{"id": 605503, "h2h": null, "away": "Uganda", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 0.67, "record": "1-1-4", "streak": "winless 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWLLDL", "goals_for": 1, "venue_ppg": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 2.33}, "home": {"ppg": 0.83, "record": "1-2-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DLDLWL", "goals_for": 1, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.17}}, "home": "DR Congo", "pass": "No call on DR Congo against Uganda. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.", "rank": 9, "read": null, "flags": [], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Kinshasa", "name": "Stade des Martyrs", "capacity": 80000}, "colors": {"away": "#d23d11", "home": "#137fec"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 653, "home": 648}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 689, "vs": null, "name": "Paul Put"}, "home": {"id": 583, "vs": null, "name": "Sebastien Desabre"}}}, "lambda": [1.67, 0.99], "league": "International Friendly Games", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "DR Congo report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Uganda report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "No lineup published yet. Rotation risk is unresolved and every price here is provisional until the eleven is named.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"lineup_status": "unavailable"}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Sebastien Desabre is 5 games into the job at DR Congo. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.8, "manager": "Sebastien Desabre", "tenure_days": 116, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.8, "before_ppm": 2.1}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Paul Put is 3 games into the job at Uganda. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.33, "manager": "Paul Put", "tenure_days": 290, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.33, "before_ppm": 1.8}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "DR Congo have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": null, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 0}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Uganda have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": null, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 0}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 0.332154416127775 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.012, "shrunk": 0.96, "defence": -0.025, "effective_matches": 0.3}, "home": {"attack": -0.055, "shrunk": 0.84, "defence": 0.056, "effective_matches": 1.5}, "sample": 0.332154416127775, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; DR Congo work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 8.6, "corners": 2.2, "matches": 12, "possession": 40.4, "xg_per_shot": 0.086, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.51, "corners_per_shot": 0.256}, "home": {"shots": 11.1, "corners": 4, "matches": 12, "possession": 42.6, "xg_per_shot": 0.108, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.05, "corners_per_shot": 0.36}, "possession_gap": 2.2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "DR Congo are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.05}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Uganda have scored 6 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.51}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.498472086691666}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 4161, "name": "Joris Kayembe", "side": "home"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 653, "home_id": 648, "kickoff": 1790946000, "lineups": {"away": null, "home": null, "status": "unavailable", "confidence": null, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 16978, "name": "Jairo Vélez", "rank": 1, "goals": 5}, {"id": 3974, "name": "Dodi Lukebakio", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 2231, "name": "Aleksandr Golovin", "rank": 3, "goals": 3}, {"id": 3369, "name": "Ayase Ueda", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 551, "name": "Dan Ndoye", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 1620, "name": "Deniz Undav", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 330, "name": "Florian Wirtz", "rank": 7, "goals": 3}, {"id": 33894, "name": "Jack Moylan", "rank": 8, "goals": 3}, {"id": 530, "name": "Jhon Arias", "rank": 9, "goals": 3}, {"id": 2186, "name": "Jonathan David", "rank": 10, "goals": 3}, {"id": 5774, "name": "Lawrence Shankland", "rank": 11, "goals": 3}, {"id": 2161, "name": "Marcel Sabitzer", "rank": 12, "goals": 3}, {"id": 2467, "name": "Michael Olise", "rank": 13, "goals": 3}, {"id": 3890, "name": "Mikel Oyarzabal", "rank": 14, "goals": 3}, {"id": 9190, "name": "Son Heung-min", "rank": 15, "goals": 3}], "players": [], "external": {}, "venue_id": 501, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.093, "league_id": 31, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 0, "lost": 0, "drawn": 0, "group": null, "played": 0, "points": 0, "team_id": 653, "position": 171, "goal_diff": 0, "goals_for": 0, "team_name": "Uganda", "goals_against": 0}, "home": {"won": 1, "lost": 1, "drawn": 1, "group": null, "played": 3, "points": 4, "team_id": 648, "position": 74, "goal_diff": 1, "goals_for": 3, "team_name": "DR Congo", "goals_against": 2}, "size": 196}, "confidence": 0.202, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790918216, "corner_rate": 8.89, "lambda_away": 0.9850861479785064, "lambda_home": 1.667167776994927, "pass_reason": "No market is priced for this fixture yet.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "League phase", "lineup_status": "unavailable"}