{"id":606239,"league_id":47,"league":"Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1","kickoff":1792762200,"home":"CA Bizertin","away":"ES Hammam-Sousse","home_id":1902,"away_id":4985,"venue_id":null,"rank":5,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.208,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.02,0.53],"read":null,"pass":"CA Bizertin v ES Hammam-Sousse is one to leave alone. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.","flags":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection."},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","note":"ES Hammam-Sousse have taken 0.17 points a game from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.5, and 0.00 a game on the road."},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","note":"CA Bizertin average 17 points more possession than ES Hammam-Sousse, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it."}],"lambda_home":1.0181504833925445,"lambda_away":0.5302945849582821,"corner_rate":10.37,"card_rate":0.075,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.186,"home":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":42342,"name":"Youssef Maktouf","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":42344,"name":"Malek Doukali","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":42343,"name":"Hani Amamou","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":42519,"name":"Mohamed Amine Allela","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":42354,"name":"Aziz Guesmi","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":42349,"name":"Alaeddine Dridi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":42347,"name":"Wassim Chihi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":42358,"name":"Iyed Midani","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":42359,"name":"Zied Berrima","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":42352,"name":"Olamilekan Nurudeen Ayinde","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":42521,"name":"Wahid Timi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":42356,"name":"Mohamed Aziz Chaabane","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":62980,"name":"Achref Ferchichi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":62982,"name":"Aziz Gueblia","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":42582,"name":"Farouk Bougatfa","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":42353,"name":"Moatez Hanzouli","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":42346,"name":"Rayane Rehimi ","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":90757,"name":"Bilel Mejri","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":46582,"name":"Bilel Ouni","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":206805,"name":"Muhamed Lamine Traoré","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":42584,"name":"Hamza Hammami","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":206806,"name":"Lamine Ba","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":21768,"name":"Marius Glo","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015}],"confidence":0.332},"away":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":46609,"name":"Mohamed Amine Hazgui","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":42486,"name":"Ghazi Abderrazzak","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":46579,"name":"Malek Baayou","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":204993,"name":"Jaafer Moussa","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":46355,"name":"Nour El Beji","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":205358,"name":"Ali Ben Hassine","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":24423,"name":"Ayoub Chaabane","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":144508,"name":"Mossaab Sassi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":46605,"name":"Fakhreddine Ouji","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":204997,"name":"Med Amine Jarray","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":102352,"name":"Fedi Bouali Slimane","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":116681,"name":"Mohamed Amine Helal","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":46352,"name":"Amine Jaziri","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":205365,"name":"Moatez Ben Abdallah","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":204998,"name":"Omar Smari","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":205357,"name":"Raed Haj Abdallah","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":206312,"name":"Rayen Ben Abdallah","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":78593,"name":"Taieb Ben Zitoun","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":204996,"name":"Khalil Mechergui","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":211204,"name":"Martin Obiri","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":217772,"name":"Mohamed Amine Jarraya","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":204999,"name":"Mohamed Amine Soussi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":144510,"name":"Nasrali Chareedine","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01}],"confidence":0.186},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":42342,"name":"Youssef Maktouf","side":"home"},{"id":42344,"name":"Malek Doukali","side":"home"},{"id":42343,"name":"Hani Amamou","side":"home"},{"id":42519,"name":"Mohamed Amine Allela","side":"home"},{"id":42354,"name":"Aziz Guesmi","side":"home"},{"id":42349,"name":"Alaeddine Dridi","side":"home"},{"id":42347,"name":"Wassim Chihi","side":"home"},{"id":42358,"name":"Iyed Midani","side":"home"},{"id":42359,"name":"Zied