{"id": 604913, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "FC United of Manchester", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "3-0-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWLLWW", "goals_for": 2.17, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.67}, "home": {"ppg": 2.33, "record": "4-2-0", "streak": "unbeaten 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DWWWDW", "goals_for": 2.67, "venue_ppg": 2.6, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}}, "home": "Worksop Town FC", "pass": "Passing on Worksop Town FC v FC United of Manchester. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Worksop Town FC to edge it, with goals"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Worksop Town FC have taken 2.33 points a game from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.0, and 2.60 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#c21034", "home": "#443c3f"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 4037, "home": 5635}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 2117, "vs": null, "name": "Mark Beesley"}, "home": {"id": 3705, "vs": null, "name": "Craig Parry"}}}, "lambda": [1.98, 2.09], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Worksop Town FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "FC United of Manchester report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Craig Parry is 4 games into the job at Worksop Town FC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.5, "manager": "Craig Parry", "tenure_days": 68, "matches_in_charge": 4, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.5, "before_ppm": 2.11}}, "strength": 0.233}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Mark Beesley is 7 games into the job at FC United of Manchester, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.71, "manager": "Mark Beesley", "tenure_days": 82, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.71, "before_ppm": 0.9}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Worksop Town FC come in on 11 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 10.802083333333334, "days_rest": 10.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "FC United of Manchester come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.77099887792206 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.286, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.061, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "home": {"attack": 0.173, "shrunk": 0.81, "defence": -0.037, "effective_matches": 1.9}, "sample": 1.77099887792206, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 9, "home_matches": 10}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Worksop Town FC's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 10}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for FC United of Manchester's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 9}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 124355, "name": "Joshua Render", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29395, "name": "Andrew Boyce", "side": "home"}, {"id": 115291, "name": "Bailey Gooda", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122871, "name": "Deegan Atherton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122897, "name": "Ben Tomlinson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122882, "name": "Aleks Starcenko", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154650, "name": "Chae Whitman-Brown", "side": "home"}, {"id": 49033, "name": "Ben Hatton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154649, "name": "Jay Abudu", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154645, "name": "Jordan Burrow", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34265, "name": "Kian Harratt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122876, "name": "Josh Wilde", "side": "home"}, {"id": 135389, "name": "Mason O'Malley", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42677, "name": "Rollin Menayese", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154648, "name": "Lewis Whitham", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46335, "name": "Ryan Viggars", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42674, "name": "Max Dearnley", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154651, "name": "Sam Essien", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122885, "name": "Vaughan Redford", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34197, "name": "Oliver Greaves", "side": "home"}, {"id": 115372, "name": "Liam Waldock", "side": "home"}, {"id": 215929, "name": "Luca Cancello", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122879, "name": "Sam Wedgbury", "side": "home"}, {"id": 133206, "name": "Daniel Atherton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 145484, "name": "Michael Donohue", "side": "away"}, {"id": 161968, "name": "Curtis Jones", "side": "away"}, {"id": 161970, "name": "Aaron Morris", "side": "away"}, {"id": 161973, "name": "Joe White", "side": "away"}, {"id": 145488, "name": "Paul Ennis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 161969, "name": "Jordan Simpson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 121428, "name": "Aaron Atkinson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 151540, "name": "Jay Harris", "side": "away"}, {"id": 145489, "name": "Andre Wisdom", "side": "away"}, {"id": 161971, "name": "Dan Cockerline", "side": "away"}, {"id": 161972, "name": "Tom Stead", "side": "away"}, {"id": 145490, "name": "Charlie Hayes-Green", "side": "away"}, {"id": 145491, "name": "Matty Thomson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 145487, "name": "Niall Watson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 119297, "name": "Adam Le Fondre", "side": "away"}, {"id": 130091, "name": "Gerald Sithole", "side": "away"}, {"id": 145486, "name": "Jordan Buckley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 145485, "name": "Matthew Grivosti", "side": "away"}, {"id": 129638, "name": "Keane Barugh", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 4037, "home_id": 5635, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 133206, "name": "Daniel Atherton", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 145484, "name": "Michael Donohue", "ai_score": 0.244, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 161968, "name": "Curtis Jones", "ai_score": 0.256, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 161970, "name": "Aaron Morris", "ai_score": 0.217, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 161973, "name": "Joe White", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 145488, "name": "Paul Ennis", "ai_score": 0.244, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 161969, "name": "Jordan Simpson", "ai_score": 0.154, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 121428, "name": "Aaron Atkinson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 151540, "name": "Jay Harris", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 145489, "name": "Andre Wisdom", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 161971, "name": "Dan Cockerline", "ai_score": 0.184, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 161972, "name": "Tom Stead", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-1-4-1", "confidence": 0.045}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 124355, "name": "Joshua Render", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 29395, "name": "Andrew Boyce", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 115291, "name": "Bailey Gooda", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 122871, "name": "Deegan Atherton", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 122897, "name": "Ben Tomlinson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 122882, "name": "Aleks Starcenko", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 154650, "name": "Chae Whitman-Brown", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 49033, "name": "Ben Hatton", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 154649, "name": "Jay Abudu", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 154645, "name": "Jordan Burrow", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 34265, "name": "Kian Harratt", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 122897, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Ben Tomlinson", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Worksop Town FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 49033, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Ben Hatton", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Worksop Town FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 145484, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Michael Donohue", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "FC United of Manchester", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "RW", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 161971, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Dan Cockerline", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "FC United of Manchester", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4297, "event": {"id": 604913, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "FC United of Manchester", "home_team": "Worksop Town FC", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 4037, "home_team_id": 5635}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.5306}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T02:05:24Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 53.1}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.252, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871803, "corner_rate": 10.15, "lambda_away": 2.094859865284326, "lambda_home": 1.9822525107587192, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was over 3.5 goals at 2.07, where the model confidence of 25% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}