{"id": 605069, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Polonia Bytom", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2.5, "record": "5-0-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWWLWW", "goals_for": 2.83, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}, "home": {"ppg": 0.5, "record": "1-0-5", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLLWLL", "goals_for": 1.5, "venue_ppg": 0.75, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 2.5}}, "home": "Raków Częstochowa", "pass": "Nothing to take on Raków Częstochowa against Polonia Bytom. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 9, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Raków Częstochowa to win"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Raków Częstochowa have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5, and 0.75 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Polonia Bytom have taken 2.50 points a game from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.0, and 2.00 a game on the road.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Czestochowa", "name": "Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie", "capacity": 5500}, "colors": {"away": "#f0ca42", "home": "#d4111c"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 1753, "home": 428}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"14229": {"caps": 22, "goals": 0, "signed": null, "country": "Kenya"}, "26278": {"caps": 53, "goals": 2, "signed": null, "country": "Azerbaijan"}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 1181, "vs": null, "name": "Konrad Gerega"}, "home": {"id": 1897, "vs": null, "name": "Tomasz Kaczmarek"}}}, "lambda": [1.82, 1.77], "league": "Club Friendlies", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.absences", "note": "Raków Częstochowa are without 1 player, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 1, "players": [{"role": "MID", "player": "Erick Otieno", "reason": "Muscle Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.001, "cover_at_position": 15}], "measured": 1, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.001}, "strength": 0.15}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Polonia Bytom report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.136, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.864}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Tomasz Kaczmarek is 3 games into the job at Raków Częstochowa. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1, "manager": "Tomasz Kaczmarek", "tenure_days": 21, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Konrad Gerega is 3 games into the job at Polonia Bytom. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "Konrad Gerega", "tenure_days": 83, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2, "before_ppm": 1.8}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Raków Częstochowa come in on 13 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 12.864583333333334, "days_rest": 12.9, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Polonia Bytom come in on 17 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 16.854166666666668, "days_rest": 16.9, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 0}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 3.22066024261851 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.123, "shrunk": 0.71, "defence": 0.035, "effective_matches": 3.2}, "home": {"attack": 0.091, "shrunk": 0.63, "defence": 0.074, "effective_matches": 4.7}, "sample": 3.22066024261851, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": null, "corners": 4.8, "matches": 12, "possession": 52, "xg_per_shot": null, "finishing_vs_xg": null, "corners_per_shot": null}, "home": {"shots": 15.6, "corners": 4.5, "matches": 12, "possession": 53.5, "xg_per_shot": 0.1, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.23, "corners_per_shot": 0.289}, "possession_gap": 1.5}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Raków Częstochowa are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.23}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Polonia Bytom's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.011236153310433}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 14004, "name": "Kacper Trelowski", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13989, "name": "Bogdan Racovițan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 14075, "name": "Fran Tudor", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13990, "name": "Stratos Svarnas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13998, "name": "Jean Carlos Silva", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26278, "name": "Mahir Emreli", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13999, "name": "Karol Struski", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13992, "name": "Marko Bulat", "side": "home"}, {"id": 14076, "name": "Tomasz Pieńko", "side": "home"}, {"id": 14001, "name": "Patryk Makuch", "side": "home"}, {"id": 31227, "name": "Ádin Molnár", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13993, "name": "Oskar Repka", "side": "home"}, {"id": 25671, "name": "Wladyslaw Kocherhin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13995, "name": "Lamine Diaby-Fadiga", "side": "home"}, {"id": 14006, "name": "Bogdan Mirčetić", "side": "home"}, {"id": 28575, "name": "Arvid Brorsson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26919, "name": "Didí Gaucho", "side": "home"}, {"id": 14077, "name": "Jerzy Napieraj", "side": "home"}, {"id": 28946, "name": "Adam Basse", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29186, "name": "Jakub Jendryka", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12739, "name": "Isak