Berrima","side":"home"},{"id":42352,"name":"Olamilekan Nurudeen Ayinde","side":"home"},{"id":42521,"name":"Wahid Timi","side":"home"},{"id":42356,"name":"Mohamed Aziz Chaabane","side":"home"},{"id":62980,"name":"Achref Ferchichi","side":"home"},{"id":62982,"name":"Aziz Gueblia","side":"home"},{"id":42582,"name":"Farouk Bougatfa","side":"home"},{"id":42353,"name":"Moatez Hanzouli","side":"home"},{"id":42346,"name":"Rayane Rehimi","side":"home"},{"id":90757,"name":"Bilel Mejri","side":"home"},{"id":46582,"name":"Bilel Ouni","side":"home"},{"id":206805,"name":"Muhamed Lamine Traoré","side":"home"},{"id":42584,"name":"Hamza Hammami","side":"home"},{"id":206806,"name":"Lamine Ba","side":"home"},{"id":21768,"name":"Marius Glo","side":"home"},{"id":206808,"name":"Diallo","side":"home"},{"id":46399,"name":"Amine Jaballah","side":"home"},{"id":46333,"name":"Firas Akermi","side":"home"},{"id":46330,"name":"Yassine Arfaoui","side":"home"},{"id":42588,"name":"Mohamed Aziz Gasmi","side":"home"},{"id":52041,"name":"Ahmed Mechergui","side":"home"},{"id":52042,"name":"Favour Onyemechi Adegbile","side":"home"},{"id":42591,"name":"Omar Faty","side":"home"},{"id":113464,"name":"Sada Diallo","side":"home"},{"id":90758,"name":"Chadi Mhamdi","side":"home"},{"id":21703,"name":"Mohamadou Lamine Bah","side":"home"},{"id":45660,"name":"Sabri Saidi","side":"home"},{"id":42522,"name":"Moataz Hanzouli","side":"home"},{"id":52539,"name":"Walid Madahi","side":"home"},{"id":46609,"name":"Mohamed Amine Hazgui","side":"away"},{"id":42486,"name":"Ghazi Abderrazzak","side":"away"},{"id":46579,"name":"Malek Baayou","side":"away"},{"id":204993,"name":"Jaafer Moussa","side":"away"},{"id":46355,"name":"Nour El Beji","side":"away"},{"id":205358,"name":"Ali Ben Hassine","side":"away"},{"id":24423,"name":"Ayoub Chaabane","side":"away"},{"id":144508,"name":"Mossaab Sassi","side":"away"},{"id":46605,"name":"Fakhreddine Ouji","side":"away"},{"id":204997,"name":"Med Amine Jarray","side":"away"},{"id":102352,"name":"Fedi Bouali Slimane","side":"away"},{"id":116681,"name":"Mohamed Amine Helal","side":"away"},{"id":46352,"name":"Amine Jaziri","side":"away"},{"id":205365,"name":"Moatez Ben Abdallah","side":"away"},{"id":204998,"name":"Omar Smari","side":"away"},{"id":205357,"name":"Raed Haj Abdallah","side":"away"},{"id":206312,"name":"Rayen Ben Abdallah","side":"away"},{"id":78593,"name":"Taieb Ben Zitoun","side":"away"},{"id":204996,"name":"Khalil Mechergui","side":"away"},{"id":211204,"name":"Martin Obiri","side":"away"},{"id":217772,"name":"Mohamed Amine Jarraya","side":"away"},{"id":204999,"name":"Mohamed Amine Soussi","side":"away"},{"id":144510,"name":"Nasrali Chareedine","side":"away"},{"id":210344,"name":"Abdellah Rayane","side":"away"},{"id":205000,"name":"Charfeddine Nasreli","side":"away"},{"id":218461,"name":"Houli Iadh","side":"away"},{"id":204995,"name":"Iyadh Houli","side":"away"},{"id":205369,"name":"Mohamed Amine Belghith","side":"away"},{"id":217771,"name":"Rayn Figo Kizito","side":"away"},{"id":144509,"name":"Moemen Zbidi","side":"away"},{"id":217774,"name":"Ousmane Tenguiano","side":"away"},{"id":204994,"name":"Rayane Issaoui","side":"away"},{"id":210343,"name":"Mohamed Amine Abid","side":"away"},{"id":205356,"name":"Nassim Boukadida","side":"away"},{"id":217773,"name":"Obiri Martin","side":"away"},{"id":205366,"name":"Alaa Hefaidh","side":"away"},{"id":205368,"name":"Mohamed Aziz Sabri","side":"away"},{"id":112257,"name":"Mohamed Sadok Jemmali","side":"away"},{"id":205363,"name":"Montasser Frej","side":"away"},{"id":211205,"name":"Rayn Kizito","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":42359,"name":"Zied Berrima","side":"home","team":"CA Bizertin","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":42352,"name":"Olamilekan Nurudeen Ayinde","side":"home","team":"CA Bizertin","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":204997,"name":"Med Amine Jarray","side":"away","team":"ES Hammam-Sousse","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":46605,"name":"Fakhreddine Ouji","side":"away","team":"ES Hammam-Sousse","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":1902,"away":4985},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":1},"below":{"w":2,"d":1,"l":0}},"away":{"above":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":5},"below":null}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":null,"away":{"id":3571,"name":"Youssef Mouihbi","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":42514,"name":"Achref Ben Dhiaf","goals":3,"rank":1},{"id":42298,"name":"Ahmed Bouassida","goals":3,"rank":2},{"id":15492,"name":"Hazem Mastouri","goals":3,"rank":3},{"id":206667,"name":"Mani Nour","goals":3,"rank":4},{"id":42402,"name":"Oussama Abid","goals":3,"rank":5},{"id":24416,"name":"Salah Barhoumi","goals":3,"rank":6},{"id":42474,"name":"Daniel Oboh","goals":2,"rank":7},{"id":24404,"name":"Fakhreddine Ben Youssef","goals":2,"rank":8},{"id":100520,"name":"Ghazi Ayadi","goals":2,"rank":9},{"id":92807,"name":"Hamdi Labidi","goals":2,"rank":10},{"id":42481,"name":"Idriss Mhirsi","goals":2,"rank":11},{"id":78394,"name":"Josna Loulendo","goals":2,"rank":12},{"id":14707,"name":"Moez Haj Ali","goals":2,"rank":13},{"id":42243,"name":"Mohamed Hedi Jertila","goals":2,"rank":14},{"id":42313,"name":"Mohamed Trabelsi","goals":2,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 7","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":9,"home_wins":4,"draws":3,"away_wins":2,"home_goals":11,"away_goals":8,"avg_total_goals":2.111111111111111,"home_win_rate":0.4444444444444444,"away_win_rate":0.2222222222222222,"recent_matches":[{"away":"CA Bizertin","date":"2023-05-27T15:00:00+00:00","home":"ES