{"id": 604952, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Eastbourne Borough FC", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2, "record": "4-0-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWLLWW", "goals_for": 2.33, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1.67}, "home": {"matches": 3}}, "home": "Thame United", "plan": "monthly", "rank": 6, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#1e3b61", "home": "#d51822"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 6268, "home": 7447}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3536, "vs": null, "name": "Steve King"}, "home": {"id": 3686, "vs": null, "name": "Ben Williams"}}}, "lambda": [2, 1.99], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Thame United report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Eastbourne Borough FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Too few recent results on record for Thame United to read their form.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 3}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Ben Williams is 3 games into the job at Thame United. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.33, "manager": "Ben Williams", "tenure_days": 29, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.33, "before_ppm": 0}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Steve King is 3 games into the job at Eastbourne Borough FC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "Steve King", "tenure_days": 64, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2, "before_ppm": 1.1}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Thame United come in on 10 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 9.802083333333334, "days_rest": 9.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Eastbourne Borough FC come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.77099887792206 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.187, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.084, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "home": {"attack": 0.192, "shrunk": 0.75, "defence": -0.062, "effective_matches": 2.7}, "sample": 1.77099887792206, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 6, "home_matches": 3}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Thame United's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 3}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Eastbourne Borough FC's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": true, "people": [{"id": 130178, "name": "James Callan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 209646, "name": "Aydin Ulas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 186296, "name": "Callum Hall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153255, "name": "Clinton Nosakhare", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153256, "name": "David Lynn", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153252, "name": "Ashley Moakes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153251, "name": "Dan West", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153248, "name": "Edwin Daffern", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153243, "name": "Adam Smith", "side": "home"}, {"id": 88907, "name": "Charlie Bacon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 186295, "name": "Charlie Stow", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153257, "name": "Finlay Murray", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153258, "name": "Josh Stranks", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153259, "name": "Luke Tingey", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153260, "name": "Mark Riddick", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153247, "name": "Greg Hackett", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153245, "name": "Harry Alexander", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153244, "name": "Curtis Brown", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153246, "name": "Lucas Wynn", "side": "home"}, {"id": 209645, "name": "Roger James", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153250, "name": "Hayden Beadle", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153254, "name": "Jack Tutton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153253, "name": "Jamie Davies", "side": "home"}, {"id": 102752, "name": "Jenson Wright", "side": "home"}, {"id": 115248, "name": "Lewis Carey", "side": "away"}, {"id": 115317, "name": "Elliott Johnson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 119768, "name": "Craig Eastmond", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144213, "name": "Freddie Carter", "side": "away"}, {"id": 82396, "name": "Giles Phillips", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144210, "name": "Arthur Grout", "side": "away"}, {"id": 130159, "name": "Darren McQueen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144209, "name": "Andy Atkin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 113430, "name": "Josh Rees", "side": "away"}, {"id": 122913, "name": "Gold Omotayo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 48132, "name": "Kai Corbett", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144214, "name": "Tyano Wilson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144212, "name": "Matthew Hayden", "side": "away"}, {"id": 46454, "name": "Harry Phipps", "side": "away"}, {"id": 210335, "name": "Samuel Oguntayo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 125368, "name": "Liam Nash", "side": "away"}, {"id": 67713, "name": "Shayon Harrison", "side": "away"}, {"id": 85578, "name": "Jack Astuti", "side": "away"}, {"id": 113537, "name": "Max Sheaf", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144211, "name": "Owen Bellamy", "side": "away"}, {"id": 44767, "name": "Terrell Egbri", "side": "away"}, {"id": 185675, "name": "Yannis Drais", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 6268, "home_id": 7447, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 115248, "name": "Lewis Carey", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 115317, "name": "Elliott Johnson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 119768, "name": "Craig Eastmond", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 144213, "name": "Freddie Carter", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 82396, "name": "Giles Phillips", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 144210, "name": "Arthur Grout", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 130159, "name": "Darren McQueen", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 144209, "name": "Andy Atkin", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 113430, "name": "Josh Rees", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 122913, "name": "Gold Omotayo", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 48132, "name": "Kai Corbett", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.005}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 130178, "name": "James Callan", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 209646, "name": "Aydin Ulas", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 186296, "name": "Callum Hall", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 153255, "name": "Clinton Nosakhare", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 153256, "name": "David Lynn", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 153252, "name": "Ashley Moakes", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 153251, "name": "Dan West", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 153248, "name": "Edwin Daffern", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 153243, "name": "Adam Smith", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 88907, "name": "Charlie Bacon", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 186295, "name": "Charlie Stow", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 153243, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Adam Smith", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Thame United", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 88907, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Charlie Bacon", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Thame United", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 144209, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Andy Atkin", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Eastbourne Borough FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 122913, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Gold Omotayo", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Eastbourne Borough FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4293, "event": {"id": 604952, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Eastbourne Borough FC", "home_team": "Thame United", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 6268, "home_team_id": 7447}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.6022}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T02:05:24Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 60.2}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [{"drivers": [{"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Ben Williams is 3 games into the job at Thame United. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.33, "manager": "Ben Williams", "tenure_days": 29, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.33, "before_ppm": 0}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Steve King is 3 games into the job at Eastbourne Borough FC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "Steve King", "tenure_days": 64, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2, "before_ppm": 1.1}}, "strength": 0.35}], "narrative": "Eastbourne Borough look far too strong for a Thame United side still finding their feet. Steve King took over at Eastbourne Borough only three games ago, yet his side have won four of their last six. King sets up in a 4-2-3-1 with Andy Atkin and Gold Omotayo starting up front to test James Callan in the Thame goal. Ben Williams manages Thame United, having taken over only three games ago, and his side line up in a 4-3-3. Adam Smith, Charlie Bacon and Charlie Stow start up front to face Eastbourne goalkeeper Lewis Carey.", "set_aside": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}]}], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.233, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871799, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.9874899622232232, "lambda_home": 1.9950738682148625, "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "locked_calls": 1, "lineup_status": "predicted"}