{"id":606766,"league_id":102,"league":"Serie C, Girone C","kickoff":1794058200,"home":"Inter U23","away":"US Salernitana 1919","home_id":3955,"away_id":1284,"venue_id":null,"rank":6,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.545,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.79,1.29],"read":null,"pass":"No call on Inter U23 against US Salernitana 1919. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[{"id":"manager.away.bounce","section":"§1.1","note":"Vito di Bari is 1 game into the job at US Salernitana 1919. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six."}],"lambda_home":1.7942939853637687,"lambda_away":1.292848472147904,"corner_rate":9.75,"card_rate":0.148,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.695,"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":177604,"name":"Riccardo Melgrati","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.719},{"id":64749,"name":"Mattia Marello","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.684},{"id":114091,"name":"Giuseppe Prestia","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.519},{"id":29682,"name":"Lorenzo Tosto","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.507},{"id":219038,"name":"Igor Amerighi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.354},{"id":124581,"name":"Luca Fiordilino","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.497},{"id":12077,"name":"Iwo Kaczmarski","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.818},{"id":8543,"name":"Leonardo Bovo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.61},{"id":218760,"name":"Jan Żuberek","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.477},{"id":39314,"name":"Tommaso Fumagalli","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.641},{"id":218759,"name":"Tommaso Avitabile","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.662},{"id":214756,"name":"Matias Mancuso","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.568},{"id":217423,"name":"Gabriele Garonetti","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.462},{"id":218777,"name":"Andrea Donato","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.39},{"id":39490,"name":"Alessandro Milani","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.344},{"id":1695,"name":"Alain Taho","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.331},{"id":4866,"name":"Charlys","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.285},{"id":216668,"name":"Richi Agbonifo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.275},{"id":99136,"name":"Gabriele Re Cecconi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.273},{"id":64751,"name":"Jamal Iddrissou","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.247},{"id":105519,"name":"Mike Aidoo","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.227},{"id":218763,"name":"Davide Sorino","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.224},{"id":218761,"name":"Filippo Cerpelletti","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.194}],"confidence":0.695},"away":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":63365,"name":"Cesare Galeotti","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.858},{"id":29247,"name":"Armando Anastasio","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.627},{"id":124750,"name":"Daniele Celiento","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.89},{"id":27004,"name":"Simone Pieraccini","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.771},{"id":65507,"name":"Manuel Llano","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.862},{"id":29242,"name":"Luca Villa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.801},{"id":29245,"name":"Mattia Tascone","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.878},{"id":39384,"name":"Mattia Vitale","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.761},{"id":29237,"name":"Ismail Achik","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.497},{"id":124606,"name":"Eugenio D'Ursi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.849},{"id":62885,"name":"Antonio La Gumina","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.556},{"id":29231,"name":"Facundo Lescano","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.462},{"id":29238,"name":"Kees de Boer","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.339},{"id":63595,"name":"Muhamed Varela Djamanca","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.33},{"id":29239,"name":"Emmanuel Gyabuaa","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.29},{"id":88146,"name":"Karim Cardoni","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.274},{"id":88145,"name":"Marco Bevilacqua","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.273},{"id":132876,"name":"Jonas Heinz","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.272},{"id":29251,"name":"Gianluca Longobardi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.268},{"id":29235,"name":"Luca Boncori","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.224},{"id":86087,"name":"Riccardo Zoia","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.207},{"id":39537,"name":"Marco Capuano","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.175},{"id":205612,"name":"Alessandro Del Pin","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05}],"confidence":0.882},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":177604,"name":"Riccardo Melgrati","side":"home"},{"id":64749,"name":"Mattia