{"id":606001,"league_id":41,"league":"Copa del Rey","kickoff":1793296800,"home":"UB Lebrijana","away":"Getafe","home_id":8807,"away_id":50,"venue_id":null,"rank":6,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.189,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.79,1.46],"read":{"text":"Getafe to win, with goals","side":"away"},"pass":"Nothing to take on UB Lebrijana against Getafe. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection."},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","note":"Since opening, DRAW has shortened 10.5% since the market opened."}],"lambda_home":1.7898173183059258,"lambda_away":1.461477598248151,"corner_rate":10.93,"card_rate":0.298,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0,"home":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":220707,"name":"Antonio Lebrón","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220706,"name":"Javier Sibaja","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220705,"name":"Jesús Serrano","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220704,"name":"José Gómez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220703,"name":"Liam de los Rios","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220699,"name":"Antonio Enrique","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220696,"name":"Bilal Hamdaoui","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220700,"name":"Fernando Ramos","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220690,"name":"Alejandro Cazorla","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220693,"name":"David Sánchez","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":220692,"name":"Javi Bustos","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0}],"confidence":0},"away":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":2736,"name":"David Soria","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.846},{"id":2641,"name":"Johan Mojica","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.672},{"id":1567,"name":"Nemanja Gudelj","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.737},{"id":2739,"name":"Djené","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.73},{"id":520,"name":"Andrés García","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.607},{"id":3548,"name":"Zaid Romero","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.488},{"id":29066,"name":"Francho Serrano","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.599},{"id":3831,"name":"Mario Martín","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.565},{"id":2741,"name":"Kiko Femenía","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.349},{"id":1114,"name":"Martín Satriano","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.678},{"id":4887,"name":"Ivan Azón","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.606},{"id":4629,"name":"Jean Ives Valou","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.518},{"id":797,"name":"Enes Ünal","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.507},{"id":2746,"name":"Borja Mayoral","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.35},{"id":1282,"name":"Ramón Terrats","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.339},{"id":4343,"name":"Dani Carvajal","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.319},{"id":5674,"name":"Saba Sazonov","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.262},{"id":8800,"name":"Sebastián Boselli","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.249},{"id":4561,"name":"Davinchi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.218},{"id":3830,"name":"Abdel Abqar","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.196},{"id":4840,"name":"Alberto Risco","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.194},{"id":3999,"name":"Diego Ferrer","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05},{"id":2751,"name":"Jiří Letáček","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05}],"confidence":0.745},"unavailable":[{"id":2757,"name":"Juanmi","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Knee Injury"},{"id":1118,"name":"Orel Mangala","team_id":null,"side":"away","reason":"Muscle Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":220707,"name":"Antonio Lebrón","side":"home"},{"id":220706,"name":"Javier Sibaja","side":"home"},{"id":220705,"name":"Jesús Serrano","side":"home"},{"id":220704,"name":"José Gómez","side":"home"},{"id":220703,"name":"Liam de los Rios","side":"home"},{"id":220699,"name":"Antonio Enrique","side":"home"},{"id":220696,"name":"Bilal Hamdaoui","side":"home"},{"id":220700,"name":"Fernando Ramos","side":"home"},{"id":220690,"name":"Alejandro Cazorla","side":"home"},{"id":220693,"name":"David Sánchez","side":"home"},{"id":220692,"name":"Javi Bustos","side":"home"},{"id":220702,"name":"Pepe Tejero","side":"home"},{"id":220701,"name":"Toro Milano","side":"home"},{"id":160725,"name":"Josemi Santos","side":"home"},{"id":220691,"name":"José Vidal","side":"home"},{"id":220689,"name":"Raúl Castillo","side":"home"},{"id":220688,"name":"Vilo","side":"home"},{"id":220687,"name":"Yuyo","side":"home"},{"id":220708,"name":"Mateo Mateos","side":"home"},{"id":220698,"name":"Isra Gálvez","side":"home"},{"id":220697,"name":"Juanfri","side":"home"},{"id":220695,"name":"Manuel Parrales","side":"home"},{"id":220694,"name":"Matías Valdez","side":"home"},{"id":2736,"name":"David Soria","side":"away"},{"id":2641,"name":"Johan Mojica","side":"away"},{"id":1567,"name":"Nemanja Gudelj","side":"away"},{"id":2739,"name":"Djené","side":"away"},{"id":520,"name":"Andrés García","side":"away"},{"id":3548,"name":"Zaid Romero","side":"away"},{"id":29066,"name":"Francho Serrano","side":"away"},{"id":3831,"name":"Mario Martín","side":"away"},{"id":2741,"name":"Kiko Femenía","side":"away"},{"id":1114,"name":"Martín Satriano","side":"away"},{"id":4887,"name":"Ivan Azón","side":"away"},{"id":4629,"name":"Jean Ives Valou","side":"away"},{"id":797,"name":"Enes Ünal","side":"away"},{"id":2746,"name":"Borja Mayoral","side":"away"},{"id":1282,"name":"Ramón Terrats","side":"away"},{"id":4343,"name":"Dani Carvajal","side":"away"},{"id":5674,"name":"Saba Sazonov","side":"away"},{"id":8800,"name":"Sebastián Boselli","side":"away"},{"id":4561,"name":"Davinchi","side":"away"},{"id":3830,"name":"Abdel Abqar","side":"away"},{"id":4840,"name":"Alberto Risco","side":"away"},{"id":3999,"name":"Diego Ferrer","side":"away"},{"id":2751,"name":"Jiří Letáček","side":"away"},{"id":2757,"name":"Juanmi","side":"away"},{"id":441,"name":"Christantus Uche","side":"away"},{"id":1118,"name":"Orel Mangala","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":220690,"name":"Alejandro Cazorla","side":"home","team":"UB Lebrijana","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":220693,"name":"David Sánchez","side":"home","team":"UB Lebrijana","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":2757,"name":"Juanmi","side":"away","team":"Getafe","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"out","reason":"Knee Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":1118,"name":"Orel