{"id": 604893, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Sholing FC", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2, "record": "4-0-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWWLWW", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.83}, "home": {"ppg": 1.67, "record": "3-1-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WLDWLW", "goals_for": 1.83, "venue_ppg": 1, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 1.5}}, "home": "Ebbsfleet United", "pass": "Nothing to take on Ebbsfleet United against Sholing FC. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Ebbsfleet United to win, with goals"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#ed2727", "home": "#ed1c24"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 4235, "home": 1891}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 2332, "vs": null, "name": "Paul Doswell"}, "home": {"id": 1257, "vs": null, "name": "Josh Wright"}}}, "lambda": [1.57, 1.45], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Ebbsfleet United report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Sholing FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Josh Wright is 12 games into the job at Ebbsfleet United, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.42, "manager": "Josh Wright", "tenure_days": 337, "matches_in_charge": 12, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.4, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Paul Doswell is 7 games into the job at Sholing FC, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.86, "manager": "Paul Doswell", "tenure_days": 92, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.86, "before_ppm": 0.67}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Ebbsfleet United come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Sholing FC come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.03995464182955 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.012, "shrunk": 0.82, "defence": 0.183, "effective_matches": 1.8}, "home": {"attack": 0.08, "shrunk": 0.88, "defence": 0.032, "effective_matches": 1}, "sample": 1.03995464182955, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 7, "home_matches": 12}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Ebbsfleet United's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Sholing FC's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 7}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 43371, "name": "Matthew Hall", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43369, "name": "Ronny Nelson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63111, "name": "Camron Gbadebo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43364, "name": "Maxx Manktelow", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43352, "name": "Charlie Seaman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43359, "name": "Gene Kennedy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43054, "name": "James Vennings", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43361, "name": "Lennon Peake", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43360, "name": "Ben Chapman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13328, "name": "Aramide Oteh", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53521, "name": "Daniel Ogunleye", "side": "home"}, {"id": 68747, "name": "Ollie Box", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63112, "name": "Will Buse", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43365, "name": "Joshua Passley", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42799, "name": "Will Tizzard", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43348, "name": "Kwesi Appiah", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43350, "name": "Dominic Samuel", "side": "home"}, {"id": 211191, "name": "Oliver Thomas Box", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43370, "name": "Giosue Bellagambi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43327, "name": "Jake Vokins", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43353, "name": "Jake Hessenthaler", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43357, "name": "Toby Edser", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43358, "name": "Finlay Barnes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42772, "name": "Harvey Walker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 139386, "name": "Charlie Searle", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152192, "name": "Billy Stedman", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152190, "name": "Abdul Osman", "side": "away"}, {"id": 147244, "name": "Blaise Riley-Snow", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152194, "name": "Harry Taylor", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152193, "name": "Brad Targett", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152191, "name": "Dan Jones", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152189, "name": "Jack Saunders", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152186, "name": "Daniel Mason", "side": "away"}, {"id": 29948, "name": "Jahiem Dotse", "side": "away"}, {"id": 131302, "name": "Jake Hesketh", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152197, "name": "Josh Freedbody", "side": "away"}, {"id": 120069, "name": "Vinnie Tume", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152195, "name": "Joe Rabbetts", "side": "away"}, {"id": 139377, "name": "Sam Magri", "side": "away"}, {"id": 215833, "name": "Thabo Kuaho", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152185, "name": "Michael Folivi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 130163, "name": "Jack Turner", "side": "away"}, {"id": 45694, "name": "Magnus Norman", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152196, "name": "Ross Worner", "side": "away"}, {"id": 115260, "name": "Tommy Willard", "side": "away"}, {"id": 139380, "name": "Jake McCarthy", "side": "away"}, {"id": 91468, "name": "Joey Jones", "side": "away"}, {"id": 30029, "name": "Jonathan Page", "side": "away"}, {"id": 105033, "name": "Reece Wylie", "side": "away"}, {"id": 152187, "name": "Tommy-Lee Higgs", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 4235, "home_id": 1891, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 139386, "name": "Charlie Searle", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 152192, "name": "Billy Stedman", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 152190, "name": "Abdul Osman", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 147244, "name": "Blaise Riley-Snow", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 152194, "name": "Harry Taylor", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 152193, "name": "Brad Targett", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 152191, "name": "Dan Jones", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 152189, "name": "Jack Saunders", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 152186, "name": "Daniel Mason", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 29948, "name": "Jahiem Dotse", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 131302, "name": "Jake Hesketh", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 43371, "name": "Matthew Hall", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 43369, "name": "Ronny Nelson", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 63111, "name": "Camron Gbadebo", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 43364, "name": "Maxx Manktelow", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 43352, "name": "Charlie Seaman", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43359, "name": "Gene Kennedy", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43054, "name": "James Vennings", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43361, "name": "Lennon Peake", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43360, "name": "Ben Chapman", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 13328, "name": "Aramide Oteh", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 53521, "name": "Daniel Ogunleye", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 68747, "name": "Ollie Box", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 63112, "name": "Will Buse", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-4-2", "confidence": 0.045}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 13328, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Aramide Oteh", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Ebbsfleet United", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 53521, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Daniel Ogunleye", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Ebbsfleet United", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 152186, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Daniel Mason", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Sholing FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 29948, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Jahiem Dotse", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Sholing FC", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4283, "event": {"id": 604893, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Sholing FC", "home_team": "Ebbsfleet United", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 4235, "home_team_id": 1891}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.7302}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T00:05:20Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 73}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.234, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871812, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.4520332870588435, "lambda_home": 1.5660808664777275, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was double chance X2 at 3.75, where the model confidence of 23% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}