{"id": 604900, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Gloucester City", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "unbeaten 5", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWWDWW", "goals_for": 1.5, "venue_ppg": 3, "clean_sheets": 4, "goals_against": 0.33}, "home": {"matches": 3}}, "home": "Mulbarton Wanderers", "pass": "No call on Mulbarton Wanderers against Gloucester City. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Gloucester City have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3, and 3.00 a game on the road.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#b93722", "home": null}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 3314, "home": 8550}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 2190, "vs": null, "name": "Dafydd Williams"}, "home": {"id": 3685, "vs": null, "name": "Ben Thompson"}}}, "lambda": [1.62, 1.47], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Mulbarton Wanderers report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Gloucester City report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Too few recent results on record for Mulbarton Wanderers to read their form.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 3}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Ben Thompson is 3 games into the job at Mulbarton Wanderers. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "Ben Thompson", "tenure_days": 72, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": null}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Dafydd Williams is 7 games into the job at Gloucester City, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.29, "manager": "Dafydd Williams", "tenure_days": 85, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.29, "before_ppm": 2}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Mulbarton Wanderers come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Gloucester City come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.77099887792206 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.094, "shrunk": 0.75, "defence": 0.189, "effective_matches": 2.6}, "home": {"attack": 0.089, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.123, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "sample": 1.77099887792206, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 8, "home_matches": 3}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Mulbarton Wanderers's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 3}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Gloucester City's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 8}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 207573, "name": "Brandon Ling", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207571, "name": "Finn Field", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154675, "name": "James Everett", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207570, "name": "James Page", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207568, "name": "Kieran Smith", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207566, "name": "Ben George", "side": "home"}, {"id": 214245, "name": "Charlie Norman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207567, "name": "Ethan Lane", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207557, "name": "Ashley Jarvis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207558, "name": "Charlie Barber", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207561, "name": "Nathan Stone", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207569, "name": "Tom Hunter", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207556, "name": "Owen Lane", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207559, "name": "Sam Cox", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207560, "name": "Sammy Imessaoudene", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207572, "name": "Tom Wright", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207563, "name": "Joshua Ikem", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207564, "name": "Miguel Lopez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 207562, "name": "Ollie Whittaker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78299, "name": "Jared Thompson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 146516, "name": "Ben Morgan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 79751, "name": "Ben Nugent", "side": "away"}, {"id": 146523, "name": "Daniel Leadbitter", "side": "away"}, {"id": 122853, "name": "Ashley Hemmings", "side": "away"}, {"id": 137707, "name": "Ed Williams", "side": "away"}, {"id": 72814, "name": "Harry Williams", "side": "away"}, {"id": 115324, "name": "Jack Bearne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 131278, "name": "Joe Hanks", "side": "away"}, {"id": 146504, "name": "Kieran Phillips", "side": "away"}, {"id": 146508, "name": "Tom Owen-Evans", "side": "away"}, {"id": 139231, "name": "Michael O'Regan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 146513, "name": "Morgan Lewis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 146520, "name": "Rory Winters", "side": "away"}, {"id": 78057, "name": "Samuel Kane", "side": "away"}, {"id": 114647, "name": "Liam Cross", "side": "away"}, {"id": 46522, "name": "James Waite", "side": "away"}, {"id": 35447, "name": "Kian Hill", "side": "away"}, {"id": 129489, "name": "Jack Clarke", "side": "away"}, {"id": 69317, "name": "Jake Evans", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 3314, "home_id": 8550, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 78299, "name": "Jared Thompson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 146516, "name": "Ben Morgan", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 79751, "name": "Ben Nugent", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 146523, "name": "Daniel Leadbitter", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 122853, "name": "Ashley Hemmings", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 137707, "name": "Ed Williams", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 72814, "name": "Harry Williams", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 115324, "name": "Jack Bearne", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 131278, "name": "Joe Hanks", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 146504, "name": "Kieran Phillips", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 146508, "name": "Tom Owen-Evans", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 207573, "name": "Brandon Ling", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 207571, "name": "Finn Field", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 154675, "name": "James Everett", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 207570, "name": "James Page", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 207568, "name": "Kieran Smith", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 207566, "name": "Ben George", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 214245, "name": "Charlie Norman", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 207567, "name": "Ethan Lane", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 207557, "name": "Ashley Jarvis", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 207558, "name": "Charlie Barber", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 207561, "name": "Nathan Stone", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 207557, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Ashley Jarvis", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Mulbarton Wanderers", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 207558, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Charlie Barber", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Mulbarton Wanderers", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 72814, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Harry Williams", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Gloucester City", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "AM", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 146504, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Kieran Phillips", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Gloucester City", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4288, "event": {"id": 604900, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Gloucester City", "home_team": "Mulbarton Wanderers", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 3314, "home_team_id": 8550}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4551}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T00:05:20Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 45.5}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.226, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871809, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.4742044927347189, "lambda_home": 1.6208702224246152, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was double chance 1X at 1.73, where the model confidence of 23% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}