{"id": 605068, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Hellas Verona", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWWLDW", "goals_for": 1.67, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 0.83}, "home": {"ppg": 2.67, "record": "5-1-0", "streak": "unbeaten 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWWDWW", "goals_for": 2.67, "venue_ppg": 2.33, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 0.83}}, "home": "FC Lugano", "pass": "Passing on FC Lugano v Hellas Verona. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.", "rank": 9, "read": null, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "FC Lugano have taken 2.67 points a game from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.8, and 2.33 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Hellas Verona have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Lugano", "name": "Cornaredo", "capacity": 6390}, "colors": {"away": "#eed42c", "home": null}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 76, "home": 254}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"2276": {"caps": 18, "goals": 4, "signed": null, "country": "Cabo Verde"}, "2624": {"caps": null, "goals": null, "signed": {"at": 1751328000, "fee": 3500000, "from": "Olympique Lyonnais"}, "country": null}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 1912, "vs": null, "name": "Marco Baroni"}, "home": {"id": 273, "vs": null, "name": "Mattia Croci-Torti"}}}, "lambda": [1.37, 1.76], "league": "Club Friendlies", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.absences", "note": "FC Lugano are without 3 players, and Uran Bislimi is a real loss.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": -1.3, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": 0.3, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}, {"pct": -0.6, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": 0.5, "side": "both", "channel": "cards"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 3, "players": [{"role": "MID", "tags": ["best_performer"], "player": "Uran Bislimi", "reason": "yellow_card_accumulation_suspension", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.104, "cover_at_position": 8}, {"role": "ATT", "player": "Elias Pihlström", "reason": "red_card_suspension", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.055, "cover_at_position": 7}, {"role": "MID", "player": "Claudio Cassano", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": false, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.05, "cover_at_position": 8}], "measured": 2, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.159}, "strength": 0.398}, {"id": "availability.away.absences", "note": "Hellas Verona are without 1 player, none of them central to how the side plays.", "tier": 1, "moves": [{"pct": 0, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"count": 1, "players": [{"role": "MID", "player": "Suat Serdar", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "doubtful": false, "measured": true, "goal_share": 0, "importance": 0.003, "cover_at_position": 15}], "measured": 1, "combined_goal_share": 0, "combined_importance": 0.003}, "strength": 0.15}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.382, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.618}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Mattia Croci-Torti has 27 matches in charge at FC Lugano, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.41, "manager": "Mattia Croci-Torti", "tenure_days": 181, "matches_in_charge": 27, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.3, "before_ppm": 1.1}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Marco Baroni is 8 games into the job at Hellas Verona, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.12, "manager": "Marco Baroni", "tenure_days": 410, "matches_in_charge": 8, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.7, "before_ppm": 1.1}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "FC Lugano come in on 12 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 11.791666666666666, "days_rest": 11.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Hellas Verona have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": null, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 0}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 3.27168811361869 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.167, "shrunk": 0.71, "defence": 0.181, "effective_matches": 3.3}, "home": {"attack": 0.002, "shrunk": 0.7, "defence": 0.103, "effective_matches": 3.5}, "sample": 3.27168811361869, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "FC Lugano average 10 points more possession than Hellas Verona, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it; Hellas Verona work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": -2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 10, "corners": 4.8, "matches": 12, "possession": 46.1, "xg_per_shot": 0.092, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.75, "corners_per_shot": 0.482}, "home": {"shots": 16.6, "corners": 5.4, "matches": 12, "possession": 56, "xg_per_shot": 0.111, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.82, "corners_per_shot": 0.327}, "possession_gap": 9.9}, "strength": 0.396}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "FC Lugano have scored 10 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.82}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Hellas Verona have scored 9 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.75}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.011236153310433}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 7826, "name": "David von Ballmoos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7251, "name": "Antonios Papadopoulos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7480, "name": "Lars Lukas Mai", "side": "home"}, {"id": 8568, "name": "Hannes Delcroix", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7253, "name": "Yanis Cimignani", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7259, "name": "Renato Steffen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7265, "name": "Daniel