Brusberg", "side": "home"}, {"id": 38548, "name": "Oliwier Kwiatkowski", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26517, "name": "Marko Perović", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6774, "name": "Nils Zätterström", "side": "home"}, {"id": 14003, "name": "Wiktor Żołneczko", "side": "home"}, {"id": 64279, "name": "Tarik Karić", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13994, "name": "Adriano", "side": "home"}, {"id": 11540, "name": "Abraham Emmanuel Ojo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 64280, "name": "Calko Nikodem", "side": "home"}, {"id": 14229, "name": "Erick Otieno", "side": "home"}, {"id": 38555, "name": "Klaudiusz Mazur", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38554, "name": "Grzegorz Szymusik", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38542, "name": "Oskar Krzyżak", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38547, "name": "Kacper Michalski", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38557, "name": "Patryk Stefański", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38545, "name": "Mikolaj Labojko", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38549, "name": "Konrad Andrzejczak", "side": "away"}, {"id": 48938, "name": "Krzysztof Wołkowicz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38551, "name": "Kamil Wojtyra", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38550, "name": "Jakub Arak", "side": "away"}, {"id": 48936, "name": "Dylan Harwin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38552, "name": "Lucjan Zieliński", "side": "away"}, {"id": 39036, "name": "Aleksander Gajgier", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38565, "name": "Benedik Mioč", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38704, "name": "Dominik Konieczny", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38928, "name": "Kamil Orlik", "side": "away"}, {"id": 14110, "name": "Maciej Wolski", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28298, "name": "Mateusz Wzięch", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12610, "name": "Wojciech Banasik", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63323, "name": "Mateusz Anklewicz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38868, "name": "Daniel Rumin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53737, "name": "Artur Winkler", "side": "away"}, {"id": 61615, "name": "Cesar Peña", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63321, "name": "Łukasz Piontek", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 1753, "home_id": 428, "kickoff": 1790933400, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 38555, "name": "Klaudiusz Mazur", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 38554, "name": "Grzegorz Szymusik", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 38542, "name": "Oskar Krzyżak", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 38547, "name": "Kacper Michalski", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 38557, "name": "Patryk Stefański", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 38545, "name": "Mikolaj Labojko", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 38549, "name": "Konrad Andrzejczak", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 48938, "name": "Krzysztof Wołkowicz", "ai_score": 0.01, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 38551, "name": "Kamil Wojtyra", "ai_score": 0.015, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 38550, "name": "Jakub Arak", "ai_score": 0.01, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 48936, "name": "Dylan Harwin", "ai_score": 0.01, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 38552, "name": "Lucjan Zieliński", "ai_score": 0.01, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 39036, "name": "Aleksander Gajgier", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 38565, "name": "Benedik Mioč", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 38704, "name": "Dominik Konieczny", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 38928, "name": "Kamil Orlik", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 14110, "name": "Maciej Wolski", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 28298, "name": "Mateusz Wzięch", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 12610, "name": "Wojciech Banasik", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-2-1", "confidence": 0.136}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 14004, "name": "Kacper Trelowski", "ai_score": 0.769, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 13989, "name": "Bogdan Racovițan", "ai_score": 0.748, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 14075, "name": "Fran Tudor", "ai_score": 0.634, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 13990, "name": "Stratos Svarnas", "ai_score": 0.59, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 13998, "name": "Jean Carlos Silva", "ai_score": 0.642, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 26278, "name": "Mahir Emreli", "ai_score": 0.75, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 13999, "name": "Karol Struski", "ai_score": 0.582, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 13992, "name": "Marko Bulat", "ai_score": 0.461, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 14076, "name": "Tomasz Pieńko", "ai_score": 0.614, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 14001, "name": "Patryk Makuch", "ai_score": 0.757, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 31227, "name": "Ádin Molnár", "ai_score": 0.289, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 13993, "name": "Oskar Repka", "ai_score": 0.634, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 