Marello","side":"home"},{"id":114091,"name":"Giuseppe Prestia","side":"home"},{"id":29682,"name":"Lorenzo Tosto","side":"home"},{"id":219038,"name":"Igor Amerighi","side":"home"},{"id":124581,"name":"Luca Fiordilino","side":"home"},{"id":12077,"name":"Iwo Kaczmarski","side":"home"},{"id":8543,"name":"Leonardo Bovo","side":"home"},{"id":218760,"name":"Jan Żuberek","side":"home"},{"id":39314,"name":"Tommaso Fumagalli","side":"home"},{"id":218759,"name":"Tommaso Avitabile","side":"home"},{"id":214756,"name":"Matias Mancuso","side":"home"},{"id":217423,"name":"Gabriele Garonetti","side":"home"},{"id":218777,"name":"Andrea Donato","side":"home"},{"id":39490,"name":"Alessandro Milani","side":"home"},{"id":1695,"name":"Alain Taho","side":"home"},{"id":4866,"name":"Charlys","side":"home"},{"id":216668,"name":"Richi Agbonifo","side":"home"},{"id":99136,"name":"Gabriele Re Cecconi","side":"home"},{"id":64751,"name":"Jamal Iddrissou","side":"home"},{"id":105519,"name":"Mike Aidoo","side":"home"},{"id":218763,"name":"Davide Sorino","side":"home"},{"id":218761,"name":"Filippo Cerpelletti","side":"home"},{"id":219321,"name":"Edoardo Dario Rocca","side":"home"},{"id":219325,"name":"Anas El Mahboubi","side":"home"},{"id":219322,"name":"Thomas Matarrese","side":"home"},{"id":219037,"name":"Mirko Franchi","side":"home"},{"id":219332,"name":"Cristian Carrara","side":"home"},{"id":86376,"name":"Matteo Farronato","side":"home"},{"id":224898,"name":"Carlo Galliera","side":"home"},{"id":3819,"name":"Alessandro Calligaris","side":"home"},{"id":218762,"name":"Paolo Raimondi","side":"home"},{"id":217422,"name":"Matteo Venturini","side":"home"},{"id":4320,"name":"Mattia Mosconi","side":"home"},{"id":4282,"name":"Matteo Lavelli","side":"home"},{"id":1698,"name":"Yvan Maye","side":"home"},{"id":63365,"name":"Cesare Galeotti","side":"away"},{"id":29247,"name":"Armando Anastasio","side":"away"},{"id":124750,"name":"Daniele Celiento","side":"away"},{"id":27004,"name":"Simone Pieraccini","side":"away"},{"id":65507,"name":"Manuel Llano","side":"away"},{"id":29242,"name":"Luca Villa","side":"away"},{"id":29245,"name":"Mattia Tascone","side":"away"},{"id":39384,"name":"Mattia Vitale","side":"away"},{"id":29237,"name":"Ismail Achik","side":"away"},{"id":124606,"name":"Eugenio D'Ursi","side":"away"},{"id":62885,"name":"Antonio La Gumina","side":"away"},{"id":29231,"name":"Facundo Lescano","side":"away"},{"id":29238,"name":"Kees de Boer","side":"away"},{"id":63595,"name":"Muhamed Varela Djamanca","side":"away"},{"id":29239,"name":"Emmanuel Gyabuaa","side":"away"},{"id":88146,"name":"Karim Cardoni","side":"away"},{"id":88145,"name":"Marco Bevilacqua","side":"away"},{"id":132876,"name":"Jonas Heinz","side":"away"},{"id":29251,"name":"Gianluca Longobardi","side":"away"},{"id":29235,"name":"Luca Boncori","side":"away"},{"id":86087,"name":"Riccardo Zoia","side":"away"},{"id":39537,"name":"Marco Capuano","side":"away"},{"id":205612,"name":"Alessandro Del Pin","side":"away"},{"id":209534,"name":"Nicolas Cataldo","side":"away"},{"id":186177,"name":"Modestino Sorbino","side":"away"},{"id":29257,"name":"Leonards Čevers","side":"away"},{"id":209533,"name":"Cristian Maglione","side":"away"},{"id":162238,"name":"Pietro Perina","side":"away"},{"id":65506,"name":"Malik Djibril","side":"away"},{"id":39513,"name":"Paolo Ghiglione","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":218760,"name":"Jan Żuberek","side":"home","team":"Inter U23","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":3,"goals":6,"assists":3,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":12,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":6,"assists":2,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Giugliano","kickoff":1791896400,"goals":2,"assists":2,"score":"4-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","top_creator","best_performer","in_form"],"importance":0.464,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":105,"country":0}},{"id":39314,"name":"Tommaso Fumagalli","side":"home","team":"Inter U23","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":6,"goals":1,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":12,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":6},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Foggia","kickoff":1789909200,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.113,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":180,"country":0}},{"id":62885,"name":"Antonio La Gumina","side":"away","team":"US Salernitana 1919","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":5,"goals":4,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":12,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Potenza Calcio","kickoff":1789153200,"goals":3,"assists":0,"score":"4-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.281,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":124606,"name":"Eugenio D'Ursi","side":"away","team":"US Salernitana 1919","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":10,"goals":1,"assists":3,"big_chances":4,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":12,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":10},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Scafatese","kickoff":1792251000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_creator","ever_present"],"importance":0.207,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":180,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":3955,"away":1284},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":2},"below":{"w":3,"d":0,"l":3}},"away":{"above":{"w":2,"d":2,"l":1},"below":{"w":1,"d":3,"l":1}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":4351,"name":"Stefano