{"id":603940,"league_id":97,"league":"Challenger Pro League","kickoff":1793991600,"home":"Jong KRC Genk U23","away":"KAA Gent Reserve U23","home_id":3729,"away_id":3972,"venue_id":null,"rank":6,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.522,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.71,1.26],"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"pass":"Passing on Jong KRC Genk U23 v KAA Gent Reserve U23. The likely outcome is priced too short to be worth taking, and nothing else is sure enough to call.","flags":[],"lambda_home":1.7129290760919502,"lambda_away":1.2643441316515605,"corner_rate":10.18,"card_rate":0.314,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.523,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":12266,"name":"Emile Doucouré","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.747},{"id":59207,"name":"Yumeki Yoshinaga","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.615},{"id":59210,"name":"Elie Mbavu","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.67},{"id":3135,"name":"Adrian Palacios","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.52},{"id":58906,"name":"Kayden Pierre","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.608},{"id":8730,"name":"August De Wannemacker","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.668},{"id":58905,"name":"Christian Akpan","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.286},{"id":212301,"name":"Kiyan Achahbar","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.737},{"id":103831,"name":"Moussa Kone","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.287},{"id":58908,"name":"Djoully Nzoko","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.724},{"id":212302,"name":"Jonathan Coenen","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.657},{"id":110275,"name":"Myung-jun Kim","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.645},{"id":212300,"name":"Jelle Driessen","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.53},{"id":92036,"name":"Wout Kapers","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.446},{"id":212303,"name":"Precious Ogbeiwi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.425},{"id":212299,"name":"Manu Mocsnik","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.331},{"id":3133,"name":"Nikolas Sattlberger","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.331},{"id":3125,"name":"Yaimar Medina","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.28},{"id":212298,"name":"Daan Van Laere","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.278},{"id":212353,"name":"Loïc Alvarez Fernandez","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.276},{"id":212306,"name":"Sami El Morabet","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.262},{"id":76791,"name":"Mustapha Koma","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.244},{"id":59216,"name":"Alpha Barry","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.235}],"confidence":0.6},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":64108,"name":"Victor De Coninck","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":88809,"name":"Ruslan Vydysh","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.434},{"id":88815,"name":"Preben Blondeel","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.555},{"id":88819,"name":"Trey Kongolo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.48},{"id":185952,"name":"Eric Junior Simporé","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.351},{"id":64738,"name":"Oleksandr Soroka","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.747},{"id":88808,"name":"Gyano Vanderdonck","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.695},{"id":88810,"name":"Ali Donny Sylla","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.54},{"id":88814,"name":"Alexandre Chaidron","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.256},{"id":88806,"name":"Abubakar Abdullahi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.735},{"id":33658,"name":"Jemiah Umolu","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.365},{"id":10605,"name":"Moctar Diop","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.348},{"id":88818,"name":"Victor Vandenbroucke","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.344},{"id":88805,"name":"Daniel James Wisdom","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.295},{"id":185951,"name":"Rayan Garcia Belkacem","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.279},{"id":104421,"name":"Abdul Ouedraogo","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.27},{"id":88807,"name":"Noah Laghmich","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.255},{"id":88811,"name":"Joachim Djamba-Shango","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.236},{"id":69114,"name":"Yassin Mohammed","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.223},{"id":42208,"name":"Loris Pirotte","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.154},{"id":88804,"name":"David Mukuna-Trouet","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.139},{"id":88802,"name":"Saidou Toure","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.125},{"id":159930,"name":"Liam Wauters","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01}],"confidence":0.523},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":12266,"name":"Emile