{"id": 605123, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Degerfors IF", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1, "record": "2-0-4", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WLLWLL", "goals_for": 0.83, "venue_ppg": 0, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1.17}, "home": {"matches": 1}}, "home": "IK Brage", "pass": "No call on IK Brage against Degerfors IF. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.", "rank": 9, "read": null, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Gustav Kallberg is 1 game into the job at IK Brage. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "section": "§1.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#e21f15", "home": "#0a7641"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 443, "home": 4397}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 593, "vs": null, "name": "Henok Goitom"}, "home": {"id": 2440, "vs": null, "name": "Gustav Kallberg"}}}, "lambda": [1.75, 1.73], "league": "Club Friendlies", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "IK Brage report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.absences", "note": "Degerfors IF are without 3 players, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -0.3, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.4, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -0.1, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 0.2, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 3, "players": [{"role": "DEF", "player": "Juhani Pikkarainen", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.051, "cover_at_position": 8}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Kazper Karlsson", "reason": "Unknown", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.033, "cover_at_position": 8}, {"role": "ATT", "player": "Karim Boutera", "reason": "yellow_card_accumulation_suspension", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.003, "cover_at_position": 3}], "measured": 3, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.087}, "strength": 0.217}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.067, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.933}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Too few recent results on record for IK Brage to read their form.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Gustav Kallberg is 1 game into the job at IK Brage. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 5.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 3, "manager": "Gustav Kallberg", "tenure_days": 190, "matches_in_charge": 1, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 3, "before_ppm": 0.5}}, "strength": 0.583}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Henok Goitom has 59 matches in charge at Degerfors IF, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.05, "manager": "Henok Goitom", "tenure_days": 553, "matches_in_charge": 59, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.3, "before_ppm": 0.6}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "IK Brage have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": null, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 0}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Degerfors IF come in on 13 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 12.895833333333334, "days_rest": 12.9, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 0.296736999305076 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.06, "shrunk": 0.81, "defence": 0.015, "effective_matches": 1.9}, "home": {"attack": 0.008, "shrunk": 0.96, "defence": 0.01, "effective_matches": 0.3}, "sample": 0.296736999305076, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 12, "home_matches": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for IK Brage's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Degerfors IF have scored 6 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds. — though 1 game is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"sample": 1, "matches": 12, "required": 6, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.5}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.011236153310433}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 90201, "name": "Adrian Engdahl", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43448, "name": "York Rafael", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90195, "name": "Alexander Zetterstrom", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90197, "name": "Anders Hellblom", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90194, "name": "Felix Hörberg", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90189, "name": "Albin Sporrong", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90187, "name": "Alex Mortensen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90188, "name": "Gideon Granström", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90190, "name": "Anton Lundin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90186, "name": "Albin William Pihlström", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90183, "name": "Filip Trpčevski", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90198, "name": "Teodor Walemark", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90196, "name": "Malte Persson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90199, "name": "Lorik Konjuhi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90200, "name": "Noah Östberg", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78244, "name": "Tobias Stagaard", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90185, "name": "Jakob Römo Skille", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90184, "name": "Mass Sise", "side": "home"}, {"id": 209121, "name": "Isac Fors", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90202, "name": "Viktor Frodig", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78330, "name": "Johan Guadagno", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12751, "name": "Lasse Madsen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 61515, "name": "Jacob Stensson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90193, "name": "Gustav Berggren", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90191, "name": "Oliwer Stark", "side": "home"}, {"id": 90192, "name": "Pontus Jonsson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 209122, "name": "Robin Dündar", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16306, "name": "Ozor Victor Okeke", "side": "home"}, {"id": 15980, "name": "Matvei Igonen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 50210, "name": "Nikolai Skuseth", "side": "away"}, {"id": 21531, "name": "Ahmad Faqa", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15994, "name": "Nasiru Moro", "side": "away"}, {"id": 26240, "name": "Samba Diatara", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15991, "name": "Sebastian Ohlsson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22273, "name": "Bilal Hussein", "side": "away"}, {"id": 50133, "name": "Robin Dzabic", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15987, "name": "Elias Barsoum", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15989, "name": "Dijan Vukojevic", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15988, "name": "Arman Taranis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15986, "name": "Nahom Girmai", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22274, "name": "Yiriyon Gideon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15981, "name": "Daniel Sundgren", "side": "away"}, {"id": 120549, "name": "Karim Boutera", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16104, "name": "Noel Milleskog", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22275, "name": "Ludvig Fritzson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16130, "name": "Sebastian Ohlsson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22276, "name": "Alexander Berisson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15992, "name": "Wille Jakobsson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 22278, "name": "Jesús Hernández", "side": "away"}, {"id": 212706, "name": "Filip Tärnler", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15983, "name": "Juhani Pikkarainen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 15985, "name": "Kazper Karlsson", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 443, "home_id": 4397, "kickoff": 1791028800, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 15980, "name": "Matvei Igonen", "ai_score": 0.883, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 50210, "name": "Nikolai Skuseth", "ai_score": 0.876, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 21531, "name": "Ahmad Faqa", "ai_score": 