{"id": 604901, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 1, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": 2, "home_goals": 1, "away_win_rate": 1, "home_win_rate": 0, "total_matches": 1, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Bradford Park Avenue", "date": "2013-09-28T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Guiseley", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 410628, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 5025, "home_team_id": 4095}], "avg_total_goals": 3}, "away": "Bradford Park Avenue AFC", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 3, "record": "4-0-0", "streak": "won 4", "matches": 4, "sequence": "WWWW", "goals_for": 1.75, "venue_ppg": 3, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 0.5}, "home": {"ppg": 2.33, "record": "4-2-0", "streak": "unbeaten 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWDDWW", "goals_for": 2.5, "venue_ppg": 2.33, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 1.33}}, "home": "Guiseley AFC", "pass": "No call on Guiseley AFC against Bradford Park Avenue AFC. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Guiseley AFC to edge it, with goals"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Guiseley AFC have taken 2.33 points a game from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.3, and 2.33 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Bradford Park Avenue AFC have taken 3.00 points a game from their last 4 (4W 0D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.5, and 3.00 a game on the road.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#eebc2d", "home": "#0b498b"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 5025, "home": 4095}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 3238, "vs": null, "name": "Craig Elliott"}, "home": {"id": 2186, "vs": null, "name": "Mark Bower"}}}, "lambda": [1.78, 1.47], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Guiseley AFC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Bradford Park Avenue AFC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Mark Bower is 10 games into the job at Guiseley AFC, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.3, "manager": "Mark Bower", "tenure_days": 85, "matches_in_charge": 10, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.3, "before_ppm": 0.7}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Craig Elliott is 3 games into the job at Bradford Park Avenue AFC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 3, "manager": "Craig Elliott", "tenure_days": 64, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 3, "before_ppm": 1.9}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Guiseley AFC come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Bradford Park Avenue AFC come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.77054116519144 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.007, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.128, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "home": {"attack": 0.15, "shrunk": 0.75, "defence": 0.048, "effective_matches": 2.6}, "sample": 1.77054116519144, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 4, "home_matches": 11}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Guiseley AFC's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 11}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Bradford Park Avenue AFC's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 4}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 82230, "name": "Jack Hall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82217, "name": "Cameron Wilson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82222, "name": "Adam Lund", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91961, "name": "Dan Brookes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82226, "name": "Elliot Owen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91959, "name": "Amir Berchil", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82220, "name": "Charlie Staniland", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82223, "name": "Harrison Hopper", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82210, "name": "Aaron Martin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82216, "name": "Frankie Sinfield", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82211, "name": "Jay Rollins", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91964, "name": "Alfie Dawes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91962, "name": "Darren Boyce", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91963, "name": "Matteo James", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91966, "name": "Paul Iggulden", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91965, "name": "Wil Temple", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82227, "name": "Ollie Brown", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82225, "name": "Liam Ridehalgh", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82224, "name": "Lebrun Mbeka", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92930, "name": "Jack Tinker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82228, "name": "Lucas Odunston", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82213, "name": "Will Longbottom", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82212, "name": "Jordan Thewlis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82215, "name": "Lewis Knight", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82231, "name": "Joe Cracknell", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82219, "name": "Luke Dean", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82221, "name": "Jack Emmett", "side": "home"}, {"id": 82218, "name": "Kyle White", "side": "home"}, {"id": 139302, "name": "Declan Lambton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142142, "name": "Scott Duxbury", "side": "away"}, {"id": 56877, "name": "Jameel Ible", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142143, "name": "Rudy Misambo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 129286, "name": "Connor Brown", "side": "away"}, {"id": 124753, "name": "Charlie Winfield", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142137, "name": "Brad Abbott", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142130, "name": "Connor Shanks", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142135, "name": "Jake Thompson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 116782, "name": "Ben Andreucci", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142131, "name": "Luke Parkin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142134, "name": "Louie Chorlton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 135380, "name": "Marcus Carver", "side": "away"}, {"id": 115345, "name": "Prince Ekpolo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142136, "name": "Robbie Fox", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142139, "name": "Daniel Francis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 142133, "name": "Adam Haw", "side": "away"}, {"id": 66884, "name": "Bailey Thompson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 115344, "name": "Adriano Moke", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 5025, "home_id": 4095, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 139302, "name": "Declan Lambton", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 142142, "name": "Scott Duxbury", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 56877, "name": "Jameel Ible", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 142143, "name": "Rudy Misambo", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 129286, "name": "Connor Brown", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 124753, "name": "Charlie Winfield", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 142137, "name": "Brad Abbott", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 142130, "name": "Connor Shanks", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 142135, "name": "Jake Thompson", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 116782, "name": "Ben Andreucci", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 142131, "name": "Luke Parkin", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 142134, "name": "Louie Chorlton", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 135380, "name": "Marcus Carver", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 115345, "name": "Prince Ekpolo", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 142136, "name": "Robbie Fox", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-4-2", "confidence": 0.05}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 82230, "name": "Jack Hall", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 82217, "name": "Cameron Wilson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 82222, "name": "Adam Lund", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 91961, "name": "Dan Brookes", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 82226, "name": "Elliot Owen", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 91959, "name": "Amir Berchil", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 82220, "name": "Charlie Staniland", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 82223, "name": "Harrison Hopper", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 82210, "name": "Aaron Martin", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 82216, "name": "Frankie Sinfield", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 82211, "name": "Jay Rollins", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 82210, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Aaron Martin", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Guiseley AFC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 82216, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Frankie Sinfield", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Guiseley AFC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 142138, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "role": "DEF", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Bradford Park Avenue AFC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "RB", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 142135, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Jake Thompson", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Bradford Park Avenue AFC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "RM", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 116782, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Ben Andreucci", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Bradford Park Avenue AFC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4287, "event": {"id": 604901, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Bradford Park Avenue AFC", "home_team": "Guiseley AFC", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 5025, "home_team_id": 4095}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.5629}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T00:05:20Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 56.3}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.252, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871809, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.4663423927668298, "lambda_home": 1.7757139994680762, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was double chance X2 at 2.20, where the model confidence of 25% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}