{"id": 604911, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 1, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": 1, "home_goals": 0, "away_win_rate": 1, "home_win_rate": 0, "total_matches": 1, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Chatham Town", "date": "2026-07-21T18:45:00+00:00", "home": "Dorking Wanderers", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 219255, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 1895, "home_team_id": 3483}], "avg_total_goals": 1}, "away": "Chatham Town", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.67, "record": "3-1-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DLWLWW", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 3, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 1}, "home": {"ppg": 0.83, "record": "1-2-3", "streak": "winless 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWLLDD", "goals_for": 1.17, "venue_ppg": 0.5, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 2.17}}, "home": "Dorking Wanderers", "pass": "No call on Dorking Wanderers against Chatham Town. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Dorking Wanderers to win, with goals"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#c8102f", "home": "#192e8c"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 1895, "home": 3483}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 1261, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 0, "w": 1, "last": {"score": "1-0", "result": "W", "kickoff": 1784659500}}, "name": "Kevin Hake"}, "home": {"id": 2785, "vs": {"d": 0, "l": 1, "w": 0, "last": {"score": "0-1", "result": "L", "kickoff": 1784659500}}, "name": "Marc White"}}}, "lambda": [1.57, 1.8], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Dorking Wanderers report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Chatham Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.041, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.959}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Marc White is 6 games into the job at Dorking Wanderers, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.83, "manager": "Marc White", "tenure_days": 75, "matches_in_charge": 6, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.83, "before_ppm": 0.9}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Kevin Hake is 10 games into the job at Chatham Town, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.4, "manager": "Kevin Hake", "tenure_days": 337, "matches_in_charge": 10, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.4, "before_ppm": 2}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Dorking Wanderers come in on 11 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 10.802083333333334, "days_rest": 10.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Chatham Town come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.87700552099172 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.09, "shrunk": 0.81, "defence": 0.191, "effective_matches": 1.9}, "home": {"attack": 0.089, "shrunk": 0.81, "defence": -0.082, "effective_matches": 1.9}, "sample": 1.87700552099172, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 10, "home_matches": 9}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Dorking Wanderers's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 9}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Chatham Town's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 10}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 33993, "name": "Glenn Morris", "side": "home"}, {"id": 115250, "name": "Isaac Philpot", "side": "home"}, {"id": 131296, "name": "Brennan Camp", "side": "home"}, {"id": 139301, "name": "Charlie Sayers", "side": "home"}, {"id": 115303, "name": "Dennon Lewis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144035, "name": "Jimmy Muitt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144048, "name": "Luke Moore", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144046, "name": "Josh Taylor", "side": "home"}, {"id": 102967, "name": "Daniel Pybus", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144025, "name": "Alfie Rutherford", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91463, "name": "Dawid Rogalski", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54249, "name": "Louie Annesley", "side": "home"}, {"id": 129772, "name": "George Francomb", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42665, "name": "Oluwafemi Ilesanmi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42903, "name": "Joshua Barrett", "side": "home"}, {"id": 119764, "name": "Max Foulkes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144029, "name": "George Nikaj", "side": "home"}, {"id": 131335, "name": "Harry Pinchard", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144032, "name": "James McShane", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144050, "name": "Daniel Gallagher", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144054, "name": "Seb Tauta-Caballero", "side": "home"}, {"id": 35829, "name": "Harry Forster", "side": "home"}, {"id": 114636, "name": "Frank Vincent", "side": "home"}, {"id": 6715, "name": "Josh Laqeretabua", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144059, "name": "Cristiano Barreca", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144052, "name": "Dillon Grass", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144058, "name": "Fin McIntyre", "side": "home"}, {"id": 115261, "name": "Jack Wood", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144056, "name": "Teddie Sullivan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43233, "name": "Nathan Harvey", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43227, "name": "Alex Giles", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43223, "name": "Sid Nelson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43229, "name": "Adedapo Olugbodi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43230, "name": "Oliver Evans", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43215, "name": "Adam Leathers", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43216, "name": "Jordy Robins", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43217, "name": "Kian Garinge", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43207, "name": "Stanley Oldfield", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63027, "name": "Bradley Stevenson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63028, "name": "Harry Lodovica", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43218, "name": "Kian Moynes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43219, "name": "Lewis Chambers", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43228, "name": "Reece Butler", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33772, "name": "Oliver Hobden", "side": "away"}, {"id": 143092, "name": "Jack Turner", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43226, "name": "Joey Taylor", "side": "away"}, {"id": 114609, "name": "Nile Ranger", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43205, "name": "Sam Folarin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43351, "name": "Ben Coker", "side": "away"}, {"id": 63029, "name": "Eitel Goueth", "side": "away"}, {"id": 210294, "name": "Malachi Tommy-Mbogba", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43221, "name": "Rashid Yussuff", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 1895, "home_id": 3483, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 43233, "name": "Nathan Harvey", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 43227, "name": "Alex Giles", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 43223, "name": "Sid Nelson", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 43229, "name": "Adedapo Olugbodi", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 43230, "name": "Oliver Evans", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 43215, "name": "Adam Leathers", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43216, "name": "Jordy Robins", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43217, "name": "Kian Garinge", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43207, "name": "Stanley Oldfield", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 63027, "name": "Bradley Stevenson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 63028, "name": "Harry Lodovica", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 43218, "name": "Kian Moynes", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 43219, "name": "Lewis Chambers", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 43228, "name": "Reece Butler", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0.041}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 33993, "name": "Glenn Morris", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 115250, "name": "Isaac Philpot", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 131296, "name": "Brennan Camp", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 139301, "name": "Charlie Sayers", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 115303, "name": "Dennon Lewis", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 144035, "name": "Jimmy Muitt", "ai_score": 0.345, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 144048, "name": "Luke Moore", "ai_score": 0.258, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 144046, "name": "Josh Taylor", "ai_score": 0.295, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 102967, "name": "Daniel Pybus", "ai_score": 0.261, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 144025, "name": "Alfie Rutherford", "ai_score": 0.221, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 91463, "name": "Dawid Rogalski", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "3-5-2", "confidence": 0.045}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.041, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 144025, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Alfie Rutherford", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Dorking Wanderers", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 91463, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Dawid Rogalski", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Dorking Wanderers", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 43207, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Stanley Oldfield", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Chatham Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 63027, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Bradley Stevenson", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Chatham Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4299, "event": {"id": 604911, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Chatham Town", "home_team": "Dorking Wanderers", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 1895, "home_team_id": 3483}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.7588}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T02:05:24Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 75.9}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.248, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871804, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.802913756458582, "lambda_home": 1.5681011024888787, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was away draw-no-bet at 7.00, where the model confidence of 25% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}