{"id": 605179, "h2h": null, "away": "BK Häcken", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWLDDW", "goals_for": 1.83, "venue_ppg": 2.33, "clean_sheets": 4, "goals_against": 0.67}, "home": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDWLWW", "goals_for": 1.67, "venue_ppg": 3, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.67}}, "home": "IF Elfsborg", "pass": "No call on IF Elfsborg against BK Häcken. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.", "rank": 9, "read": null, "flags": [{"id": "form.home", "note": "IF Elfsborg have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7, and 3.00 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Boras", "name": "Borås Arena", "capacity": 17800}, "colors": {"away": "#a79543", "home": "#edd41e"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 407, "home": 440}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 586, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "1-1", "result": "D", "kickoff": 1779728400}}, "name": "Jens Gustafsson"}, "home": {"id": 590, "vs": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "1-1", "result": "D", "kickoff": 1779728400}}, "name": "Björn Hamberg"}}}, "lambda": [1.64, 1.59], "league": "Club Friendlies", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.absences", "note": "IF Elfsborg are without 1 player, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 1, "players": [{"role": "ATT", "player": "Per Frick", "reason": "Broken Hand", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.001, "cover_at_position": 5}], "measured": 1, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.001}, "strength": 0.15}, {"id": "availability.away.absences", "note": "BK Häcken are without 4 players, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.9, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 0.3, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 4, "players": [{"role": "DEF", "player": "Adam Lundqvist", "reason": "Thigh Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.072, "cover_at_position": 5}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Wawa Christ", "reason": "Illness", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.005, "cover_at_position": 12}, {"role": "DEF", "player": "Filip Ohman", "reason": "Shoulder Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.001, "cover_at_position": 5}, {"role": "DEF", "player": "Ben Engdahl", "reason": "Unknown", "doubtful": false, "measured": false, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.05, "cover_at_position": 5}], "measured": 3, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.078}, "strength": 0.195}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "No lineup published yet. Rotation risk is unresolved and every price here is provisional until the eleven is named.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"lineup_status": "unavailable"}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 1-2, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Björn Hamberg has 61 matches in charge at IF Elfsborg, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.48, "manager": "Björn Hamberg", "tenure_days": 551, "matches_in_charge": 61, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.2, "before_ppm": 1.1}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Jens Gustafsson has 72 matches in charge at BK Häcken, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.35, "manager": "Jens Gustafsson", "tenure_days": 552, "matches_in_charge": 72, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.4, "before_ppm": 1}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "IF Elfsborg come in on 12 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 11.916666666666666, "days_rest": 11.9, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "BK Häcken come in on 12 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 11.916666666666666, "days_rest": 11.9, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.75610801802236 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.021, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": -0.039, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "home": {"attack": -0.064, "shrunk": 0.77, "defence": 0.057, "effective_matches": 2.4}, "sample": 1.75610801802236, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 13.9, "corners": 5.7, "matches": 12, "possession": 52.9, "xg_per_shot": 0.11, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.05, "corners_per_shot": 0.407}, "home": {"shots": 14.5, "corners": 4.9, "matches": 12, "possession": 51.1, "xg_per_shot": 0.107, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.3, "corners_per_shot": 0.338}, "possession_gap": -1.8}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "IF Elfsborg have scored 4 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.3}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "BK Häcken are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.05}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.0114536623389103}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 117349, "name": "Viggo Elfstrom", "side": "home"}, {"id": 185925, "name": "Jonathan Esenga", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16002, "name": "Thomas Isherwood", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15945, "name": "Rasmus Wikström", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16260, "name": "Sebastian Holmén", "side": "home"}, {"id": 210804, "name": "Lucas Löngårdh", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15946, "name": "Niklas Hult", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15950, "name": "Taylor Silverholt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 86374, "name": "Gabríel Snær Gunnarsson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15951, "name": "Per Frick", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15955, "name": "Leo Östman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 24884, "name": "Dion Krasniqi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15960, "name": "Ari Sigurpálsson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 74019, "name": "Theo Sander", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16291, "name": "Lukas Hägg Johansson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15942, "name": "Isak Pettersson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110810, "name": "Sven Ossian Nordvall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12919, "name": "Marcus Rohdén", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15953, "name": "Arbër Zeneli", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15949, "name": "Simon Olsson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15947, "name": "Simon Hedlund", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5750, "name": "Alexander Jensen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15948, "name": "Julius Magnusson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2982, "name": "Julius Beck", "side": "home"}, {"id": 