{"id":604462,"league_id":46,"league":"Puchar Polski","kickoff":1793296800,"home":"Arka Gdynia","away":"Stal Rzeszów","home_id":432,"away_id":1802,"venue_id":372,"rank":5,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.195,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.43,1.46],"read":{"text":"Arka Gdynia to win","side":"home"},"pass":"Passing on Arka Gdynia v Stal Rzeszów. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection."},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","note":"Since opening, AWAY has drifted 12.4% since the market opened."}],"lambda_home":1.425865870753024,"lambda_away":1.4561597932486974,"corner_rate":10.13,"card_rate":0.173,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.173,"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":13765,"name":"Jędrzej Grobelny","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.449},{"id":13752,"name":"Dawid Gojny","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.302},{"id":13750,"name":"Serafin Szota","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.235},{"id":53339,"name":"Wojciech Zacharewicz","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.027},{"id":14035,"name":"Konrad Gruszkowski","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":14053,"name":"Maciej Ambrosiewicz","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.238},{"id":13764,"name":"Michał Rzuchowski","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.454},{"id":13754,"name":"Alassane Sidibe","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.247},{"id":13753,"name":"Dawid Kocyła","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.374},{"id":13758,"name":"Vladislavs Gutkovskis","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.436},{"id":14028,"name":"Bartłomiej Pawłowski","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":13793,"name":"Dominik Kun","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":65921,"name":"Elmedin Rama","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":38802,"name":"Dawid Arndt","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":29894,"name":"Filip Waluś","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":29591,"name":"Jakub Kowalski","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":32485,"name":"Javi Domínguez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":36687,"name":"Kacper Krzepisz","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":38858,"name":"Kasjan Lipkowski","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":62513,"name":"Kuba Solecki","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":28090,"name":"Marco Komenda","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":29434,"name":"Michal Milewski","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":14182,"name":"Natan Dzięgielewski","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01}],"confidence":0.314},"away":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":49155,"name":"Svyatoslav Vanivskyi","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":39131,"name":"Ksawery Kukułka","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":49149,"name":"Marcin Kaczor","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":49153,"name":"Daniel Zieja","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":64418,"name":"Marco Thiede","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":49146,"name":"Mateusz Leniart","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":48562,"name":"Marcin Listkowski","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":64417,"name":"Sean Goss","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":49142,"name":"Szymon Salamon","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":39132,"name":"Michał Musik","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":39125,"name":"Kacper Masiak","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":52149,"name":"Szymon Pukala","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":52150,"name":"Wojciech Brzek","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":49151,"name":"Antoni Perduta","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":39127,"name":"Filip Wolski","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":39117,"name":"Marek Kozioł","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":49145,"name":"Oliwier Madej","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":39119,"name":"Vladislav Krasovskiy","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015},{"id":61836,"name":"Marvin Rittmüller","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":52782,"name":"Radoslaw Bieniaszewski","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":66927,"name":"Wojciech Machura","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":46947,"name":"Amine Naïfi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005},{"id":49148,"name":"Darvin