Dos Santos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7256, "name": "Anto Grgić", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7254, "name": "Uran Bislimi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7260, "name": "Kevin Behrens", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3156, "name": "Albian Ajeti", "side": "home"}, {"id": 59413, "name": "Bekhruz Karimov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 17177, "name": "Dereck Moncada", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7276, "name": "Elias Pihlström", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7248, "name": "Mattia Zanotti", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42085, "name": "Joel Bichsel", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7267, "name": "Ahmed Kendouci", "side": "home"}, {"id": 41784, "name": "Felix Gebhardt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7250, "name": "Damian Kelvin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7829, "name": "Ezgjan Alioski", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7257, "name": "Martim Marques", "side": "home"}, {"id": 19451, "name": "Beckham Castro", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52179, "name": "Gjan Ajdin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9992, "name": "Carbone", "side": "home"}, {"id": 8891, "name": "Nicolo Puddu", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63930, "name": "Christian Raffa", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63929, "name": "Bryan Zurmühle", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63928, "name": "Ian Tiraboschi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 77288, "name": "Ahmadou Ndiaye", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7271, "name": "Diego Mina", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7269, "name": "Claudio Cassano", "side": "home"}, {"id": 7720, "name": "Jason Parente", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2588, "name": "Nicola Leali", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2623, "name": "Martin Frese", "side": "away"}, {"id": 8951, "name": "Andrias Edmundsson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 29749, "name": "Seid Korać", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2199, "name": "Gabriele Zappa", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2634, "name": "Abdou Harroui", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2619, "name": "Antoine Bernede", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2624, "name": "Amin Sarr", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4109, "name": "Grigoris Kastanos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12069, "name": "Tomáš Suslov", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2276, "name": "Dailon Rocha Livramento", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2630, "name": "Tobias Slotsager", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4911, "name": "Samuele Mulattieri", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2620, "name": "Domagoj Bradarić", "side": "away"}, {"id": 29743, "name": "Mattia Compagnon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 39210, "name": "Nicolò Calabrese", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2628, "name": "Simone Perilli", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4693, "name": "Davide De Battisti", "side": "away"}, {"id": 13815, "name": "Kacper Sezonienko", "side": "away"}, {"id": 29744, "name": "Nunzio Lella", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147316, "name": "Leorat Bega", "side": "away"}, {"id": 76048, "name": "Salvatore Cerbone", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2858, "name": "Edoardo Iannoni", "side": "away"}, {"id": 91521, "name": "Noe Mael Tagne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2631, "name": "Fallou Cham", "side": "away"}, {"id": 121357, "name": "Juan Manuel Cruz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2622, "name": "Daniel Mosquera", "side": "away"}, {"id": 38834, "name": "Ruben Akale", "side": "away"}, {"id": 2599, "name": "Caleb Ekuban", "side": "away"}, {"id": 3867, "name": "Giacomo Toniolo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36223, "name": "Arthur Borghi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4326, "name": "Suat Serdar", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4300, "name": "Andrea Le Borgne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 14002, "name": "Paweł Dawidowicz", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 76, "home_id": 254, "kickoff": 1790933400, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 2588, "name": "Nicola Leali", "ai_score": 0.283, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 2623, "name": "Martin Frese", "ai_score": 0.37, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 8951, "name": "Andrias Edmundsson", "ai_score": 0.576, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 29749, "name": "Seid Korać", "ai_score": 0.321, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 2199, "name": "Gabriele Zappa", "ai_score": 0.2, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 2634, "name": "Abdou Harroui", "ai_score": 0.381, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 2619, "name": "Antoine Bernede", "ai_score": 0.346, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 2624, "name": "Amin Sarr", "ai_score": 0.306, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 4109, "name": "Grigoris Kastanos", "ai_score": 0.296, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 12069, "name": "Tomáš Suslov", "ai_score": 0.298, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 2276, "name": "Dailon Rocha Livramento", "ai_score": 0.311, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 2630, "name": "Tobias Slotsager", "ai_score": 0.31, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 4911, "name": "Samuele Mulattieri", "ai_score": 0.302, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 2620, "name": "Domagoj Bradarić", "ai_score": 