 - 3 CA Barracas Central":0.0315,"CA Belgrano 1 - 4 CA Barracas Central":0.2235,"CA Belgrano 1 - 5 CA Barracas Central":0.22,"CA Belgrano 2 - 0 CA Barracas Central":0.095,"CA Belgrano 2 - 1 CA Barracas Central":0.095,"CA Belgrano 2 - 2 CA Barracas Central":0.0255,"CA Belgrano 2 - 3 CA Barracas Central":0.048,"CA Belgrano 2 - 4 CA Barracas Central":0.0495,"CA Belgrano 2 - 5 CA Barracas Central":0.055,"CA Belgrano 3 - 0 CA Barracas Central":0.05,"CA Belgrano 3 - 1 CA Barracas Central":0.029,"CA Belgrano 3 - 2 CA Barracas Central":0.013,"CA Belgrano 3 - 3 CA Barracas Central":0.041,"CA Belgrano 3 - 4 CA Barracas Central":0.0395,"CA Belgrano 3 - 5 CA Barracas Central":0.21,"CA Belgrano 4 - 0 CA Barracas Central":0.0145,"CA Belgrano 4 - 1 CA Barracas Central":0.0115,"CA Belgrano 4 - 2 CA Barracas Central":0.2265,"CA Belgrano 4 - 3 CA Barracas Central":0.215,"CA Belgrano 4 - 4 CA Barracas Central":0.0345,"CA Belgrano 4 - 5 CA Barracas Central":0.194,"CA Belgrano 5 - 0 CA Barracas Central":0.185,"CA Belgrano 5 - 1 CA Barracas Central":0.185,"CA Belgrano 5 - 2 CA Barracas Central":0.215,"CA Belgrano 5 - 3 CA Barracas Central":0.215,"CA Belgrano 5 - 4 CA Barracas Central":0.248,"CA Belgrano 5 - 5 CA Barracas Central":0.05},"updated_at":"2026-10-31T19:57:26Z"}},"computed_at":1793622419,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#ec171e","away":"#ed1c1c"},"venue":{"name":"Estadio General Santander","city":"Cucuta","capacity":42000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}