{"id": 604887, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Torquay United", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 2, "record": "4-0-2", "streak": "won 3", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWLWWW", "goals_for": 2.5, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 0.83}, "home": {"ppg": 2.17, "record": "4-1-1", "streak": "won 4", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LDWWWW", "goals_for": 2, "venue_ppg": 2.5, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.17}}, "home": "Tonbridge Angels", "plan": "monthly", "rank": 6, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}, {"id": "form.home", "note": "Tonbridge Angels have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2, and 2.50 a game at home.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#eeda33", "home": null}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 2773, "home": 4035}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"56867": {"caps": 14, "goals": 5, "signed": null, "country": "Guyana"}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 2757, "vs": null, "name": "Jimmy Ball"}, "home": {"id": 2115, "vs": null, "name": "Alan Dunne"}}}, "lambda": [1.73, 1.93], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Tonbridge Angels report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Torquay United report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Alan Dunne is 7 games into the job at Tonbridge Angels, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.86, "manager": "Alan Dunne", "tenure_days": 82, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.86, "before_ppm": 0.78}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Jimmy Ball is 5 games into the job at Torquay United. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 0.7, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.4, "manager": "Jimmy Ball", "tenure_days": 78, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.4, "before_ppm": 2}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Tonbridge Angels come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Torquay United come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 0.925761882826246 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.255, "shrunk": 0.9, "defence": 0.023, "effective_matches": 0.9}, "home": {"attack": 0.022, "shrunk": 0.9, "defence": 0.022, "effective_matches": 0.9}, "sample": 0.925761882826246, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Possession data is missing for at least one side, so the style matchup cannot be read.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away_matches": 9, "home_matches": 9}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "No chance data on record for Tonbridge Angels's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 9}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "No chance data on record for Torquay United's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 9}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": true, "people": [{"id": 85577, "name": "Nathan Harness", "side": "home"}, {"id": 70665, "name": "Bailey Akehurst", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153317, "name": "Bailey Akehurst", "side": "home"}, {"id": 57812, "name": "Ethan Sutcliffe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 85575, "name": "Harvey Lintott", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153316, "name": "Bradley Williams", "side": "home"}, {"id": 85573, "name": "Harry Gardner", "side": "home"}, {"id": 68726, "name": "Hayden Bullas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 116130, "name": "Jaden Brown", "side": "home"}, {"id": 142113, "name": "Alfie Pavey", "side": "home"}, {"id": 85567, "name": "Frankie Baker", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153318, "name": "Alfie  McGuire", "side": "home"}, {"id": 153319, "name": "Brody  Cockerill", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46517, "name": "Jordon Thompson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 85576, "name": "Lexus Beeden", "side": "home"}, {"id": 121033, "name": "Lamar Reynolds", "side": "home"}, {"id": 210718, "name": "Miller McDonald", "side": "home"}, {"id": 212999, "name": "Oliver Kabeer", "side": "home"}, {"id": 85571, "name": "Oluwabunmi Babajide", "side": "home"}, {"id": 85569, "name": "Jephte Tanga", "side": "home"}, {"id": 186308, "name": "Kai Martin", "side": "home"}, {"id": 186309, "name": "Miller Mcdonald", "side": "home"}, {"id": 135631, "name": "Ricky Korboa", "side": "home"}, {"id": 85570, "name": "Sam Corne", "side": "home"}, {"id": 29941, "name": "Toby Savin", "side": "away"}, {"id": 46449, "name": "Tyler Hill", "side": "away"}, {"id": 30033, "name": "Jake Wannell", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75801, "name": "Jordan Dyer", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42641, "name": "Dominic Bernard", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75810, "name": "Dan Hayfield", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36799, "name": "Matt Worthington", "side": "away"}, {"id": 46340, "name": "Callum Morton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75809, "name": "Matt Jay", "side": "away"}, {"id": 56867, "name": "Deon Moore", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75803, "name": "Isaac Westendorf", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28900, "name": "Caleb Roberts", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75806, "name": "Kian Jenkins", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75812, "name": "Louis Dennis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75802, "name": "Munashe Sundire", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75808, "name": "Sean Robertson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 75804, "name": "Sonny Blu Lo Everton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28910, "name": "Zak Baker", "side": "away"}, {"id": 56859, "name": "Taylor Scarff", "side": "away"}, {"id": 