{"id": 604909, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Hanworth Villa", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2.4, "record": "4-0-1", "streak": "won 4", "matches": 5, "sequence": "LWWWW", "goals_for": 2.8, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 0.8}, "home": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "won 3", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WLDWWW", "goals_for": 1.83, "venue_ppg": 2.5, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1.17}}, "home": "Leatherhead", "pass": "Nothing to take on Leatherhead against Hanworth Villa. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Leatherhead have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2, and 2.50 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Hanworth Villa have taken 2.40 points a game from their last 5 (4W 0D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": null, "home": "#245b2c"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 7430, "home": 6708}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3658, "vs": null, "name": "Simon Haughney"}, "home": {"id": 3655, "vs": null, "name": "Ian Selley"}}}, "lambda": [1.66, 1.81], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Leatherhead report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Hanworth Villa report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Ian Selley is 3 games into the job at Leatherhead. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 3, "manager": "Ian Selley", "tenure_days": 64, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 3, "before_ppm": 2}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Simon Haughney is 3 games into the job at Hanworth Villa. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 3, "manager": "Simon Haughney", "tenure_days": 75, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 3, "before_ppm": 1.67}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Leatherhead come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Hanworth Villa come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.77099887792206 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.332, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.118, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "home": {"attack": 0.041, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.178, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "sample": 1.77099887792206, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 5, "home_matches": 10}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Leatherhead's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 10}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Hanworth Villa's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 5}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 106414, "name": "Rileigh Hebditch", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106409, "name": "Cameron Black", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106408, "name": "George Hedley", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106412, "name": "Jude Jeffery", "side": "home"}, {"id": 201432, "name": "Kemall Wilson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 185986, "name": "Connor Harris", "side": "home"}, {"id": 103874, "name": "Harry Murphy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 100910, "name": "Jamarie Brissett", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106398, "name": "Anas Igozouln", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106397, "name": "Kwesi Ntim", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106395, "name": "Marcel Barrington", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106407, "name": "Niran Butler", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106411, "name": "Liam Flanighan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106410, "name": "Louis Paget", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106406, "name": "Tibet Sessegnon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106393, "name": "Matt Everitt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106394, "name": "Tahjae Anderson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106399, "name": "Trey Masikini", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106413, "name": "Sonny Wheeler", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106400, "name": "Tom Kavanagh", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106404, "name": "Joe Jackson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106401, "name": "Kane Fitzgerald", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106405, "name": "Louie Prendergast", "side": "home"}, {"id": 106403, "name": "Mark Waters", "side": "home"}, {"id": 147104, "name": "Mark Smith", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147101, "name": "Ali Mansaray", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147103, "name": "Ben Geraghty", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147102, "name": "Ben Merson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147100, "name": "Billy Nutbeam", "side": "away"}, {"id": 123835, "name": "Abdullah Javaid", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147094, "name": "Ben Mulley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 56731, "name": "Brandon Barzey", "side": "away"}, {"id": 171253, "name": "Christian Jolley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147087, "name": "Jack Timberlake", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147088, "name": "Jacob Erskine", "side": "away"}, {"id": 139318, "name": "Manny Parry", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147098, "name": "Ethan Light", "side": "away"}, {"id": 139336, "name": "George Wells", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147099, "name": "Guy Ansah-Palmer", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147097, "name": "Guy Hollis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33957, "name": "Jake Leahy", "side": "away"}, {"id": 122950, "name": "Josh Casey", "side": "away"}, {"id": 181626, "name": "Sam Merson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 78755, "name": "Michael Harding", "side": "away"}, {"id": 127358, "name": "Tyla Dickinson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147089, "name": "Giovanni McGregor", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147090, "name": "Elliott Bolton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147092, "name": "Finlay Macnab", "side": "away"}, {"id": 122903, "name": "Haydon Vaughan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 213316, "name": "Kyron Richards", "side": "away"}, {"id": 213315, "name": "Leon Solomon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 91465, "name": "Lucas Defise", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147091, "name": "Shane Dunne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147095, "name": "Theo Curtis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147093, "name": "Toure Williams", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 7430, "home_id": 6708, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 147104, "name": "Mark Smith", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 147101, "name": "Ali Mansaray", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 147103, "name": "Ben Geraghty", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 147102, "name": "Ben Merson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 147100, "name": "Billy Nutbeam", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 123835, "name": "Abdullah Javaid", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 147094, "name": "Ben Mulley", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 56731, "name": "Brandon Barzey", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 171253, "name": "Christian Jolley", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 147087, "name": "Jack Timberlake", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 147088, "name": "Jacob Erskine", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 106414, "name": "Rileigh Hebditch", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 106409, "name": "Cameron Black", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 106408, "name": "George Hedley", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 106412, "name": "Jude Jeffery", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 201432, "name": "Kemall Wilson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 185986, "name": "Connor Harris", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 103874, "name": "Harry Murphy", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 100910, "name": "Jamarie Brissett", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 106398, "name": "Anas Igozouln", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 106397, "name": "Kwesi Ntim", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 106395, "name": "Marcel Barrington", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 106398, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Anas Igozouln", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Leatherhead", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 106397, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Kwesi Ntim", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Leatherhead", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 171253, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Christian Jolley", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Hanworth Villa", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 147087, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Jack Timberlake", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Hanworth Villa", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4296, "event": {"id": 604909, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Hanworth Villa", "home_team": "Leatherhead", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 7430, "home_team_id": 6708}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4094}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T02:05:24Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 40.9}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.245, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871804, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.8066310306866158, "lambda_home": 1.657763560608991, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was over 3.5 goals at 2.45, where the model confidence of 25% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}