{"id": 604905, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "SE Døns FC", "form": {"away": {"matches": 2}, "home": {"ppg": 1.75, "record": "2-1-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 4, "sequence": "LDWW", "goals_for": 1.75, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}}, "home": "Weymouth FC", "pass": "No call on Weymouth FC against SE Døns FC. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Weymouth FC to edge it, with goals"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": null, "home": null}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 8657, "home": 5852}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": null, "home": {"id": 3616, "vs": null, "name": "Jamie Wells"}}}, "lambda": [1.86, 1.47], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Weymouth FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "SE Døns FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Too few recent results on record for SE Døns FC to read their form.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 2}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Jamie Wells is 3 games into the job at Weymouth FC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.33, "manager": "Jamie Wells", "tenure_days": 64, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.33, "before_ppm": 0.6}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "manager.away", "note": "No manager record for SE Døns FC, so regime state cannot be read.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Weymouth FC come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "SE Døns FC come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.77099887792206 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.095, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.073, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "home": {"attack": 0.111, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.125, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "sample": 1.77099887792206, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 2, "home_matches": 4}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Weymouth FC's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 4}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for SE Døns FC's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 2}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 154573, "name": "Gerard Benfield", "side": "home"}, {"id": 147242, "name": "Andy Robinson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 120511, "name": "Brooklyn Genesini", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154567, "name": "Calvin Brooks", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154570, "name": "Harry Hutchinson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 130317, "name": "Tom Bearwish", "side": "home"}, {"id": 186389, "name": "Ben Moss", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154562, "name": "Bobby Shinton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154564, "name": "Lewis Brown", "side": "home"}, {"id": 128425, "name": "Euan Pollock", "side": "home"}, {"id": 123977, "name": "Mitch Beardmore", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154569, "name": "Oakley Hanger", "side": "home"}, {"id": 130274, "name": "Joe McNerney", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154571, "name": "Kieran Douglas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154568, "name": "Kris Naicker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 213562, "name": "Sam Jackson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154560, "name": "Tor Swann", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154561, "name": "Paul Randall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 186387, "name": "Rhudy Ntounda", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154559, "name": "Toby Holmes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154574, "name": "Harry Dillon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92351, "name": "Matty Carson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 186388, "name": "Stef Stavrianos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154565, "name": "Matt Neale", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154563, "name": "Wes Fogden", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46445, "name": "Luke Bennett", "side": "home"}, {"id": 209967, "name": "George Kamurasi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 201608, "name": "Andre Coker", "side": "away"}, {"id": 181720, "name": "Antone Douglas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 198013, "name": "Billy Crook", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209966, "name": "Joe Denny", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209956, "name": "Aaron Reber", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209961, "name": "Alton Leeward", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209957, "name": "Ben Wilson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209944, "name": "Aaron Watson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209943, "name": "Alex Teniola", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209942, "name": "Domingos Pires", "side": "away"}, {"id": 167173, "name": "Michael Kamara", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209963, "name": "Pat McKay", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209962, "name": "Reece Barrett", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209965, "name": "Rodney Euroter", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209964, "name": "Samuel Naiwo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 161398, "name": "Femi Akinwande", "side": "away"}, {"id": 158334, "name": "Joshua Bohui", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209948, "name": "Kameiko Pope-Campbell", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209945, "name": "Oliver Skibinski", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209950, "name": "Rory Hill", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209949, "name": "Rotimi Oderinde", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209947, "name": "Ryan Johnson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209946, "name": "Siao Blackwood", "side": "away"}, {"id": 186438, "name": "Zak Ansah", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209968, "name": "Sam Hughes-Penny", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209952, "name": "Ryan Palmer", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209955, "name": "Brandon Barrance", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209959, "name": "Caoilte  Deakin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209951, "name": "Dominic Morgan-Griffiths", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209960, "name": "Georgi Steeds", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209953, "name": "Jake Rose", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209954, "name": "Joedon Gugas-Cowin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209958, "name": "Jordan Anderson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 122354, "name": "Jordan Green", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 8657, "home_id": 5852, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 209967, "name": "George Kamurasi", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 201608, "name": "Andre Coker", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 181720, "name": "Antone Douglas", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 198013, "name": "Billy Crook", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 209966, "name": "Joe Denny", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 209956, "name": "Aaron Reber", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 209961, "name": "Alton Leeward", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 209957, "name": "Ben Wilson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 209944, "name": "Aaron Watson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 209943, "name": "Alex Teniola", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 209942, "name": "Domingos Pires", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 154573, "name": "Gerard Benfield", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 147242, "name": "Andy Robinson", "ai_score": 0.02, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 120511, "name": "Brooklyn Genesini", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 154567, "name": "Calvin Brooks", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 154570, "name": "Harry Hutchinson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 130317, "name": "Tom Bearwish", "ai_score": 0.03, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 186389, "name": "Ben Moss", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 154562, "name": "Bobby Shinton", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 154564, "name": "Lewis Brown", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 128425, "name": "Euan Pollock", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 123977, "name": "Mitch Beardmore", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.045}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 154562, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Bobby Shinton", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Weymouth FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 128425, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Euan Pollock", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Weymouth FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 201608, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Andre Coker", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "SE Døns FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 209944, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Aaron Watson", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "SE Døns FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4322, "event": {"id": 604905, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "SE Døns FC", "home_team": "Weymouth FC", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 8657, "home_team_id": 5852}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.5121}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T04:05:29Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 51.2}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.199, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871806, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.4727231164827264, "lambda_home": 1.8595950528732317, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was away draw-no-bet at 2.75, where the model confidence of 20% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}