0.282, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 29743, "name": "Mattia Compagnon", "ai_score": 0.274, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 39210, "name": "Nicolò Calabrese", "ai_score": 0.267, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 2628, "name": "Simone Perilli", "ai_score": 0.266, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 4693, "name": "Davide De Battisti", "ai_score": 0.261, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 13815, "name": "Kacper Sezonienko", "ai_score": 0.251, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 29744, "name": "Nunzio Lella", "ai_score": 0.24, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 147316, "name": "Leorat Bega", "ai_score": 0.214, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 76048, "name": "Salvatore Cerbone", "ai_score": 0.202, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 2858, "name": "Edoardo Iannoni", "ai_score": 0.194, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.382}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 7826, "name": "David von Ballmoos", "ai_score": 0.743, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 7251, "name": "Antonios Papadopoulos", "ai_score": 0.884, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 7480, "name": "Lars Lukas Mai", "ai_score": 0.822, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 8568, "name": "Hannes Delcroix", "ai_score": 0.719, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 7253, "name": "Yanis Cimignani", "ai_score": 0.806, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 7259, "name": "Renato Steffen", "ai_score": 0.614, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 7265, "name": "Daniel Dos Santos", "ai_score": 0.762, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 7256, "name": "Anto Grgić", "ai_score": 0.839, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 7254, "name": "Uran Bislimi", "ai_score": 0.83, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 7260, "name": "Kevin Behrens", "ai_score": 0.502, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 3156, "name": "Albian Ajeti", "ai_score": 0.272, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 59413, "name": "Bekhruz Karimov", "ai_score": 0.506, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 17177, "name": "Dereck Moncada", "ai_score": 0.505, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 7276, "name": "Elias Pihlström", "ai_score": 0.486, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 7248, "name": "Mattia Zanotti", "ai_score": 0.427, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 42085, "name": "Joel Bichsel", "ai_score": 0.412, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 7267, "name": "Ahmed Kendouci", "ai_score": 0.298, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 41784, "name": "Felix Gebhardt", "ai_score": 0.28, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 7250, "name": "Damian Kelvin", "ai_score": 0.276, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 7829, "name": "Ezgjan Alioski", "ai_score": 0.264, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 7257, "name": "Martim Marques", "ai_score": 0.234, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 19451, "name": "Beckham Castro", "ai_score": 0.215, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 52179, "name": "Gjan Ajdin", "ai_score": 0.134, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-5-2", "confidence": 0.795}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.382, "unavailable": [{"id": 7269, "name": "Claudio Cassano", "side": "home", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "team_id": null}, {"id": 4326, "name": "Suat Serdar", "side": "away", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "team_id": null}]}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 15835, "name": "Hamza Abdelkarim", "rank": 1, "goals": 4}, {"id": 390, "name": "João Pedro", "rank": 2, "goals": 4}, {"id": 675, "name": "Matheus França", "rank": 3, "goals": 4}, {"id": 1690, "name": "Andy Diouf", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 1796, "name": "Bryan Mbeumo", "rank": 5, "goals": 3}, {"id": 434, "name": "Eddie Nketiah", "rank": 6, "goals": 3}, {"id": 2810, "name": "Esteban Lepaul", "rank": 7, "goals": 3}, {"id": 5672, "name": "Felipe Chávez", "rank": 8, "goals": 3}, {"id": 65891, "name": "Kirsten Otchere", "rank": 9, "goals": 3}, {"id": 4831, "name": "Leon Opitz", "rank": 10, "goals": 3}, {"id": 7118, "name": "William Alves", "rank": 11, "goals": 3}, {"id": 8576, "name": "Abdellah Ouazane", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 380, "name": "Brenden Aaronson", "rank": 13, "goals": 2}, {"id": 4280, "name": "Carlos Espí", "rank": 14, "goals": 2}, {"id": 6784, "name": "Cengiz Ünder", "rank": 15, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 7269, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Claudio Cassano", "role": "MID", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "FC Lugano", "reason": "Cruciate Ligament Injury", "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "RW", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": "2026-10-20"}, {"id": 7276, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Elias Pihlström", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "FC Lugano", "reason": "red_card_suspension", "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 2, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 22, "goals": 4, "starts": 7, "assists": 1, "team_games": 42, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 4, "tracked_apps": 22, "tracked_starts": 7}, "status": "out", "country": null, "position": "LW", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "4-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1789578000, "opponent": "FC St. Gallen 1879"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.055, "expected_return": "2026-10-10"}, {"id": 7254, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 72}, "name": "Uran Bislimi", "role": "MID", "side": "home", "tags": ["best_performer"], "team": 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