{"id": 604908, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Chertsey Town", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2.33, "record": "4-2-0", "streak": "unbeaten 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DWWDWW", "goals_for": 2.17, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 1.33}, "home": {"matches": 2}}, "home": "Sheppey United", "pass": "Nothing to take on Sheppey United against Chertsey Town. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": "away", "text": "Chertsey Town to win, with goals"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Chertsey Town have taken 2.33 points a game from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#1aa044", "home": "#ed2d1e"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 3375, "home": 3243}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": null, "home": {"id": 3675, "vs": null, "name": "Ernie Batten"}}}, "lambda": [1.74, 1.37], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Sheppey United report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Chertsey Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Too few recent results on record for Sheppey United to read their form.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 2}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Ernie Batten is 2 games into the job at Sheppey United. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 4.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 3, "manager": "Ernie Batten", "tenure_days": 29, "matches_in_charge": 2, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 3, "before_ppm": 0}}, "strength": 0.467}, {"id": "manager.away", "note": "No manager record for Chertsey Town, so regime state cannot be read.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Sheppey United come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Chertsey Town come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.77099887792206 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.045, "shrunk": 0.75, "defence": 0.039, "effective_matches": 2.6}, "home": {"attack": -0.001, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.146, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "sample": 1.77099887792206, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 8, "home_matches": 2}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Sheppey United's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 2}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Chertsey Town's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 8}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 110097, "name": "Aiden Prall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110081, "name": "Mamadou Diallo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110084, "name": "Daniel Birch", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110085, "name": "Jamie Graham", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110083, "name": "Charlie Nichol", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110065, "name": "Jacob Lambert", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110064, "name": "Danny Leonard", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110051, "name": "Oladipo Durowoju", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110070, "name": "Oscar Housego", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110050, "name": "Alex Willis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 75042, "name": "Daniel Bradshaw", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110052, "name": "Jack Marsh", "side": "home"}, {"id": 71174, "name": "Sinn'Kaye Christie", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110095, "name": "Ethan Cole", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110092, "name": "Hanson Itauma", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110080, "name": "Harlain Mbayo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110093, "name": "Joseph Ganiwa", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110094, "name": "Joseph Tyrie", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110088, "name": "Nikolai Krokhin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110091, "name": "Olamilekan Majoyegbe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110090, "name": "Oluwadamilola Olorunnisumo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110089, "name": "Prince Ikie", "side": "home"}, {"id": 70657, "name": "Rhys Wyborn", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110096, "name": "Vote Singa", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110047, "name": "Dan Carr", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110057, "name": "Corey Spencer", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110055, "name": "David Johnson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110056, "name": "Gabriel Ipanga Mbambo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110054, "name": "Harrison McCall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110048, "name": "Jahmal Hector Ingram", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110049, "name": "Michael Salako", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110053, "name": "Zion McLeod", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110098, "name": "Alfie Irvine", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110072, "name": "Joshua Wisson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110058, "name": "Medy Elito", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110063, "name": "Aiden Clark", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110078, "name": "Alexander Barnes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110071, "name": "Bailey Catherick", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110061, "name": "Cameron Andrews", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110079, "name": "David Opoku", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110076, "name": "Frankie Maciocia", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110060, "name": "James Taylor", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110077, "name": "Joel Wakefield", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110073, "name": "Jordy Ndozid", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110067, "name": "Joshua Bedzrah", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110066, "name": "Julien Anau", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110069, "name": "Kenzie Monahan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110074, "name": "Liam Gillies", "side": "home"}, {"id": 110075, "name": "Victor Aiyelabola", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79168, "name": "Gary Abisogun", "side": "away"}, {"id": 115277, "name": "Lachlan Byrd", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79166, "name": "Ashley Lodge", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79173, "name": "Luke Robertson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79174, "name": "Toby Little", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79171, "name": "Allan Cockram", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79167, "name": "Casey MacLaren", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79170, "name": "Darryl Harrison", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79162, "name": "Bradley Wilson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79163, "name": "Eoin Casey", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79160, "name": "Nathan Minhas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79161, "name": "Samuel Ompreon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79164, "name": "Joe Grant", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79169, "name": "Scott Rees", "side": "away"}, {"id": 143100, "name": "Leo Farruch", "side": "away"}, {"id": 143099, "name": "Louis Birch", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79165, "name": "Seb Bowerman", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 3375, "home_id": 3243, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 79168, "name": "Gary Abisogun", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 115277, "name": "Lachlan Byrd", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 79166, "name": "Ashley Lodge", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 79173, "name": "Luke Robertson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 79174, "name": "Toby Little", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 79171, "name": "Allan Cockram", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 79167, "name": "Casey MacLaren", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 79170, "name": "Darryl Harrison", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 79162, "name": "Bradley Wilson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 79163, "name": "Eoin Casey", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 79160, "name": "Nathan Minhas", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 110097, "name": "Aiden Prall", "ai_score": 0.48, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 110081, "name": "Mamadou Diallo", "ai_score": 0.392, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 110084, "name": "Daniel Birch", "ai_score": 0.217, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 110085, "name": "Jamie Graham", "ai_score": 0.017, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 110083, "name": "Charlie Nichol", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 110065, "name": "Jacob Lambert", "ai_score": 0.423, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 110064, "name": "Danny Leonard", "ai_score": 0.365, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 110051, "name": "Oladipo Durowoju", "ai_score": 0.212, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 110070, "name": "Oscar Housego", "ai_score": 0.017, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 110050, "name": "Alex Willis", "ai_score": 0.184, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 75042, "name": "Daniel Bradshaw", "ai_score": 0.163, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 110052, "name": "Jack Marsh", "ai_score": 0.017, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.105}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 110051, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Oladipo Durowoju", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Sheppey United", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 110050, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Alex Willis", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Sheppey United", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 79162, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Bradley Wilson", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Chertsey Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 79163, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Eoin Casey", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Chertsey Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4295, "event": {"id": 604908, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Chertsey Town", "home_team": "Sheppey United", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 3375, "home_team_id": 3243}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.6109}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T02:05:24Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 61.1}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.204, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871805, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.3717871276680524, "lambda_home": 1.7370835238487876, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was home win at 5.05, where the model confidence of 20% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}