{"id": 605164, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "TSV Havelse", "form": {"away": {"matches": 2}, "home": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDWDLW", "goals_for": 3, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.83}}, "home": "VfL Wolfsburg", "pass": "Nothing to take on VfL Wolfsburg against TSV Havelse. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 9, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "VfL Wolfsburg to win"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Samir Ferchichi is 1 game into the job at TSV Havelse. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "section": "§1.1"}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "VfL Wolfsburg have had 1.0 days' rest.", "section": "§2.8"}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "TSV Havelse have had 1.0 days' rest.", "section": "§2.8"}], "score": [4, 1], "venue": {"city": "Wolfsburg", "name": "Volkswagen Arena", "capacity": 30000}, "colors": {"away": "#d21125", "home": "#539b0d"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 4052, "home": 82}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"1598": {"caps": null, "goals": null, "signed": {"at": 1782864000, "fee": 1700000, "from": "Hamburger SV"}, "country": null}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 2134, "vs": null, "name": "Samir Ferchichi"}, "home": {"id": 1875, "vs": null, "name": "Tobias Strobl"}}}, "lambda": [2, 1.53], "league": "Club Friendlies", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "VfL Wolfsburg report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "TSV Havelse report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.064, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.936}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "VfL Wolfsburg have taken 1.83 points a game from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.8, and 2.00 a game at home.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDWDLW", "goals_for": 3, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.83}, "strength": 0.322}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Too few recent results on record for TSV Havelse to read their form.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 2}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Tobias Strobl is 5 games into the job at VfL Wolfsburg. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.6, "manager": "Tobias Strobl", "tenure_days": 39, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.6, "before_ppm": 1.7}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Samir Ferchichi is 1 game into the job at TSV Havelse. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.5, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0, "manager": "Samir Ferchichi", "tenure_days": 80, "matches_in_charge": 1, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0, "before_ppm": 1.5}}, "strength": 0.583}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "VfL Wolfsburg have had 1.0 days' rest.", "tier": 4, "moves": [{"pct": -5.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -7.5, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 3.8, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"load": 1, "days_rest": 1, "matches_in_7_days": 1, "matches_in_14_days": 2}, "strength": 0.625}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "TSV Havelse have had 1.0 days' rest.", "tier": 4, "moves": [{"pct": -5.2, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -7.5, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 3.8, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"load": 1, "days_rest": 1, "matches_in_7_days": 1, "matches_in_14_days": 1}, "strength": 0.625}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.18658893374616 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.034, "shrunk": 0.87, "defence": -0.017, "effective_matches": 1.2}, "home": {"attack": 0.211, "shrunk": 0.75, "defence": 0.089, "effective_matches": 2.7}, "sample": 1.18658893374616, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 2, "home_matches": 12}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "VfL Wolfsburg have scored 10 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds. — though 2 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"sample": 2, "matches": 12, "required": 6, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.8}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for TSV Havelse's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 2}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.011236153310433}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "market.overround", "note": "The bookmakers are taking a 10.5% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.", "tier": 7, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§7.3", "evidence": {"overround": 1.1048, "margin_pct": 10.48, "devig_method": "shin", "books_quoting": 3}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "market.movement", "note": "The line has barely moved since it opened.", "tier": 7, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§7.1", "evidence": {"moves": [{"outcome": "HOME", "move_pct": 0, "direction": null}, {"outcome": "DRAW", "move_pct": 0, "direction": null}, {"outcome": "AWAY", "move_pct": 0, "direction": null}]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "market.sharp_reference", "note": "The sharp reference book is not quoting this fixture.", "tier": 7, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§7.1", "evidence": {"entitled": true}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "market.prediction_market", "note": "No prediction-market prices for this fixture.", "tier": 7, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§7.