Hammam-Sousse","score":"1-0","event_id":261331,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1902,"home_team_id":4985},{"away":"ES Hammam-Sousse","date":"2023-04-26T14:00:00+00:00","home":"CA Bizertin","score":"2-2","event_id":261239,"away_score":2,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":4985,"home_team_id":1902},{"away":"CA Bizertin","date":"2023-01-25T13:00:00+00:00","home":"ES Hammam-Sousse","score":"0-1","event_id":261323,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1902,"home_team_id":4985},{"away":"ES Hammam-Sousse","date":"2022-10-22T13:30:00+00:00","home":"CA Bizertin","score":"2-2","event_id":261180,"away_score":2,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":4985,"home_team_id":1902},{"away":"CA Bizertin","date":"2022-02-26T13:00:00+00:00","home":"ES Hammam-Sousse","score":"1-0","event_id":274749,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1902,"home_team_id":4985},{"away":"ES Hammam-Sousse","date":"2021-10-23T13:30:00+00:00","home":"CA Bizertin","score":"0-0","event_id":274653,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":4985,"home_team_id":1902},{"away":"CA Bizertin","date":"2015-02-22T13:00:00+00:00","home":"ES Hammam-Sousse","score":"0-1","event_id":374709,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1902,"home_team_id":4985},{"away":"ES Hammam-Sousse","date":"2012-05-23T14:00:00+00:00","home":"CA Bizertin","score":"2-1","event_id":446582,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":4985,"home_team_id":1902},{"away":"CA Bizertin","date":"2011-12-11T13:00:00+00:00","home":"ES Hammam-Sousse","score":"1-3","event_id":446454,"away_score":3,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1902,"home_team_id":4985}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":1902,"position":9,"played":5,"points":8,"goal_diff":0,"team_name":"CA Bizertin","won":2,"drawn":2,"lost":1,"goals_for":3,"goals_against":3,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":4985,"position":16,"played":6,"points":1,"goal_diff":-8,"team_name":"ES Hammam-Sousse","won":0,"drawn":1,"lost":5,"goals_for":1,"goals_against":9,"group":null},"size":16},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.33,"record":"2-2-2","goals_for":0.5,"goals_against":0.83,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWWDLD","venue_ppg":1.67},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.17,"record":"0-1-5","goals_for":0.33,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"lost 4","sequence":"LDLLLL","venue_ppg":0}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Bizertin report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"ES Hammam-Sousse report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.186,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.814,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":23,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":9,"points":8,"games_left":23,"gap_to_leader":6,"gap_to_safety":5,"gap_to_europe":3},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":16,"points":1,"games_left":23,"gap_to_leader":13,"gap_to_safety":-2,"gap_to_europe":10},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No manager record for CA Bizertin, so regime state cannot be read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Youssef Mouihbi is 6 games into the job at ES Hammam-Sousse, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Youssef Mouihbi","matches_in_charge":6,"tenure_days":63,"ppm":0.17,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.1,"after_ppm":0.17,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Bizertin come in on 13 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":13,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":13},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"ES Hammam-Sousse come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 4.018543902717193 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.186,"defence":0.031,"effective_matches":9.8,"shrunk":0.45},"away":{"attack":-0.23,"defence":-0.17,"effective_matches":4,"shrunk":0.67},"sample":4.018543902717193,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"CA Bizertin average 17 points more possession than ES Hammam-Sousse, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":58,"shots":null,"xg_per_shot":null,"corners":8,"corners_per_shot":null,"finishing_vs_xg":null},"away":{"matches":8,"possession":41,"shots":null,"xg_per_shot":null,"corners":4.5,"corners_per_shot":null,"finishing_vs_xg":null},"possession_gap":17},"strength":0.6,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":3.6},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-3.6}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for CA Bizertin's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":12},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for ES Hammam-Sousse's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":8},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 172 km for ES Hammam-Sousse.","evidence":{"travel_km":172},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.40716038723000836},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: no-prices","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5596,"created_at":"2026-10-17T02:15:26Z","event":{"id":606239,"event_date":"2026-10-23T13:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1902,"home_team":"CA Bizertin","away_team_id":4985,"away_team":"ES Hammam-Sousse","league_id":47,"league_name":"Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":56.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5676,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792658215,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#edd221","away":"#eab621"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[]}