Jablonski","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.005}],"confidence":0.173},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":13765,"name":"Jędrzej Grobelny","side":"home"},{"id":13752,"name":"Dawid Gojny","side":"home"},{"id":13750,"name":"Serafin Szota","side":"home"},{"id":53339,"name":"Wojciech Zacharewicz","side":"home"},{"id":14035,"name":"Konrad Gruszkowski","side":"home"},{"id":14053,"name":"Maciej Ambrosiewicz","side":"home"},{"id":13764,"name":"Michał Rzuchowski","side":"home"},{"id":13754,"name":"Alassane Sidibe","side":"home"},{"id":13753,"name":"Dawid Kocyła","side":"home"},{"id":13758,"name":"Vladislavs Gutkovskis","side":"home"},{"id":14028,"name":"Bartłomiej Pawłowski","side":"home"},{"id":13793,"name":"Dominik Kun","side":"home"},{"id":65921,"name":"Elmedin Rama","side":"home"},{"id":38802,"name":"Dawid Arndt","side":"home"},{"id":29894,"name":"Filip Waluś","side":"home"},{"id":29591,"name":"Jakub Kowalski","side":"home"},{"id":32485,"name":"Javi Domínguez","side":"home"},{"id":36687,"name":"Kacper Krzepisz","side":"home"},{"id":38858,"name":"Kasjan Lipkowski","side":"home"},{"id":62513,"name":"Kuba Solecki","side":"home"},{"id":28090,"name":"Marco Komenda","side":"home"},{"id":29434,"name":"Michal Milewski","side":"home"},{"id":14182,"name":"Natan Dzięgielewski","side":"home"},{"id":64103,"name":"Elian Demirovič","side":"home"},{"id":14174,"name":"Hide Vitalucci","side":"home"},{"id":140784,"name":"Maksymilian Sznaucner","side":"home"},{"id":38793,"name":"Szymon Lewkot","side":"home"},{"id":64204,"name":"Piotr Krefft","side":"home"},{"id":49155,"name":"Svyatoslav Vanivskyi","side":"away"},{"id":39131,"name":"Ksawery Kukułka","side":"away"},{"id":49149,"name":"Marcin Kaczor","side":"away"},{"id":49153,"name":"Daniel Zieja","side":"away"},{"id":64418,"name":"Marco Thiede","side":"away"},{"id":49146,"name":"Mateusz Leniart","side":"away"},{"id":48562,"name":"Marcin Listkowski","side":"away"},{"id":64417,"name":"Sean Goss","side":"away"},{"id":49142,"name":"Szymon Salamon","side":"away"},{"id":39132,"name":"Michał Musik","side":"away"},{"id":39125,"name":"Kacper Masiak","side":"away"},{"id":52149,"name":"Szymon Pukala","side":"away"},{"id":52150,"name":"Wojciech Brzek","side":"away"},{"id":49151,"name":"Antoni Perduta","side":"away"},{"id":39127,"name":"Filip Wolski","side":"away"},{"id":39117,"name":"Marek Kozioł","side":"away"},{"id":49145,"name":"Oliwier Madej","side":"away"},{"id":39119,"name":"Vladislav Krasovskiy","side":"away"},{"id":61836,"name":"Marvin Rittmüller","side":"away"},{"id":52782,"name":"Radoslaw Bieniaszewski","side":"away"},{"id":66927,"name":"Wojciech Machura","side":"away"},{"id":46947,"name":"Amine Naïfi","side":"away"},{"id":49148,"name":"Darvin Jablonski","side":"away"},{"id":52784,"name":"Mikołaj Jaskot","side":"away"},{"id":49154,"name":"Tymoteusz Klis","side":"away"},{"id":49150,"name":"Łukasz Piwnicki","side":"away"},{"id":49152,"name":"Fabian Blejwas","side":"away"},{"id":212650,"name":"Emanuel Wiśniowski","side":"away"},{"id":49141,"name":"Jakub Kaczowka","side":"away"},{"id":14224,"name":"Aleksander Buksa","side":"away"},{"id":49140,"name":"Seif Darwish","side":"away"},{"id":39133,"name":"Frederick Wolff","side":"away"},{"id":66928,"name":"Mateusz Sokol","side":"away"},{"id":52783,"name":"Jakub Sadowski","side":"away"},{"id":49144,"name":"Arsen Hrosu","side":"away"},{"id":49143,"name":"Dominik Gujda","side":"away"},{"id":39128,"name":"Ilya Postupalskyi","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":65921,"name":"Elmedin Rama","side":"home","team":"Arka Gdynia","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":13758,"name":"Vladislavs Gutkovskis","side":"home","team":"Arka Gdynia","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":{"apps":4,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":4},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":{"team":"Latvia","apps":4,"goals":0,"assists":1,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":null},{"id":52149,"name":"Szymon Pukala","side":"away","team":"Stal Rzeszów","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":49142,"name":"Szymon Salamon","side":"away","team":"Stal Rzeszów","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":39125,"name":"Kacper Masiak","side":"away","team":"Stal Rzeszów","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":432,"away":1802},"split":{"home":null,"away":null},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":4120,"name":"Tomasz Grzegorczyk","vs":null},"away":{"id":1163,"name":"Marek Zub","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{"13758":{"caps":55,"goals":12,"country":"Latvia","signed":null}}},"notable":[{"id":14179,"name":"Ousmane Sow","goals":3,"rank":1},{"id":52149,"name":"Szymon Pukala","goals":3,"rank":2},{"id":14061,"name":"Wojciech Jakubik","goals":3,"rank":3},{"id":38927,"name":"Bekzod Akhmedov","goals":2,"rank":4},{"id":14062,"name":"Dominik