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}], "people": [{"id": 37546, "name": "Jakub Zieliński", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4380, "name": "Joakim Mæhle", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2478, "name": "Hauke Wahl", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4920, "name": "Mathys Angely", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4466, "name": "Kilian Fischer", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1380, "name": "Vinícius Souza", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2408, "name": "Elvis Rexhbeçaj", "side": "home"}, {"id": 41316, "name": "Fabian Reese", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2391, "name": "Muhammed Damar", "side": "home"}, {"id": 28070, "name": "Alexander Bernhardsson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1598, "name": "Robert Glatzel", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1367, "name": "Saël Kumbedi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5459, "name": "Kento Shiogai", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3868, "name": "Cleiton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1371, "name": "Yannick Gerhardt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1377, "name": "Mattias Svanberg", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1372, "name": "Maximilian Arnold", "side": "home"}, {"id": 61684, "name": "Alessio Besio", "side": "home"}, {"id": 27230, "name": "Fraser Hornby", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3146, "name": "Jonas Adjei Adjetey", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1381, "name": "Pharell Hensel", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4268, "name": "Bence Dárdai", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4137, "name": "Pavao Pervan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 24012, "name": "Rogério", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1370, "name": "Aaron Zehnter", "side": "home"}, {"id": 1385, "name": "Bruno Katz", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5215, "name": "Trevor Benedict", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3360, "name": "Timon Wellenreuther", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4040, "name": "Aster Vranckx", "side": "home"}, {"id": 85661, "name": "Norman Quindt", "side": "away"}, {"id": 61934, "name": "Kevin Schumacher", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85654, "name": "Noah Plume", "side": "away"}, {"id": 21431, "name": "Niklas Tauer", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85651, "name": "Besfort Kolgeci", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85642, "name": "Julian Rufidis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 41845, "name": "Dennis Duah", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85637, "name": "Alexander Guiddir", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85640, "name": "Eric Voufack", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85634, "name": "Christopher Schepp", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85647, "name": "Yannik Jaeschke", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85659, "name": "Alexander Dlugaiczyk", "side": "away"}, {"id": 124692, "name": "Max Lamby", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85655, "name": "Dominic Minz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85649, "name": "Semi Belkahia", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85650, "name": "Emre Aytun", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85657, "name": "Irichad Behrens", "side": "away"}, {"id": 27509, "name": "Donald Nduka", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85653, "name": "Leon Sommer", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85652, "name": "Timo Friedrich", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85656, "name": "Florian Riedel", "side": "away"}, {"id": 67623, "name": "Yannick Mausehund", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85632, "name": "Lorenzo Paldino", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85638, "name": "Torben Engelking", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85631, "name": "Kwasi Wriedt", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85635, "name": "Robin Muller", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85633, "name": "Finn Louis Kiszka", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85636, "name": "Leon Svitek", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85639, "name": "Ermal Krasniqi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85658, "name": "Tom Opitz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 61579, "name": "Omer Hanin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85662, "name": "Fynn Ole Wolte", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85660, "name": "Jonah Busse", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85641, "name": "Johann Berger", "side": "away"}, {"id": 72126, "name": "Julius Düker", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85644, "name": "Marc Richter", "side": "away"}, {"id": 49455, "name": "Yusuf Wardak", "side": "away"}, {"id": 41831, "name": "Robin Velasco", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85646, "name": "Jannik Oltrogge", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85648, "name": "Temilola Awoyale", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85645, "name": "Hasan Ozdemir", "side": "away"}, {"id": 26315, "name": "Eryk Grzywacz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 61569, "name": "Jesse Edem Tugbenyo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17187, "name": "Leonardo Posadas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85643, "name": "Tim Dierßen", "side": "away"}], "report": {"ht": [3, 0], "stats": {"away": {"red": 0, "fouls": null, "saves": null, "shots": null, "passes": null, "yellow": 0, "corners": 7, "offsides": 