{"id": 605530, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "IK Sirius", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "3-0-3", "streak": "won 3", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLLWWW", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1.5}, "home": {"ppg": 1, "record": "2-0-4", "streak": "lost 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWLLLL", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 2.33}}, "home": "Brøndby IF", "pass": "Brøndby IF v IK Sirius is one to leave alone. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.", "rank": 9, "read": null, "flags": [], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Broendby", "name": "Brøndby Stadium", "capacity": 29000}, "colors": {"away": "#0d5f9e", "home": "#0a417f"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 447, "home": 1375}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 597, "vs": null, "name": "Andreas Engelmark"}, "home": {"id": 2147, "vs": null, "name": "Thomas Norgaard"}}}, "lambda": [1.99, 1.59], "league": "Club Friendlies", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Brøndby IF report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.absences", "note": "IK Sirius are without 3 players, and Marcus Lindberg is a real loss.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.7, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.3, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -0.3, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 0.5, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 3, "players": [{"role": "MID", "tags": ["best_performer"], "player": "Marcus Lindberg", "reason": "yellow_card_accumulation_suspension", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.134, "cover_at_position": 12}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Otso Liimatta", "reason": "Thigh Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.01, "cover_at_position": 12}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Matthias Nartey", "reason": "Unknown", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.001, "cover_at_position": 12}], "measured": 3, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.145}, "strength": 0.363}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "No lineup published yet. Rotation risk is unresolved and every price here is provisional until the eleven is named.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"lineup_status": "unavailable"}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Thomas Norgaard is 11 games into the job at Brøndby IF, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.27, "manager": "Thomas Norgaard", "tenure_days": 81, "matches_in_charge": 11, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.4, "before_ppm": 1.7}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Andreas Engelmark has 58 matches in charge at IK Sirius, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.69, "manager": "Andreas Engelmark", "tenure_days": 551, "matches_in_charge": 58, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.9, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Brøndby IF come in on 12 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 12.145833333333334, "days_rest": 12.1, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "IK Sirius come in on 13 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 13, "days_rest": 13, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.65979499887647 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.017, "shrunk": 0.83, "defence": 0.02, "effective_matches": 1.7}, "home": {"attack": 0.226, "shrunk": 0.67, "defence": 0.007, "effective_matches": 3.9}, "sample": 1.65979499887647, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": -3, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 15, "corners": 6.2, "matches": 12, "possession": 47.5, "xg_per_shot": 0.112, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.4, "corners_per_shot": 0.411}, "home": {"shots": 15.2, "corners": 5.9, "matches": 12, "possession": 55.2, "xg_per_shot": 0.076, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.42, "corners_per_shot": 0.388}, "possession_gap": 7.7}, "strength": 0.308}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Brøndby IF have scored 5 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.42}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "IK Sirius have scored 5 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.4}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.0134360586223983}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 26825, "name": "Oliver Villadsen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5197, "name": "Christopher Olivier", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26822, "name": "Luis Binks", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26820, "name": "Marko Divković", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26823, "name": "Mats Köhlert", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26826, "name": "Jordi Vanlerberghe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26824, "name": "Frederik Alves", "side": "home"}, {"id": 27475, "name": "Lukas Larsen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26827, "name": "Raphael Canut", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29470, "name": "Olti Hyseni", "side": "home"}, {"id": 65728, "name": "Patrick Mortensen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26808, "name": "Filip Bundgaard", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26807, "name": "Emmanuel Dennis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26810, "name": "Jacob Ambaek", "side": "home"}, {"id": 35461, "name": "Oskar Fenger", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16695, "name": "Patrick Pentz", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26828, "name": "Gavin Beavers", "side": "home"}, {"id": 65731, "name": "Adrian Kappenberger", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26830, "name": "William Sonne-Schmidt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26813, "name": "Daniel Wass", "side": "home"}, {"id": 28360, "name": "Casper Winther", "side": "home"}, {"id": 65730, "name": "Max Ejdum", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26811, "name": "Sho Fukuda", "side": "home"}, {"id": 65729, "name": "Marcus Younis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6374, "name": "Mads