25671, "name": "Wladyslaw Kocherhin", "ai_score": 0.385, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 13995, "name": "Lamine Diaby-Fadiga", "ai_score": 0.364, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 14006, "name": "Bogdan Mirčetić", "ai_score": 0.286, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 28575, "name": "Arvid Brorsson", "ai_score": 0.283, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 26919, "name": "Didí Gaucho", "ai_score": 0.277, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 14077, "name": "Jerzy Napieraj", "ai_score": 0.273, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 28946, "name": "Adam Basse", "ai_score": 0.268, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 29186, "name": "Jakub Jendryka", "ai_score": 0.261, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 12739, "name": "Isak Brusberg", "ai_score": 0.25, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 38548, "name": "Oliwier Kwiatkowski", "ai_score": 0.246, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 26517, "name": "Marko Perović", "ai_score": 0.227, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-3", "confidence": 0.745}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.136, "unavailable": [{"id": 14229, "name": "Erick Otieno", "side": "home", "reason": "Muscle Injury", "team_id": null}]}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 15835, "name": "Hamza Abdelkarim", "rank": 1, "goals": 4}, {"id": 390, "name": "João Pedro", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 675, "name": "Matheus França", "rank": 3, "goals": 4}, {"id": 1690, "name": "Andy Diouf", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 1796, "name": "Bryan Mbeumo", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 434, "name": "Eddie Nketiah", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 2810, "name": "Esteban Lepaul", "rank": 7, "goals": 3}, {"id": 5672, "name": "Felipe Chávez", "rank": 8, "goals": 3}, {"id": 65891, "name": "Kirsten Otchere", "rank": 9, "goals": 3}, {"id": 4831, "name": "Leon Opitz", "rank": 10, "goals": 3}, {"id": 7118, "name": "William Alves", "rank": 11, "goals": 3}, {"id": 8576, "name": "Abdellah Ouazane", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 380, "name": "Brenden Aaronson", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 4280, "name": "Carlos Espí", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 6784, "name": "Cengiz Ünder", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 14229, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Erick Otieno", "role": "MID", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Raków Częstochowa", "reason": "Muscle Injury", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 48, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 5, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "LM", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": "2026-10-10"}, {"id": 14001, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 67}, "name": "Patryk Makuch", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Raków Częstochowa", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 3, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 29, "goals": 10, "starts": 22, "assists": 1, "team_games": 48, "big_chances": 2, "clean_sheets": 7, "tracked_apps": 29, "tracked_starts": 22}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "4-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1776602700, "opponent": "Cracovia"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.154, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 26278, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 1, "minutes": 170}, "name": "Mahir Emreli", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Raków Częstochowa", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 1, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 10, "goals": 4, "starts": 9, "assists": 1, "team_games": 48, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 10, "tracked_starts": 9}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 1, "team": "Azerbaijan", "goals": 1, "lately": {"apps": 1, "goals": 1, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1785684600, "opponent": "Śląsk Wrocław"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.058, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 38551, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Kamil Wojtyra", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Polonia Bytom", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 38550, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Jakub Arak", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Polonia Bytom", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {}, "venue_id": 409, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.019, "league_id": 79, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 5, "lost": 4, "drawn": 0, "group": null, "played": 9, "points": 15, "team_id": 1753, "position": 180, "goal_diff": 3, "goals_for": 19, "team_name": "Polonia Bytom", "goals_against": 16}, "home": {"won": 5, "lost": 2, "drawn": 5, "group": null, "played": 12, "points": 20, "team_id": 428, "position": 58, "goal_diff": 9, "goals_for": 25, "team_name": "Raków Częstochowa", "goals_against": 16}, "size": 2955}, "confidence": 0.317, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790872032, "corner_rate": 7.12, "lambda_away": 1.7671533917849473, "lambda_home": 1.8177004056005843, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was away win at 5.25, where the model confidence of 32% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season", "lineup_status": "predicted"}