Vecchi","vs":null},"away":{"id":4677,"name":"Vito di Bari","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":26674,"name":"Jacopo Manconi","goals":8,"rank":1},{"id":141487,"name":"Samuel Pugliese","goals":7,"rank":2},{"id":218760,"name":"Jan Żuberek","goals":6,"rank":3},{"id":141485,"name":"Léo Abreu","goals":6,"rank":4},{"id":64244,"name":"Luca Petrungaro","goals":6,"rank":5},{"id":63597,"name":"Mario Ravasio","goals":6,"rank":6},{"id":64245,"name":"Gabriele Selleri","goals":5,"rank":7},{"id":27005,"name":"Riccardo Cargnelutti","goals":5,"rank":8},{"id":62885,"name":"Antonio La Gumina","goals":4,"rank":9},{"id":117352,"name":"Cosimo Chiricò","goals":4,"rank":10},{"id":26989,"name":"Emanuele Cicerelli","goals":4,"rank":11},{"id":151831,"name":"Francesco Meola","goals":4,"rank":12},{"id":146449,"name":"Gennaro Esposito","goals":4,"rank":13},{"id":87202,"name":"Gerardo Fusco","goals":4,"rank":14},{"id":46983,"name":"Giulio Maggiore","goals":4,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Group C · Matchday 13","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":3955,"position":9,"played":12,"points":17,"goal_diff":1,"team_name":"Inter U23","won":5,"drawn":2,"lost":5,"goals_for":21,"goals_against":20,"group":"Group C"},"away":{"team_id":1284,"position":12,"played":12,"points":15,"goal_diff":-1,"team_name":"US Salernitana 1919","won":3,"drawn":6,"lost":3,"goals_for":15,"goals_against":16,"group":"Group C"},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.17,"record":"2-1-3","goals_for":1.67,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWLDWL","venue_ppg":1.33},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"1-3-2","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 4","sequence":"LWDDLD","venue_ppg":0.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter U23 report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"US Salernitana 1919 report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.695,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.305,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":25,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":9,"points":17,"games_left":25,"gap_to_leader":12,"gap_to_safety":5,"gap_to_europe":2},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":12,"points":15,"games_left":25,"gap_to_leader":14,"gap_to_safety":3,"gap_to_europe":4},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Stefano Vecchi is 12 games into the job at Inter U23, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Stefano Vecchi","matches_in_charge":12,"tenure_days":77,"ppm":1.42,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.3,"after_ppm":1.4,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vito di Bari is 1 game into the job at US Salernitana 1919. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Vito di Bari","matches_in_charge":1,"tenure_days":7,"ppm":1,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.4,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.583,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":3.5}]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter U23 come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.083333333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"US Salernitana 1919 come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.136,"defence":-0.089,"effective_matches":9.4,"shrunk":0.46},"away":{"attack":0.054,"defence":-0.033,"effective_matches":14.6,"shrunk":0.35}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; US Salernitana 1919 work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48.5,"shots":15.3,"xg_per_shot":0.113,"corners":4.4,"corners_per_shot":0.288,"finishing_vs_xg":0.02},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":51,"shots":15.9,"xg_per_shot":0.117,"corners":6.3,"corners_per_shot":0.398,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.61},"possession_gap":-2.5},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter U23 are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.02,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"US Salernitana 1919 have scored 7 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.61,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"36 yellow cards in this referee's last 10 games, where 39 would be usual in this league, and 1 red. — though 10 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":10,"yellows_per_match":3.6,"reds_per_match":0.1,"league_yellows_per_match":3.92,"league_reds_per_match":0.156,"yellow_ratio":0.92,"red_ratio":0.64,"sample":10,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.33763474735532106},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7144,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":606766,"event_date":"2026-11-07T13:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":3955,"home_team":"Inter U23","away_team_id":1284,"away_team":"US Salernitana 1919","league_id":102,"league_name":"Serie C, Girone C"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":42.6,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4262,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1794053863,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#6d1b13"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[]}