Frøkjær", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26815, "name": "Viggo Poulsen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9676, "name": "Bartosz Slisz", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16921, "name": "Mohamed Soumah", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16096, "name": "Tobias Anker", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16094, "name": "Henrik Castegren", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16344, "name": "Isaac Höök", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16108, "name": "Simon Sandberg", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16286, "name": "Victor Ekstrom", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16097, "name": "Oscar Krusnell", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16354, "name": "Ben Magnusson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 50570, "name": "Elliot Eld", "side": "away"}, {"id": 29120, "name": "Jesper Uneken", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15410, "name": "Ismael Diawara", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16093, "name": "David Celic", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16099, "name": "Marcus Lindberg", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16163, "name": "Joakim Persson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16105, "name": "Matthias Nartey", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16098, "name": "Melker Heier", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16284, "name": "August Ljungberg", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16101, "name": "Isak Bjerkebo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16120, "name": "Otso Liimatta", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16100, "name": "Neo Jönsson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16110, "name": "Adam Wikman", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15972, "name": "Charlie Nilden", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16106, "name": "Victor Svensson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 24919, "name": "Odera Samuel Adindu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15795, "name": "Åke Andersson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42141, "name": "Zalán Vancsa", "side": "away"}, {"id": 92680, "name": "Robin Krügel", "side": "away"}], "pulled": [], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 447, "home_id": 1375, "kickoff": 1790955000, "lineups": {"away": null, "home": null, "status": "unavailable", "confidence": null, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 15835, "name": "Hamza Abdelkarim", "rank": 1, "goals": 4}, {"id": 390, "name": "João Pedro", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 675, "name": "Matheus França", "rank": 3, "goals": 4}, {"id": 1690, "name": "Andy Diouf", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 1796, "name": "Bryan Mbeumo", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 434, "name": "Eddie Nketiah", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 2810, "name": "Esteban Lepaul", "rank": 7, "goals": 3}, {"id": 5672, "name": "Felipe Chávez", "rank": 8, "goals": 3}, {"id": 65891, "name": "Kirsten Otchere", "rank": 9, "goals": 3}, {"id": 4831, "name": "Leon Opitz", "rank": 10, "goals": 3}, {"id": 38512, "name": "Wiktor Biedrzycki", "rank": 11, "goals": 3}, {"id": 7118, "name": "William Alves", "rank": 12, "goals": 3}, {"id": 8576, "name": "Abdellah Ouazane", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 31227, "name": "Ádin Molnár", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 14006, "name": "Bogdan Mirčetić", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 16099, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 90}, "name": "Marcus Lindberg", "role": "MID", "side": "away", "tags": ["best_performer"], "team": "IK Sirius", "reason": "yellow_card_accumulation_suspension", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 22, "goals": 2, "starts": 22, "assists": 4, "team_games": 28, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 9, "tracked_apps": 22, "tracked_starts": 22}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "CM", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "3-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1779123600, "opponent": "Djurgårdens IF"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.134, "expected_return": "2026-10-10"}, {"id": 16105, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Matthias Nartey", "role": "MID", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "IK Sirius", "reason": "Unknown", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 9, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 28, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 9, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "CM", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": "2026-10-20"}, {"id": 16120, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Otso Liimatta", "role": "MID", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "IK Sirius", "reason": "Thigh Injury", "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 2, "starts": 0, "assists": 0, "team_games": 28, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 0}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "CM", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 2, "score": "3-4", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1786798800, "opponent": "Mjällby AIF"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.01, "expected_return": "2026-10-20"}], "preview": null, "external": {}, "venue_id": 830, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.019, "league_id": 79, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 2, "lost": 2, "drawn": 2, "group": null, "played": 6, "points": 8, "team_id": 447, "position": 660, "goal_diff": 0, "goals_for": 10, "team_name": "IK Sirius", "goals_against": 10}, "home": {"won": 3, "lost": 3, "drawn": 4, "group": null, "played": 10, "points": 13, "team_id": 1375, "position": 271, "goal_diff": 8, "goals_for": 24, "team_name": "Brøndby IF", "goals_against": 16}, "size": 2962}, "confidence": 0.214, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790949280, "corner_rate": 7.63, "lambda_away": 1.5949121576211933, "lambda_home": 1.9940513636052641, "pass_reason": "No market is priced for this fixture yet.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season", "lineup_status": "unavailable"}