6, "pass_pct": null, "on_target": null, "possession": 48, "big_chances": null}, "home": {"red": 0, "fouls": null, "saves": null, "shots": null, "passes": null, "yellow": 2, "corners": 1, "offsides": 2, "pass_pct": null, "on_target": null, "possession": 52, "big_chances": null}}, "events": [{"t": "goal", "kind": "regular", "side": "home", "added": null, "score": [1, 0], "assist": null, "minute": 2, "player": "F. Reese", "player_id": 41316}, {"t": "goal", "kind": "regular", "side": "home", "added": null, "score": [2, 0], "assist": null, "minute": 14, "player": "M. Damar", "player_id": 2391}, {"t": "goal", "kind": "regular", "side": "home", "added": null, "score": [3, 0], "assist": null, "minute": 33, "player": "M. Damar", "player_id": 2391}, {"t": "sub", "in": "P. Hensel", "out": "A. Vranckx", "side": "home", "added": null, "in_id": 1381, "minute": 46, "out_id": 4040}, {"t": "sub", "in": "B. Dárdai", "out": "Cleiton", "side": "home", "added": null, "in_id": 4268, "minute": 46, "out_id": 3868}, {"t": "card", "card": "yellow", "side": "home", "added": null, "minute": 64, "player": "Unknown", "reason": null, "player_id": null}, {"t": "goal", "kind": "regular", "side": "away", "added": null, "score": [3, 1], "assist": null, "minute": 77, "player": "Unknown", "player_id": null}, {"t": "card", "card": "yellow", "side": "home", "added": null, "minute": 85, "player": "Unknown", "reason": null, "player_id": null}, {"t": "goal", "kind": "regular", "side": "home", "added": null, "score": [4, 1], "assist": null, "minute": 89, "player": "Unknown", "player_id": null}], "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 85658, "name": "Tom Opitz", "number": 1, "captain": false, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 27509, "name": "Donald Nduka", "number": 27, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 41845, "name": "Dennis Duah", "number": 15, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 67623, "name": "Yannick Mausehund", "number": 24, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 85653, "name": "Leon Sommer", "number": 22, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 85641, "name": "Johann Berger", "number": 8, "captain": true, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 61569, "name": "Jesse Edem Tugbenyo", "number": 33, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 124692, "name": "Max Lamby", "number": 3, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 85640, "name": "Eric Voufack", "number": 19, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 85637, "name": "Alexander Guiddir", "number": 20, "captain": false, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 61934, "name": "Kevin Schumacher", "number": 10, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 85662, "name": "Fynn Ole Wolte", "number": 25, "captain": false, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 85657, "name": "Irichad Behrens", "number": 21, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 85652, "name": "Timo Friedrich", "number": 30, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 85644, "name": "Marc Richter", "number": 7, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 49455, "name": "Yusuf Wardak", "number": 14, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 41831, "name": "Robin Velasco", "number": 28, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 216114, "name": "Joel Darko Ampem", "number": 35, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 85635, "name": "Robin Muller", "number": 23, "captain": false, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 85633, "name": "Finn Louis Kiszka", "number": 17, "captain": false, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 85636, "name": "Leon Svitek", "number": 38, "captain": false, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-3"}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 4137, "name": "Pavao Pervan", "number": 12, "captain": false, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 4466, "name": "Kilian Fischer", "number": 2, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 3868, "name": "Cleiton", "number": 33, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 1370, "name": "Aaron Zehnter", "number": 25, "captain": false, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 41316, "name": "Fabian Reese", "number": 11, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 1372, "name": "Maximilian Arnold", "number": 27, "captain": true, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 1380, "name": "Vinícius Souza", "number": 5, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 1371, "name": "Yannick Gerhardt", "number": 31, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 2391, "name": "Muhammed Damar", "number": 20, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 4040, "name": "Aster Vranckx", "number": 6, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 1598, "name": "Robert Glatzel", "number": 19, "captain": false, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 1381, "name": "Pharell Hensel", "number": 14, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 4268, "name": "Bence Dárdai", "number": 8, "captain": false, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 7824, "name": "Henrik Fehr", "number": 47, "captain": false, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 78056, "name": "Carl-Anton Sticherling", "number": 44, "captain": false, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-2-1"}}, "players": [{"id": 4137, "red": 0, "goals": 0, "saves": 0, "shots": 0, "rating": null, "yellow": 0, "assists": 0, "minutes": 0, "team_id": 82, "on_target": 0, "key_passes": 0}, {"id": 4466, "red": 0, "goals": 0, "saves": 0, "shots": 0, "rating": null, "yellow": 0, "assists": 0, "minutes": 0, "team_id": 82, "on_target": 0, "key_passes": 0}, 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