{"id": 604914, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Cirencester Town", "form": {"away": {"matches": 3}, "home": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWLWDW", "goals_for": 2, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.67}}, "home": "Truro City", "plan": "monthly", "rank": 6, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Truro City have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7, and 2.00 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": null, "home": "#b91e2c"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 7173, "home": 4693}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": null, "home": {"id": 2752, "vs": null, "name": "John Askey"}}}, "lambda": [1.58, 1.5], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Truro City report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Cirencester Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.259, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.741}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Too few recent results on record for Cirencester Town to read their form.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 3}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "John Askey is 5 games into the job at Truro City. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "John Askey", "tenure_days": 78, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2, "before_ppm": 1.5}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "manager.away", "note": "No manager record for Cirencester Town, so regime state cannot be read.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Truro City come in on 11 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 10.802083333333334, "days_rest": 10.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Cirencester Town come in on 11 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 10.802083333333334, "days_rest": 10.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.87096846959174 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.1, "shrunk": 0.75, "defence": 0.092, "effective_matches": 2.7}, "home": {"attack": -0.012, "shrunk": 0.81, "defence": 0.114, "effective_matches": 1.9}, "sample": 1.87096846959174, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 3, "home_matches": 12}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Truro City have scored 9 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds. — though 3 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"sample": 3, "matches": 12, "required": 6, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.76}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Cirencester Town's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 3}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": true, "people": [{"id": 117160, "name": "Aidan Stone", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153561, "name": "Connor Riley-Lowe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 77517, "name": "Maxwell Kinsey-Wellings", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122851, "name": "Christian Oxlade-Chamberlain", "side": "home"}, {"id": 115286, "name": "Zac Bell", "side": "home"}, {"id": 131253, "name": "Tom Harrison", "side": "home"}, {"id": 129523, "name": "Ryan Law", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153553, "name": "Will Dean", "side": "home"}, {"id": 58110, "name": "Ben Starkie", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33859, "name": "Tom Dean", "side": "home"}, {"id": 113603, "name": "Luke Jephcott", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106534, "name": "Jack Stretton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153550, "name": "Yassine En-Neyah", "side": "home"}, {"id": 150445, "name": "Tylor Love-Holmes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153571, "name": "Dalron Hall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 98292, "name": "Shaun Donnellan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153560, "name": "Jack David Nunn", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153565, "name": "Kieren Conibear-Trathen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 69322, "name": "Lewis Colwell", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153543, "name": "Tyler Harvey", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46474, "name": "Omar Bogle", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30010, "name": "Harvey Greenslade", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153547, "name": "Daniel Carne", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153568, "name": "Dan Lavercombe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153570, "name": "Tim Brooks", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153556, "name": "Daniel Rooney", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153555, "name": "Billy Palfrey", "side": "home"}, {"id": 131281, "name": "Lirak Hasani", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33722, "name": "Tom Tweedy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153557, "name": "Lewis Leigh Gilchrist", "side": "home"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 7173, "home_id": 4693, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": null, "home": {"players": [{"id": 117160, "name": "Aidan Stone", "ai_score": 0.381, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 153561, "name": "Connor Riley-Lowe", "ai_score": 0.394, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 77517, "name": "Maxwell Kinsey-Wellings", "ai_score": 0.466, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 122851, "name": "Christian Oxlade-Chamberlain", "ai_score": 0.349, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 115286, "name": "Zac Bell", "ai_score": 0.338, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 131253, "name": "Tom Harrison", "ai_score": 0.325, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 129523, "name": "Ryan Law", "ai_score": 0.318, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 153553, "name": "Will Dean", "ai_score": 0.386, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 58110, "name": "Ben Starkie", "ai_score": 0.261, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33859, "name": "Tom Dean", "ai_score": 0.34, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 113603, "name": "Luke Jephcott", "ai_score": 0.39, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 106534, "name": "Jack Stretton", "ai_score": 0.28, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 153550, "name": "Yassine En-Neyah", "ai_score": 0.224, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 150445, "name": "Tylor Love-Holmes", "ai_score": 0.13, "position": "D", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-1-4-1", "confidence": 0.259}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.259, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 113603, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Luke Jephcott", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Truro City", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4274, "event": {"id": 604914, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Cirencester Town", "home_team": "Truro City", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 7173, "home_team_id": 4693}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.8}, "created_at": "2026-09-30T18:05:17Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 80}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [{"drivers": [{"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "John Askey is 5 games into the job at Truro City. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "John Askey", "tenure_days": 78, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2, "before_ppm": 1.5}}, "strength": 0.2}], "narrative": "Truro City are far too solid to slip up here despite being in a transitional phase. Manager John Askey is still settling in at Truro City, but his team structure is already delivering results. Aidan Stone is expected to start in goal for Truro City, providing a reliable foundation to a backline that has delivered three clean sheets in six matches. Up front, Luke Jephcott is expected to start up front for Truro City to lead the attack. Having won four of their last six, John Askey has them functioning with real discipline.", "set_aside": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.259, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.741}]}], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.205, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871803, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.4954875967107357, "lambda_home": 1.5809034143964438, "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "locked_calls": 1, "lineup_status": "predicted"}