{"id": 604894, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Dover Athletic", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2.33, "record": "4-2-0", "streak": "unbeaten 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWWDDW", "goals_for": 2.83, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}, "home": {"ppg": 2.25, "record": "3-0-1", "streak": "won 3", "matches": 4, "sequence": "LWWW", "goals_for": 2, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1}}, "home": "Hanwell Town", "pass": "Hanwell Town v Dover Athletic is one to leave alone. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Hanwell Town have taken 2.25 points a game from their last 4 (3W 0D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0, and 2.00 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Dover Athletic have taken 2.33 points a game from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.0.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#45b8ed", "home": "#a48e90"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 2781, "home": 4921}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 2128, "vs": null, "name": "Jake Leberl"}, "home": null}}, "lambda": [1.78, 1.52], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Hanwell Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Dover Athletic report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home", "note": "No manager record for Hanwell Town, so regime state cannot be read.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Jake Leberl is 7 games into the job at Dover Athletic, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "Jake Leberl", "tenure_days": 82, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2, "before_ppm": 1}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Hanwell Town come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Dover Athletic come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 0.925761882826246 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.125, "shrunk": 0.9, "defence": -0.028, "effective_matches": 0.9}, "home": {"attack": -0.003, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.123, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "sample": 0.925761882826246, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 9, "home_matches": 4}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Hanwell Town's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 4}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Dover Athletic's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 9}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 92011, "name": "Sam Beasant", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92007, "name": "Addison Garnett", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92009, "name": "Ade Olumuyiwa", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92008, "name": "Callum Woodcock", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92010, "name": "Joe Wilson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91998, "name": "Ernaldo Krasniqi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122894, "name": "Gabe George", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91997, "name": "George Knight", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91992, "name": "Bradley Clayton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91990, "name": "Harvey Bradbury", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91996, "name": "Henry Snee", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92006, "name": "Josh Odell-Bature", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92005, "name": "Roberto Nditi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91991, "name": "Zak Joseph", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91993, "name": "Manuchim Oke-William", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91994, "name": "Joseph  Waight", "side": "home"}, {"id": 55131, "name": "Trent Carter-Rodgers", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92003, "name": "Jordan Edwards", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92004, "name": "Jordan Esprit", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91999, "name": "Marko Borkovic", "side": "home"}, {"id": 92000, "name": "Max Herbert", "side": "home"}, {"id": 104169, "name": "Usman Lalustani", "side": "home"}, {"id": 122934, "name": "Willem Tomlinson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 144097, "name": "Mitchell Walker", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144084, "name": "Luke Baptiste", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144096, "name": "Fuad Sesay", "side": "away"}, {"id": 138172, "name": "Harry Beadle", "side": "away"}, {"id": 88917, "name": "Jacob Roddy", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144082, "name": "George Wilkinson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 74924, "name": "Dequane Wilson-Braithwaite", "side": "away"}, {"id": 130332, "name": "Corie Andrews", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36119, "name": "Euan Williams", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144079, "name": "Decarrey Sheriff", "side": "away"}, {"id": 49489, "name": "Makai Wilson-Braithwaite", "side": "away"}, {"id": 204521, "name": "Lewis  Bartlett", "side": "away"}, {"id": 115327, "name": "Nazir Bakrin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 131299, "name": "John Oyenuga", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55114, "name": "Jalen Jones", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144095, "name": "Momodou Jallow", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55269, "name": "Roman Charles-Cook", "side": "away"}, {"id": 113427, "name": "Trent Rendall", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144081, "name": "Rolando Onu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 113622, "name": "Sonny Fish", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144078, "name": "Rúben Junior", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144080, "name": "Rúben Júnior", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42815, "name": "Sak Hassan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 144087, "name": "Kola Salami", "side": "away"}, {"id": 82406, "name": "Jack Bates", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 2781, "home_id": 4921, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 144097, "name": "Mitchell Walker", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 144084, "name": "Luke Baptiste", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 144096, "name": "Fuad Sesay", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 138172, "name": "Harry Beadle", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 88917, "name": "Jacob Roddy", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 144082, "name": "George Wilkinson", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 74924, "name": "Dequane Wilson-Braithwaite", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 130332, "name": "Corie Andrews", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 36119, "name": "Euan Williams", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 144079, "name": "Decarrey Sheriff", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 49489, "name": "Makai Wilson-Braithwaite", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.009}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 92011, "name": "Sam Beasant", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 92007, "name": "Addison Garnett", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 92009, "name": "Ade Olumuyiwa", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 92008, "name": "Callum Woodcock", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 92010, "name": "Joe Wilson", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 91998, "name": "Ernaldo Krasniqi", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 122894, "name": "Gabe George", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 91997, "name": "George Knight", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 91992, "name": "Bradley Clayton", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 91990, "name": "Harvey Bradbury", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 91996, "name": "Henry Snee", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 91992, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Bradley Clayton", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Hanwell Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 91990, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Harvey Bradbury", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Hanwell Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 130332, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Corie Andrews", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Dover Athletic", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 144079, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Decarrey Sheriff", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Dover Athletic", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4301, "event": {"id": 604894, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Dover Athletic", "home_team": "Hanwell Town", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 2781, "home_team_id": 4921}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4292}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T02:05:24Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 42.9}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.215, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871812, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.5205133122543053, "lambda_home": 1.7808054278511496, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was double chance 1X at 1.67, where the model confidence of 21% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}