{"id": 604917, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Wingate & Finchley", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.33, "record": "2-2-2", "streak": "unbeaten 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLDWDW", "goals_for": 1, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 0.83}, "home": {"ppg": 2.5, "record": "5-0-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWWWLW", "goals_for": 1.67, "venue_ppg": 3, "clean_sheets": 4, "goals_against": 0.33}}, "home": "Bedford Town", "pass": "No call on Bedford Town against Wingate & Finchley. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Bedford Town to edge it, with goals"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Bedford Town have taken 2.50 points a game from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.3, and 3.00 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": null, "home": "#1212e0"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 2919, "home": 3374}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3637, "vs": null, "name": "Glen Little"}, "home": {"id": 3448, "vs": null, "name": "Harry  Smart"}}}, "lambda": [1.46, 1.41], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Bedford Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Wingate & Finchley report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Harry  Smart is 7 games into the job at Bedford Town, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.29, "manager": "Harry  Smart", "tenure_days": 89, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.29, "before_ppm": 0}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Glen Little is 5 games into the job at Wingate & Finchley. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 0.7, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.6, "manager": "Glen Little", "tenure_days": 64, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.6, "before_ppm": 0.78}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Bedford Town come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Wingate & Finchley come in on 11 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 10.802083333333334, "days_rest": 10.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 0.925761882826246 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.053, "shrunk": 0.69, "defence": 0.185, "effective_matches": 3.6}, "home": {"attack": 0.015, "shrunk": 0.9, "defence": 0.03, "effective_matches": 0.9}, "sample": 0.925761882826246, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 11, "home_matches": 7}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Bedford Town's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 7}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Wingate & Finchley's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 11}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 79756, "name": "Aaron Flahavan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 121310, "name": "Anthony Stewart", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46486, "name": "Festus Arthur", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79750, "name": "Greg Taylor", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79742, "name": "Eno Nto", "side": "home"}, {"id": 141768, "name": "Ben Weyman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 124317, "name": "David Hicks", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46518, "name": "Finley Wilkinson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79740, "name": "Claudio Ofosu", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52378, "name": "George Moncur", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79737, "name": "Jonathan Edwards", "side": "home"}, {"id": 141769, "name": "Noah Mosanya", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79754, "name": "Joe Payne", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46421, "name": "Sonnie Davis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79753, "name": "Ryan Doherty", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42764, "name": "Tarik Gidaree", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79736, "name": "Reece Evans", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46545, "name": "Louie Kudiabor", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79757, "name": "Laurie Walker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42837, "name": "Josh Castiglione", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79745, "name": "Junior Gyamfi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55576, "name": "T'Sharne Gallimore", "side": "home"}, {"id": 45672, "name": "Troy Perez-Duah", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79744, "name": "Peter Abimbola", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34035, "name": "Ryan Doherty", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79749, "name": "Harrison Murphy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154621, "name": "Charlie Grainger", "side": "away"}, {"id": 139212, "name": "Alkeo Bani", "side": "away"}, {"id": 80187, "name": "Ben Frempah", "side": "away"}, {"id": 132307, "name": "Billy Cracknell", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154618, "name": "Casey Shann", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55133, "name": "Mackye Townsend-West", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147194, "name": "Michael O'Donoghue", "side": "away"}, {"id": 45678, "name": "Romeo Akinola", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154616, "name": "Alfie Cue", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154615, "name": "Anointed Chukwu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 186394, "name": "John Shamalo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154620, "name": "Loic Hernandez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 137058, "name": "Sam Cornish", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79865, "name": "Scott Kashket", "side": "away"}, {"id": 137089, "name": "Ryan Lowe", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 2919, "home_id": 3374, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 154621, "name": "Charlie Grainger", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 139212, "name": "Alkeo Bani", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 80187, "name": "Ben Frempah", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 132307, "name": "Billy Cracknell", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 154618, "name": "Casey Shann", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 55133, "name": "Mackye Townsend-West", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 147194, "name": "Michael O'Donoghue", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 45678, "name": "Romeo Akinola", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 154616, "name": "Alfie Cue", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 154615, "name": "Anointed Chukwu", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 186394, "name": "John Shamalo", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 79756, "name": "Aaron Flahavan", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 121310, "name": "Anthony Stewart", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 46486, "name": "Festus Arthur", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 79750, "name": "Greg Taylor", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 79742, "name": "Eno Nto", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 141768, "name": "Ben Weyman", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 124317, "name": "David Hicks", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 46518, "name": "Finley Wilkinson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 79740, "name": "Claudio Ofosu", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 52378, "name": "George Moncur", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 79737, "name": "Jonathan Edwards", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 79740, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Claudio Ofosu", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Bedford Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 79737, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Jonathan Edwards", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Bedford Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 154616, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Alfie Cue", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Wingate & Finchley", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 154615, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Anointed Chukwu", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Wingate & Finchley", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4298, "event": {"id": 604917, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Wingate & Finchley", "home_team": "Bedford Town", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 2919, "home_team_id": 3374}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.5698}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T02:05:24Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 57}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.246, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871801, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.4060225646317035, "lambda_home": 1.4649135939303466, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was away draw-no-bet at 3.50, where the model confidence of 25% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}