{"id": 604890, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Worcester City", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "unbeaten 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DLWDWW", "goals_for": 0.83, "venue_ppg": 0.5, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.5}, "home": {"ppg": 1.67, "record": "3-1-2", "streak": "unbeaten 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLWDWW", "goals_for": 1.5, "venue_ppg": 1.8, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1.33}}, "home": "Kettering Town", "pass": "Passing on Kettering Town v Worcester City. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 6, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#efbd37", "home": "#ec1325"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 6912, "home": 4737}, "best_xi": [], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": null, "home": {"id": 2800, "vs": null, "name": "Liam McDonald"}}}, "lambda": [1.6, 1.34], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Kettering Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Worcester City report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Liam McDonald is 5 games into the job at Kettering Town. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "Liam McDonald", "tenure_days": 71, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2, "before_ppm": 0.4}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "manager.away", "note": "No manager record for Worcester City, so regime state cannot be read.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Kettering Town come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Worcester City come in on 15 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14.802083333333334, "days_rest": 14.8, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 0}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 2.62860319150647 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.032, "shrunk": 0.75, "defence": 0.135, "effective_matches": 2.6}, "home": {"attack": 0.046, "shrunk": 0.75, "defence": 0.09, "effective_matches": 2.7}, "sample": 2.62860319150647, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 6, "home_matches": 7}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Kettering Town's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 7}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Worcester City's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 87858, "name": "Jason Alexander", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87853, "name": "Blaine Rowe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87855, "name": "Aaron Powell", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87852, "name": "Jack Newell", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87856, "name": "Ollie Jones", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87850, "name": "Bayley Brown", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87847, "name": "Eddie Panter", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87849, "name": "Lewis Coyle", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30028, "name": "Lawson D'Ath", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87851, "name": "Wesley York", "side": "home"}, {"id": 79735, "name": "Michael Gyasi", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43251, "name": "Tom Leak", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87854, "name": "Tai Fleming", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87842, "name": "Shaun Jeffers", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87843, "name": "Theo Alexandrou", "side": "home"}, {"id": 87857, "name": "Paul White", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46432, "name": "Ryan Haynes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 148044, "name": "Ryan Inman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 154646, "name": "Cristiano Dzialuk", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154641, "name": "Adam Mace", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154637, "name": "Archie Duerden", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154638, "name": "Charlie Wise", "side": "away"}, {"id": 91776, "name": "Duncan Idehen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154636, "name": "Calvin Dinsley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154633, "name": "Izak Reid", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154634, "name": "Liam Lockett", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154630, "name": "Brandon Smalley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154628, "name": "Charlie Lutz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154627, "name": "Dan Sweeney", "side": "away"}, {"id": 135373, "name": "Mitchell Roberts", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154639, "name": "Joshua Ezewele", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154643, "name": "Elliott Keightley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154642, "name": "Hayden Reeves", "side": "away"}, {"id": 33750, "name": "Josh Taroni", "side": "away"}, {"id": 151099, "name": "Luke Ward", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154644, "name": "William Glennon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 135509, "name": "Zac Guinan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 186403, "name": "Fabian Salmon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154631, "name": "Joe Bates", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154629, "name": "Jordan Lymn", "side": "away"}, {"id": 45770, "name": "Harvey Randle", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154647, "name": "Josh Bishop", "side": "away"}, {"id": 46455, "name": "Luke Rowe", "side": "away"}, {"id": 117163, "name": "Matt Richards", "side": "away"}, {"id": 154632, "name": "Miro Pais", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 6912, "home_id": 4737, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 154646, "name": "Cristiano Dzialuk", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 154641, "name": "Adam Mace", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 154637, "name": "Archie Duerden", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 154638, "name": "Charlie Wise", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 91776, "name": "Duncan Idehen", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 154636, "name": "Calvin Dinsley", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 154633, "name": "Izak Reid", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 154634, "name": "Liam Lockett", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 154630, "name": "Brandon Smalley", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 154628, "name": "Charlie Lutz", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 154627, "name": "Dan Sweeney", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 87858, "name": "Jason Alexander", "ai_score": 0.279, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 87853, "name": "Blaine Rowe", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 87855, "name": "Aaron Powell", "ai_score": 0.321, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 87852, "name": "Jack Newell", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 87856, "name": "Ollie Jones", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 87850, "name": "Bayley Brown", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 87847, "name": "Eddie Panter", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 87849, "name": "Lewis Coyle", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 30028, "name": "Lawson D'Ath", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 87851, "name": "Wesley York", "ai_score": 0.248, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 79735, "name": "Michael Gyasi", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.045}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 79735, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Michael Gyasi", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Kettering Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 154630, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Brandon Smalley", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Worcester City", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 154628, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Charlie Lutz", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Worcester City", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4276, "event": {"id": 604890, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Worcester City", "home_team": "Kettering Town", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 6912, "home_team_id": 4737}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4056}, "created_at": "2026-09-30T20:05:16Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 40.6}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.235, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871814, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.3427296381174596, "lambda_home": 1.604690857105431, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was under 3.5 goals at 1.69, where the model confidence of 24% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}