{"id": 604885, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": null, "home_goals": null, "away_win_rate": null, "home_win_rate": null, "total_matches": 0, "recent_matches": [], "avg_total_goals": null}, "away": "Chelmsford City", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "3-0-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWWLLW", "goals_for": 1, "venue_ppg": 3, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 1}, "home": {"ppg": 1.83, "record": "3-2-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WDDLWW", "goals_for": 1.17, "venue_ppg": 3, "clean_sheets": 4, "goals_against": 0.5}}, "home": "Brackley Town", "plan": "monthly", "rank": 6, "flags": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "section": "§3.1"}], "score": null, "venue": null, "colors": {"away": "#760a28", "home": "#cf232a"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": null, "home": null}, "teams": {"away": 1876, "home": 1870}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"42833": {"caps": 16, "goals": 3, "signed": null, "country": "Montserrat"}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 1517, "vs": null, "name": "Mark Cooper"}, "home": {"id": 1236, "vs": null, "name": "Andrew Whing"}}}, "lambda": [1.56, 1.46], "league": "FA Cup", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Brackley Town report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Chelmsford City report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.091, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.909}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Andrew Whing has 30 matches in charge at Brackley Town, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.93, "manager": "Andrew Whing", "tenure_days": 337, "matches_in_charge": 30, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.7, "before_ppm": 0.9}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Mark Cooper is 6 games into the job at Chelmsford City, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.5, "manager": "Mark Cooper", "tenure_days": 302, "matches_in_charge": 6, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.5, "before_ppm": 1.2}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Brackley Town come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Chelmsford City come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 14, "days_rest": 14, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.18322604675193 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.012, "shrunk": 0.87, "defence": 0.074, "effective_matches": 1.2}, "home": {"attack": -0.031, "shrunk": 0.87, "defence": 0.057, "effective_matches": 1.2}, "sample": 1.18322604675193, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Brackley Town work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 3, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 14, "corners": 3, "matches": 7, "possession": 47, "xg_per_shot": 0.147, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.63, "corners_per_shot": 0.214}, "home": {"shots": 11.7, "corners": 3.9, "matches": 12, "possession": 46, "xg_per_shot": 0.093, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.25, "corners_per_shot": 0.333}, "possession_gap": -1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Brackley Town are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.25}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Chelmsford City have scored 4 fewer than the chances they made over 7 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 7, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.63}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.134542947529114}, "strength": 0}], "locked": true, "people": [{"id": 48111, "name": "Harrison Rhone", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42703, "name": "Kyle Morrison", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30025, "name": "Charlie Cooper", "side": "home"}, {"id": 62971, "name": "Ewan  Williams", "side": "home"}, {"id": 33699, "name": "George Harmon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 142128, "name": "I-Lani Edwards", "side": "home"}, {"id": 68366, "name": "Kai Lissimore", "side": "home"}, {"id": 121029, "name": "Kai Yearn", "side": "home"}, {"id": 62970, "name": "DJ Campton-Sturridge", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42711, "name": "Matt Lowe", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43236, "name": "Fin Roberts", "side": "home"}, {"id": 48112, "name": "Alastair Worby", "side": "home"}, {"id": 142129, "name": "Joshua Toluwaloju", "side": "home"}, {"id": 62972, "name": "Kieran Coates", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46536, "name": "Joshua Tomlinson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46525, "name": "Will Armitage", "side": "home"}, {"id": 48109, "name": "Tahvon Campbell", "side": "home"}, {"id": 73911, "name": "O'Shea Ellis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42747, "name": "Kian Pennant", "side": "home"}, {"id": 34261, "name": "Kieron Morris", "side": "home"}, {"id": 46546, "name": "William Eastwood", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42827, "name": "Harry Barbrook", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42826, "name": "Ben Tompkins", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42825, "name": "Joe Grimwood", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42824, "name": "Kian Ronan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42829, "name": "Ricky Holmes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 44771, "name": "Louis Dunne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42834, "name": "Jack Barham", "side": "away"}, {"id": 43052, "name": "Chay Cooper", "side": "away"}, {"id": 61002, "name": "Denzelle Olopade", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42833, "name": "Lyle Taylor", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42844, "name": "Adam May", "side": "away"}, {"id": 45593, "name": "Nathan