210805, "name": "Muiz Oladimeji", "side": "home"}, {"id": 24885, "name": "Momoh Kamara", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16090, "name": "Brice Wembangomo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12747, "name": "Filip Ohman", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12748, "name": "Harry Hilvenius", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9973, "name": "Leo Väisänen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12917, "name": "Ben Engdahl", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12734, "name": "Adam Lundqvist", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16091, "name": "Filip Helander", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12732, "name": "Olle Samuelsson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 21994, "name": "Gustav Lindgren", "side": "away"}, {"id": 141988, "name": "Bamir Fierza Sadiku", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12744, "name": "Andreas Linde", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16339, "name": "Kristan Marinkovic", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15806, "name": "David Andersson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12730, "name": "Etrit Berisha", "side": "away"}, {"id": 21995, "name": "Abdoulaye Doumbia", "side": "away"}, {"id": 13830, "name": "Mads Agger", "side": "away"}, {"id": 50111, "name": "Simen Hestnes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12736, "name": "Mikkel Rygaard", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12731, "name": "Julius Lindberg", "side": "away"}, {"id": 3299, "name": "Markus Haaland", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15936, "name": "Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom", "side": "away"}, {"id": 11501, "name": "David Seger", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12738, "name": "Adrian Svanback", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16316, "name": "Sabri Kondo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16092, "name": "Wawa Christ", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16292, "name": "Harun Ibrahim", "side": "away"}, {"id": 213685, "name": "Philip Pawlowski", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 407, "home_id": 440, "kickoff": 1790935200, "lineups": {"away": null, "home": null, "status": "unavailable", "confidence": null, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 15835, "name": "Hamza Abdelkarim", "rank": 1, "goals": 4}, {"id": 390, "name": "João Pedro", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 675, "name": "Matheus França", "rank": 3, "goals": 4}, {"id": 1690, "name": "Andy Diouf", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 1796, "name": "Bryan Mbeumo", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 434, "name": "Eddie Nketiah", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 2810, "name": "Esteban Lepaul", "rank": 7, "goals": 3}, {"id": 5672, "name": "Felipe Chávez", "rank": 8, "goals": 3}, {"id": 65891, "name": "Kirsten Otchere", "rank": 9, "goals": 3}, {"id": 4831, "name": "Leon Opitz", "rank": 10, "goals": 3}, {"id": 7118, "name": "William Alves", "rank": 11, "goals": 3}, {"id": 8576, "name": "Abdellah Ouazane", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 380, "name": "Brenden Aaronson", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 4280, "name": "Carlos Espí", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 6784, "name": "Cengiz Ünder", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 15951, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Per Frick", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "IF Elfsborg", "reason": "Broken Hand", "recent": {"apps": 4, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 4, "goals": 0, "starts": 2, "assists": 0, "team_games": 31, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 2, "tracked_apps": 4, "tracked_starts": 2}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": "2026-10-20"}, {"id": 12747, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Filip Ohman", "role": "DEF", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "BK Häcken", "reason": "Shoulder Injury", "recent": {"apps": 1, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 1, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 28, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 1, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "RB", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": "2026-10-20"}, {"id": 12917, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Ben Engdahl", "role": "DEF", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "BK Häcken", "reason": "Unknown", "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "RB", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 12734, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Adam Lundqvist", "role": "DEF", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "BK Häcken", "reason": "Thigh Injury", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 19, "goals": 0, "starts": 16, "assists": 3, "team_games": 28, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 8, "tracked_apps": 19, "tracked_starts": 16}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "LB", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 0, "score": "3-2", "assists": 1, "kickoff": 1778423400, "opponent": "Malmö FF"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.072, "expected_return": "2026-10-10"}, {"id": 16092, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Wawa Christ", "role": "MID", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "BK Häcken", "reason": "Illness", "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "starts": 0, "assists": 0, "team_games": 28, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 2, "tracked_starts": 0}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "MID", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-3", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788008400, "opponent": "Västerås SK"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.005, "expected_return": "2026-10-03"}], "external": {}, "venue_id": 419, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.019, "league_id": 79, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 3, "lost": 2, "drawn": 1, "group": null, "played": 6, "points": 10, "team_id": 407, "position": 476, "goal_diff": 1, "goals_for": 12, "team_name": "BK Häcken", "goals_against": 11}, "home": {"won": 4, "lost": 4, "drawn": 1, "group": null, "played": 9, "points": 13, "team_id": 440, "position": 294, "goal_diff": -2, "goals_for": 11, "team_name": "IF Elfsborg", "goals_against": 13}, "size": 2955}, "confidence": 0.223, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790842725, "corner_rate": 7.49, "lambda_away": 1.5865334466953835, "lambda_home": 1.6389057321366258, "pass_reason": "No market is priced for this fixture yet.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season", "lineup_status": "unavailable"}