0.743, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 15994, "name": "Nasiru Moro", "ai_score": 0.227, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 26240, "name": "Samba Diatara", "ai_score": 0.612, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 15991, "name": "Sebastian Ohlsson", "ai_score": 0.749, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 22273, "name": "Bilal Hussein", "ai_score": 0.812, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 50133, "name": "Robin Dzabic", "ai_score": 0.664, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 15987, "name": "Elias Barsoum", "ai_score": 0.653, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 15989, "name": "Dijan Vukojevic", "ai_score": 0.74, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 15988, "name": "Arman Taranis", "ai_score": 0.543, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 15986, "name": "Nahom Girmai", "ai_score": 0.61, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 22274, "name": "Yiriyon Gideon", "ai_score": 0.461, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 15981, "name": "Daniel Sundgren", "ai_score": 0.441, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 120549, "name": "Karim Boutera", "ai_score": 0.425, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 16104, "name": "Noel Milleskog", "ai_score": 0.387, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 22275, "name": "Ludvig Fritzson", "ai_score": 0.355, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 16130, "name": "Sebastian Ohlsson", "ai_score": 0.21, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 22276, "name": "Alexander Berisson", "ai_score": 0.19, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 15992, "name": "Wille Jakobsson", "ai_score": 0.05, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 22278, "name": "Jesús Hernández", "ai_score": 0.045, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 212706, "name": "Filip Tärnler", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "5-3-2", "confidence": 0.827}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 90201, "name": "Adrian Engdahl", "ai_score": 0.033, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 43448, "name": "York Rafael", "ai_score": 0.22, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90195, "name": "Alexander Zetterstrom", "ai_score": 0.072, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90197, "name": "Anders Hellblom", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90194, "name": "Felix Hörberg", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 90189, "name": "Albin Sporrong", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90187, "name": "Alex Mortensen", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90188, "name": "Gideon Granström", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90190, "name": "Anton Lundin", "ai_score": 0.611, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 90186, "name": "Albin William Pihlström", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 90183, "name": "Filip Trpčevski", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-4-2", "confidence": 0.067}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.067, "unavailable": [{"id": 15983, "name": "Juhani Pikkarainen", "side": "away", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "team_id": null}, {"id": 15985, "name": "Kazper Karlsson", "side": "away", "reason": "Unknown", "team_id": null}]}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 15835, "name": "Hamza Abdelkarim", "rank": 1, "goals": 4}, {"id": 390, "name": "João Pedro", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 675, "name": "Matheus França", "rank": 3, "goals": 4}, {"id": 1690, "name": "Andy Diouf", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 1796, "name": "Bryan Mbeumo", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 434, "name": "Eddie Nketiah", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 2810, "name": "Esteban Lepaul", "rank": 7, "goals": 3}, {"id": 5672, "name": "Felipe Chávez", "rank": 8, "goals": 3}, {"id": 65891, "name": "Kirsten Otchere", "rank": 9, "goals": 3}, {"id": 4831, "name": "Leon Opitz", "rank": 10, "goals": 3}, {"id": 7118, "name": "William Alves", "rank": 11, "goals": 3}, {"id": 8576, "name": "Abdellah Ouazane", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 380, "name": "Brenden Aaronson", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 4280, "name": "Carlos Espí", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 6784, "name": "Cengiz Ünder", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 90186, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Albin William Pihlström", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "IK Brage", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 90183, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Filip Trpčevski", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "IK Brage", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 15983, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Juhani Pikkarainen", "role": "DEF", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Degerfors IF", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 6, "goals": 1, "starts": 6, "assists": 1, "team_games": 29, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 3, "tracked_apps": 6, "tracked_starts": 6}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "CB", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1779541200, "opponent": "Kalmar FF"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.051, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 15985, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Kazper Karlsson", "role": "MID", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Degerfors IF", "reason": "Unknown", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 19, "goals": 0, "starts": 18, "assists": 0, "team_games": 29, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 6, "tracked_apps": 19, "tracked_starts": 18}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "CM", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.033, "expected_return": "2026-10-10"}, {"id": 120549, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 67}, "name": "Karim Boutera", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Degerfors IF", "reason": "yellow_card_accumulation_suspension", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 7, "goals": 0, "starts": 3, "assists": 0, "team_games": 29, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 7, "tracked_starts": 3}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.003, "expected_return": "2026-10-10"}, {"id": 15989, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 90}, "name": "Dijan Vukojevic", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Degerfors IF", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 22, "goals": 4, "starts": 13, "assists": 2, "team_games": 29, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 5, "tracked_apps": 22, "tracked_starts": 13}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "2-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1786276800, "opponent": "Malmö FF"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.142, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 15988, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 23}, "name": "Arman Taranis", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Degerfors IF", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 19, "goals": 2, "starts": 9, "assists": 0, "team_games": 29, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 19, "tracked_starts": 9}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "2-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1776963600, "opponent": "AIK"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.057, "expected_return": null}], "external": {}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.02, "league_id": 79, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 4, "lost": 2, "drawn": 1, "group": null, "played": 7, "points": 13, "team_id": 443, "position": 286, "goal_diff": 3, "goals_for": 14, "team_name": "Degerfors IF", "goals_against": 11}, "home": {"won": 1, "lost": 0, "drawn": 0, "group": null, "played": 1, "points": 3, "team_id": 4397, "position": 1351, "goal_diff": 1, "goals_for": 2, "team_name": "IK Brage", "goals_against": 1}, "size": 2955}, "confidence": 0.186, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871923, "corner_rate": 7.49, "lambda_away": 1.7269214947152813, "lambda_home": 1.7463837553361106, "pass_reason": "No market is priced for this fixture yet.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season", "lineup_status": "predicted"}