Ralph", "side": "away"}, {"id": 48136, "name": "Adam Crowther", "side": "away"}, {"id": 48135, "name": "Mandela Egbo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 45666, "name": "Leo Sery", "side": "away"}, {"id": 143093, "name": "William Eastwood", "side": "away"}, {"id": 6779, "name": "Alfie Marriott", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53474, "name": "Adam Hayton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 42854, "name": "Ashley Clarke", "side": "away"}, {"id": 45583, "name": "Jack Bridge", "side": "away"}, {"id": 34286, "name": "Rhys Browne", "side": "away"}, {"id": 45585, "name": "Cavanagh Miley", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 1876, "home_id": 1870, "kickoff": 1791036000, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 46546, "name": "William Eastwood", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 42827, "name": "Harry Barbrook", "ai_score": 0.262, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 42826, "name": "Ben Tompkins", "ai_score": 0.265, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 42825, "name": "Joe Grimwood", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 42824, "name": "Kian Ronan", "ai_score": 0.232, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 42829, "name": "Ricky Holmes", "ai_score": 0.289, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 44771, "name": "Louis Dunne", "ai_score": 0.01, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 42834, "name": "Jack Barham", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 43052, "name": "Chay Cooper", "ai_score": 0.203, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 61002, "name": "Denzelle Olopade", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 42833, "name": "Lyle Taylor", "ai_score": 0.317, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 42844, "name": "Adam May", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.1}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 48111, "name": "Harrison Rhone", "ai_score": 0.459, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 42703, "name": "Kyle Morrison", "ai_score": 0.179, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 30025, "name": "Charlie Cooper", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 62971, "name": "Ewan  Williams", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 33699, "name": "George Harmon", "ai_score": 0, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 142128, "name": "I-Lani Edwards", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 68366, "name": "Kai Lissimore", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 121029, "name": "Kai Yearn", "ai_score": 0, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 62970, "name": "DJ Campton-Sturridge", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 42711, "name": "Matt Lowe", "ai_score": 0.469, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 43236, "name": "Fin Roberts", "ai_score": 0, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 48112, "name": "Alastair Worby", "ai_score": 0.02, "position": "G", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-4-2-1", "confidence": 0.091}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.091, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 142138, "name": "Kareem Hassan-Smith", "rank": 1, "goals": 2}], "players": [{"id": 42711, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Matt Lowe", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Brackley Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 62970, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "DJ Campton-Sturridge", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Brackley Town", "reason": null, "recent": null, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 42833, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 168}, "name": "Lyle Taylor", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Chelmsford City", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Montserrat", "goals": 2, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 2, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4272, "event": {"id": 604885, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Chelmsford City", "home_team": "Brackley Town", "league_id": 39, "event_date": "2026-10-03T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "FA Cup", "away_team_id": 1876, "home_team_id": 1870}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.3642}, "created_at": "2026-09-30T18:05:17Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 36.4}}}, "venue_id": null, "verdicts": [{"drivers": [], "narrative": "Brackley Town look far too strong for a transitioning away side in this FA Cup clash. Andrew Whing has his team well drilled in a 3-4-2-1 formation. Harrison Rhone starts in goal, shielded by a defence that kept four clean sheets in six games. They are a different side at home. Meanwhile, Mark Cooper is still settling in at Chelmsford City. His 4-2-3-1 system relies heavily on Lyle Taylor up front, but William Eastwood will be busy in goal. Whing will unleash DJ Campton-Sturridge, Matt Lowe and Fin Roberts to exploit Cooper's unsettled side.", "set_aside": [{"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.091, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.909}, {"id": "manager.away.settling", "note": "Mark Cooper is 6 games into the job at Chelmsford City, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.5, "manager": "Mark Cooper", "tenure_days": 302, "matches_in_charge": 6, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.5, "before_ppm": 1.2}}, "strength": 0.3}]}], "card_rate": 0.014, "league_id": 39, "published": [], "standings": null, "confidence": 0.376, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871817, "corner_rate": 10.79, "lambda_away": 1.4585157011111431, "lambda_home": 1.5634699842658055, "provisional": true, "round_label": "Qualification Round 3", "locked_calls": 1, "lineup_status": "predicted"}