153328, "name": "Harry Shield", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36774, "name": "Luke Browne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 153322, "name": "Cody Cooke", "side": "away"}, {"id": 77614, "name": "Jacob Beaumont-Clark", "side": "away"}, {"id": 28889, "name": "Tegan Finn", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 2773, "home_id": 4035, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 29941, "name": "Toby Savin", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 46449, "name": "Tyler Hill", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 30033, "name": "Jake Wannell", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 75801, "name": "Jordan Dyer", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 42641, "name": "Dominic Bernard", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 75810, "name": "Dan Hayfield", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 36799, "name": "Matt Worthington", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 46340, "name": "Callum Morton", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 75809, "name": "Matt Jay", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 56867, "name": "Deon Moore", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 75803, "name": "Isaac Westendorf", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 28900, "name": "Caleb Roberts", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 75806, "name": "Kian Jenkins", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 75812, "name": "Louis Dennis", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 75802, "name": "Munashe Sundire", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 75808, "name": "Sean Robertson", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 75804, "name": "Sonny Blu Lo Everton", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 28910, "name": "Zak Baker", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.05}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 85577, "name": "Nathan Harness", "ai_score": 0, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 70665, "name": "Bailey Akehurst", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 153317, "name": "Bailey Akehurst", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 57812, "name": "Ethan Sutcliffe", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 85575, "name": "Harvey Lintott", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 153316, "name": "Bradley Williams", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 85573, "name": "Harry Gardner", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 68726, "name": "Hayden Bullas", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 116130, "name": "Jaden Brown", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 142113, "name": "Alfie Pavey", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 85567, "name": "Frankie Baker", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}], "formation": "4-4-2", "confidence": 0}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 142113, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Alfie Pavey", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Tonbridge Angels", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 85567, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Frankie Baker", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Tonbridge Angels", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 46340, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Callum Morton", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Torquay United", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 56867, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 77}, "name": "Deon Moore", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Torquay United", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Guyana", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4321, "event": {"id": 604887, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Torquay United", "home_team": "Tonbridge Angels", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 2773, "home_team_id": 4035}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4897}, "created_at": "2026-10-01T04:05:29Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 49}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [{"drivers": [{"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Jimmy Ball is 5 games into the job at Torquay United. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 0.7, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2.4, "manager": "Jimmy Ball", "tenure_days": 78, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2.4, "before_ppm": 2}}, "strength": 0.2}], "narrative": "Torquay United are flattered by their recent form and look vulnerable in the FA Cup. While Jimmy Ball has seen his side win four of their last six, Torquay United travel badly and are still adapting to his methods as he settles in. Tonbridge Angels are also finding their feet under Alan Dunne, but they have won four of their last six as well. Dunne will set up in a 4-4-2 with Alfie Pavey and Frankie Baker expected to start up front, testing goalkeeper Toby Savin. Meanwhile, Jimmy Ball plays a 4-2-3-1 with Callum Morton, Deon Moore and Isaac Westendorf up front against Nathan Harness.", "set_aside": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 1}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Alan Dunne is 7 games into the job at Tonbridge Angels, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.86, "manager": "Alan Dunne", "tenure_days": 82, "matches_in_charge": 7, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.86, "before_ppm": 0.78}}, "strength": 0.3}]}], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.226, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871816, "corner_rate": 10.88, "lambda_away": 1.9292760287132897, "lambda_home": 1.7349440502273397, "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "locked_calls": 1, "lineup_status": "predicted"}