Mangala","side":"away","team":"Getafe","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"out","reason":"Muscle Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-10","season":{"apps":10,"starts":9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":20,"tracked_apps":10,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.023,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":1282,"name":"Ramón Terrats","side":"away","team":"Getafe","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"doubtful","reason":"Shoulder Injury","expected_return":"2026-10-30","season":{"apps":14,"starts":11,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":20,"tracked_apps":14,"tracked_starts":11},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Deportivo de A Coruña","kickoff":1789317000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.085,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":148,"country":0}},{"id":1114,"name":"Martín Satriano","side":"away","team":"Getafe","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":15,"starts":12,"goals":2,"assists":3,"big_chances":3,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":20,"tracked_apps":15,"tracked_starts":12},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Rayo Vallecano","kickoff":1792436400,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.236,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":225,"country":0}},{"id":4887,"name":"Ivan Azón","side":"away","team":"Getafe","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":7,"starts":6,"goals":2,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":20,"tracked_apps":7,"tracked_starts":6},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"FC Lugano","kickoff":1792687500,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-5","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.148,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":137,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":8807,"away":50},"split":{"home":null,"away":null},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":4008,"name":"José Antonio Asián","vs":null},"away":{"id":371,"name":"José Bordalás","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{"1114":{"caps":null,"goals":null,"country":null,"signed":{"from":"Olympique Lyonnais","fee":6500000,"at":1782864000}},"1282":{"caps":3,"goals":0,"country":"Catalunya","signed":{"from":"Villarreal","fee":2500000,"at":1783468800}}}},"notable":[{"id":915,"name":"Alemão","goals":2,"rank":1},{"id":122273,"name":"Aythami Perera","goals":2,"rank":2},{"id":33447,"name":"Chatún","goals":2,"rank":3},{"id":28406,"name":"Chupete","goals":2,"rank":4},{"id":31559,"name":"Diego Diaz","goals":2,"rank":5},{"id":9493,"name":"Ezequiel Ponce","goals":2,"rank":6},{"id":114487,"name":"Gorka Santamaría","goals":2,"rank":7},{"id":32378,"name":"Khalid Noureddine","goals":2,"rank":8},{"id":28223,"name":"Kirian Rodríguez","goals":2,"rank":9},{"id":13849,"name":"Pau Sans","goals":2,"rank":10},{"id":33444,"name":"Abel Conejo","goals":1,"rank":11},{"id":1051,"name":"Abel Ruíz","goals":1,"rank":12},{"id":31635,"name":"Adri Carrión","goals":1,"rank":13},{"id":153700,"name":"Agustín Murillo","goals":1,"rank":14},{"id":5144,"name":"Alassane Diatta","goals":1,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Round 1","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":null,"form":{"home":{"matches":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.83,"record":"1-2-3","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":2.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 5","sequence":"WLDDLL","venue_ppg":0.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"UB Lebrijana report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Getafe are without 3 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":3,"measured":2,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0.066,"players":[{"player":"Ramón Terrats","role":"MID","reason":"Shoulder Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.043,"measured":true,"doubtful":true,"cover_at_position":4},{"player":"Orel Mangala","role":"MID","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.023,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":4},{"player":"Juanmi","role":"ATT","reason":"Knee Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5}]},"strength":0.164,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.8},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":0.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.4},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.2}]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0,"cup_tie":false},"strength":1,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"Too few recent results on record for UB Lebrijana to read their form.","evidence":{"matches":2},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"José Antonio Asián is 2 games into the job at UB Lebrijana. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"José Antonio Asián","matches_in_charge":2,"tenure_days":34,"ppm":3,"appointment_effect":null},"strength":0.467,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":4.2}]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"José Bordalás has 29 matches in charge at Getafe, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"José Bordalás","matches_in_charge":29,"tenure_days":208,"ppm":1.17,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.7,"after_ppm":1.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"THIN","note":"UB Lebrijana have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.","evidence":{"daysRest":null,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Getafe come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":4.208333333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":4.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 0.4090837783437269 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.182,"defence":0.095,"effective_matches":1.7,"shrunk":0.83},"away":{"attack":0.065,"defence":-0.01,"effective_matches":0.4,"shrunk":0.95},"sample":0.4090837783437269,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.","evidence":{"home_matches":2,"away_matches":12},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for UB Lebrijana's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":2},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Getafe are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.12,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":-0.07034206461187496},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6797,"created_at":"2026-10-28T16:05:18Z","event":{"id":606001,"event_date":"2026-10-29T18:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":8807,"home_team":"UB Lebrijana","away_team_id":50,"away_team":"Getafe","league_id":41,"league_name":"Copa del Rey"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":93.5,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.9352,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793281249,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#f0ce42","away":"#1559a2"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[]}