{"id":606155,"league_id":39,"league":"FA Cup","kickoff":1792245600,"home":"Torquay United","away":"Oxford City","home_id":2773,"away_id":4032,"venue_id":null,"rank":6,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.247,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.85,1.71],"read":{"text":"Torquay United to edge it","side":"home"},"pass":"No call on Torquay United against Oxford City. There is a lean, but not a strong enough one to call.","flags":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection."},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"Torquay United have taken 2.50 points a game from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.7, and 2.25 a game at home."}],"lambda_home":1.8454216464438251,"lambda_away":1.714720072827077,"corner_rate":10.88,"card_rate":0.03,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.05,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":29941,"name":"Toby Savin","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75806,"name":"Kian Jenkins","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":30033,"name":"Jake Wannell","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75801,"name":"Jordan Dyer","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":42641,"name":"Dominic Bernard","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75810,"name":"Dan Hayfield","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":36799,"name":"Matt Worthington","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":46340,"name":"Callum Morton","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75809,"name":"Matt Jay","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":56867,"name":"Deon Moore","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75803,"name":"Isaac Westendorf","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":28900,"name":"Caleb Roberts","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75812,"name":"Louis Dennis","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75802,"name":"Munashe Sundire","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75808,"name":"Sean Robertson","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":75804,"name":"Sonny Blu Lo Everton","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":46449,"name":"Tyler Hill","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":28910,"name":"Zak Baker","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005}],"confidence":0.05},"away":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":42702,"name":"Jonathan Maxted","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":88919,"name":"Canice Carroll","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":88916,"name":"Darnell Johnson","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":114683,"name":"Deago Nelson","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":46407,"name":"Dillon De Silva","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":88908,"name":"Zac McEachran","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.27},{"id":88911,"name":"Josh Ashby","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.442},{"id":88912,"name":"Alfie Potter","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.376},{"id":42907,"name":"Dejan Tetek","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":88913,"name":"Brayden Daniel","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":8977,"name":"Briar Bateman","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0}],"confidence":0.073},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":29941,"name":"Toby Savin","side":"home"},{"id":75806,"name":"Kian Jenkins","side":"home"},{"id":30033,"name":"Jake Wannell","side":"home"},{"id":75801,"name":"Jordan Dyer","side":"home"},{"id":42641,"name":"Dominic Bernard","side":"home"},{"id":75810,"name":"Dan Hayfield","side":"home"},{"id":36799,"name":"Matt Worthington","side":"home"},{"id":46340,"name":"Callum Morton","side":"home"},{"id":75809,"name":"Matt Jay","side":"home"},{"id":56867,"name":"Deon Moore","side":"home"},{"id":75803,"name":"Isaac Westendorf","side":"home"},{"id":28900,"name":"Caleb Roberts","side":"home"},{"id":75812,"name":"Louis Dennis","side":"home"},{"id":75802,"name":"Munashe Sundire","side":"home"},{"id":75808,"name":"Sean Robertson","side":"home"},{"id":75804,"name":"Sonny Blu Lo Everton","side":"home"},{"id":46449,"name":"Tyler Hill","side":"home"},{"id":28910,"name":"Zak Baker","side":"home"},{"id":56859,"name":"Taylor Scarff","side":"home"},{"id":153328,"name":"Harry Shield","side":"home"},{"id":95344,"name":"Oludare Olufunwa","side":"home"},{"id":36774,"name":"Luke Browne","side":"home"},{"id":153322,"name":"Cody Cooke","side":"home"},{"id":43547,"name":"Angelo Capello","side":"home"},{"id":77614,"name":"Jacob Beaumont-Clark","side":"home"},{"id":42702,"name":"Jonathan Maxted","side":"away"},{"id":88919,"name":"Canice Carroll","side":"away"},{"id":88916,"name":"Darnell Johnson","side":"away"},{"id":114683,"name":"Deago Nelson","side":"away"},{"id":46407,"name":"Dillon De Silva","side":"away"},{"id":88908,"name":"Zac McEachran","side":"away"},{"id":88911,"name":"Josh Ashby","side":"away"},{"id":88912,"name":"Alfie Potter","side":"away"},{"id":42907,"name":"Dejan Tetek","side":"away"},{"id":88913,"name":"Brayden Daniel","side":"away"},{"id":8977,"name":"Briar Bateman","side":"away"},{"id":88918,"name":"Evan Humphries","side":"away"},{"id":88914,"name":"Ludwig Francillette","side":"away"},{"id":88922,"name":"Keegan Bloom","side":"away"},{"id":150122,"name":"Keegan Bloom","side":"away"},{"id":88905,"name":"Matty Taylor","side":"away"},{"id":88906,"name":"Tyrone Marsh","side":"away"},{"id":135622,"name":"Fernando  Forestieri","side":"away"},{"id":211378,"name":"Max Smith","side":"away"},{"id":42713,"name":"Scott Pollock","side":"away"},{"id":88909,"name":"Ewan Clark","side":"away"},{"id":150124,"name":"Tyrae  Njogu","side":"away"},{"id":88910,"name":"Ellis Brown","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":46340,"name":"Callum Morton","side":"home","team":"Torquay United","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":56867,"name":"Deon Moore","side":"home","team":"Torquay United","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":{"apps":4,"goals":3,"assists":0,"scoredIn":2,"country":4},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":{"team":"Guyana","apps":4,"goals":3,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":{"apps":3,"goals":3,"assists":0}},"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":1}},{"id":88913,"name":"Brayden Daniel","side":"away","team":"Oxford City","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":8977,"name":"Briar Bateman","side":"away","team":"Oxford City","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":{"apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":1},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":{"team":null,"apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":null}],"extras":null,"notable":[{"id":142138,"name":"Kareem Hassan-Smith","goals":2,"rank":1}],"round_label":"Qualification Round 4","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":null,"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.5,"record":"5-0-1","goals_for":2.67,"goals_against":0.67,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"won 4","sequence":"WLWWWW","venue_ppg":2.25},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.5,"record":"3-0-3","goals_for":2,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLLLWW","venue_ppg":2}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Torquay United report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Oxford City report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.05,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.95,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Jimmy Ball is 6 games into the job at Torquay United, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Jimmy Ball","matches_in_charge":6,"tenure_days":92,"ppm":2.5,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":2,"after_ppm":2.5,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Ross Jenkins is 6 games into the job at Oxford City, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Ross Jenkins","matches_in_charge":6,"tenure_days":96,"ppm":1.5,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.8,"after_ppm":1.5,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Torquay United come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":14,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":14},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Oxford City come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":14,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":14},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.7780829837883232 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.192,"defence":0.125,"effective_matches":1.8,"shrunk":0.82},"away":{"attack":0.253,"defence":0.135,"effective_matches":1.8,"shrunk":0.82},"sample":1.7780829837883232,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.","evidence":{"home_matches":10,"away_matches":7},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for Torquay United's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":10},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for Oxford City's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":7},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.14453244626317138},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: close","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5063,"created_at":"2026-10-11T02:15:31Z","event":{"id":606155,"event_date":"2026-10-17T14:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":2773,"home_team":"Torquay United","away_team_id":4032,"away_team":"Oxford City","league_id":39,"league_name":"FA Cup"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":48.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4882,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792037675,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#eeda33","away":"#31478a"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[]}