Biniek","goals":2,"rank":5},{"id":65921,"name":"Elmedin Rama","goals":2,"rank":6},{"id":48941,"name":"Jakub Wilczyński","goals":2,"rank":7},{"id":26231,"name":"Kacper Plichta","goals":2,"rank":8},{"id":38866,"name":"Maksymilian Stangret","goals":2,"rank":9},{"id":13886,"name":"Mbaye Ndiaye","goals":2,"rank":10},{"id":13936,"name":"Michał Chrapek","goals":2,"rank":11},{"id":61629,"name":"Peter Voško","goals":2,"rank":12},{"id":48943,"name":"Piotr Skrobosinski","goals":2,"rank":13},{"id":61650,"name":"Adrian Danek","goals":1,"rank":14},{"id":28287,"name":"Adrian Jurkiewicz","goals":1,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Round of 32","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":null,"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":2,"record":"4-0-2","goals_for":2.17,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"won 3","sequence":"LWLWWW","venue_ppg":2.25},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.5,"record":"2-3-1","goals_for":1.83,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"unbeaten 4","sequence":"WLDDWD","venue_ppg":0.67}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Arka Gdynia report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Stal Rzeszów report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.173,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.827,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tomasz Grzegorczyk is 8 games into the job at Arka Gdynia, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Tomasz Grzegorczyk","matches_in_charge":8,"tenure_days":283,"ppm":2.25,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.3,"after_ppm":1.5,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Marek Zub has 16 matches in charge at Stal Rzeszów, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Marek Zub","matches_in_charge":16,"tenure_days":402,"ppm":1,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1,"after_ppm":0.7,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"THIN","note":"Arka Gdynia have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.","evidence":{"daysRest":null,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"THIN","note":"Stal Rzeszów have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.","evidence":{"daysRest":null,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 0.7679002308172912 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.126,"defence":0.071,"effective_matches":0.9,"shrunk":0.9},"away":{"attack":0.08,"defence":0.078,"effective_matches":0.8,"shrunk":0.91},"sample":0.7679002308172912,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Stal Rzeszów average 8 points more possession than Arka Gdynia, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":40.3,"shots":11.2,"xg_per_shot":0.127,"corners":4.4,"corners_per_shot":0.397,"finishing_vs_xg":0},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":48.7,"shots":null,"xg_per_shot":null,"corners":4.3,"corners_per_shot":null,"finishing_vs_xg":null},"possession_gap":-8.4},"strength":0.335,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":1.8},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-1.8}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Arka Gdynia are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for Stal Rzeszów's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":12},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 552 km for Stal Rzeszów.","evidence":{"travel_km":552},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":-0.060260474919294475},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Arka Gdynia will control this cup tie from the first whistle. Tomasz Grzegorczyk is still settling in, yet his team have won four of their last six matches and kept three clean sheets in those six games. They simply do not concede easy opportunities. Meanwhile, Marek Zub sees his Stal Rzeszów side travel badly. They have won just two of their last six outings while drawing three of those six, struggling to turn games into wins away from home. Arka's 3-4-2-1 setup overpowers Stal's 4-3-3 shape through midfield, giving Vladislavs Gutkovskis plenty of service against Svyatoslav Vanivskyi. Defensive strength decides it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6800,"created_at":"2026-10-28T16:05:18Z","event":{"id":604462,"event_date":"2026-10-29T18:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":432,"home_team":"Arka Gdynia","away_team_id":1802,"away_team":"Stal Rzeszów","league_id":46,"league_name":"Puchar Polski"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":63.3,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.6329,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793281249,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0e53a4","away":"#619ad1"},"venue":{"name":"Stadion GOSiR","city":"Gdynia","capacity":15139},"pulled":[],"published":[]}