Doucouré","side":"home"},{"id":59207,"name":"Yumeki Yoshinaga","side":"home"},{"id":59210,"name":"Elie Mbavu","side":"home"},{"id":3135,"name":"Adrian Palacios","side":"home"},{"id":58906,"name":"Kayden Pierre","side":"home"},{"id":8730,"name":"August De Wannemacker","side":"home"},{"id":58905,"name":"Christian Akpan","side":"home"},{"id":212301,"name":"Kiyan Achahbar","side":"home"},{"id":103831,"name":"Moussa Kone","side":"home"},{"id":58908,"name":"Djoully Nzoko","side":"home"},{"id":212302,"name":"Jonathan Coenen","side":"home"},{"id":110275,"name":"Myung-jun Kim","side":"home"},{"id":212300,"name":"Jelle Driessen","side":"home"},{"id":92036,"name":"Wout Kapers","side":"home"},{"id":212303,"name":"Precious Ogbeiwi","side":"home"},{"id":212299,"name":"Manu Mocsnik","side":"home"},{"id":3133,"name":"Nikolas Sattlberger","side":"home"},{"id":3125,"name":"Yaimar Medina","side":"home"},{"id":212298,"name":"Daan Van Laere","side":"home"},{"id":212353,"name":"Loïc Alvarez Fernandez","side":"home"},{"id":212306,"name":"Sami El Morabet","side":"home"},{"id":76791,"name":"Mustapha Koma","side":"home"},{"id":59216,"name":"Alpha Barry","side":"home"},{"id":212354,"name":"Tinus Moorthamer","side":"home"},{"id":59212,"name":"Brad Manguelle","side":"home"},{"id":58907,"name":"Zion Henry","side":"home"},{"id":212352,"name":"Prince N'Salambi","side":"home"},{"id":212350,"name":"Shakhmurat Dauletov","side":"home"},{"id":36479,"name":"Victory Beniangba","side":"home"},{"id":59179,"name":"Eddien Lazar","side":"home"},{"id":212351,"name":"Elie Mpungu Kongolo","side":"home"},{"id":212355,"name":"Vic Debusschere","side":"home"},{"id":212305,"name":"Mariyan Boev","side":"home"},{"id":212307,"name":"Jens De Groof","side":"home"},{"id":212320,"name":"Lander Borgers","side":"home"},{"id":212304,"name":"Thierno Baldé","side":"home"},{"id":3134,"name":"Robin Mirisola","side":"home"},{"id":64108,"name":"Victor De Coninck","side":"away"},{"id":88809,"name":"Ruslan Vydysh","side":"away"},{"id":88815,"name":"Preben Blondeel","side":"away"},{"id":88819,"name":"Trey Kongolo","side":"away"},{"id":185952,"name":"Eric Junior Simporé","side":"away"},{"id":64738,"name":"Oleksandr Soroka","side":"away"},{"id":88808,"name":"Gyano Vanderdonck","side":"away"},{"id":88810,"name":"Ali Donny Sylla","side":"away"},{"id":88814,"name":"Alexandre Chaidron","side":"away"},{"id":88806,"name":"Abubakar Abdullahi","side":"away"},{"id":33658,"name":"Jemiah Umolu","side":"away"},{"id":10605,"name":"Moctar Diop","side":"away"},{"id":88818,"name":"Victor Vandenbroucke","side":"away"},{"id":88805,"name":"Daniel James Wisdom","side":"away"},{"id":185951,"name":"Rayan Garcia Belkacem","side":"away"},{"id":104421,"name":"Abdul Ouedraogo","side":"away"},{"id":88807,"name":"Noah Laghmich","side":"away"},{"id":88811,"name":"Joachim Djamba-Shango","side":"away"},{"id":69114,"name":"Yassin Mohammed","side":"away"},{"id":42208,"name":"Loris Pirotte","side":"away"},{"id":88804,"name":"David Mukuna-Trouet","side":"away"},{"id":88802,"name":"Saidou Toure","side":"away"},{"id":159930,"name":"Liam Wauters","side":"away"},{"id":88820,"name":"Henri De Clercq","side":"away"},{"id":88821,"name":"Allan Verlinden","side":"away"},{"id":88817,"name":"Michiel Cauwel","side":"away"},{"id":88816,"name":"Arthur De Kimpe","side":"away"},{"id":88803,"name":"Simon Buggea","side":"away"},{"id":218529,"name":"Rayan Yaakoubi","side":"away"},{"id":88813,"name":"Mikelis Menniks","side":"away"},{"id":8850,"name":"Abdul Ayinde","side":"away"},{"id":7466,"name":"Matisse Samoise","side":"away"},{"id":7770,"name":"Mohammed El Âdfaoui","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":110275,"name":"Myung-jun Kim","side":"home","team":"Jong KRC Genk U23","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":6,"starts":6,"goals":4,"assists":1,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":6},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":3,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"KSC Lokeren","kickoff":1787940000,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"4-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer","in_form"],"importance":0.164,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":88,"country":0}},{"id":212302,"name":"Jonathan Coenen","side":"home","team":"Jong KRC Genk U23","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":7,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"KSC Lokeren","kickoff":1787940000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"4-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.042,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":33658,"name":"Jemiah Umolu","side":"away","team":"KAA Gent Reserve U23","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":6,"starts":2,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":10,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":2},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring","kickoff":1793386800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.153,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":128,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":3729,"away":3972},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":2,"d":2,"l":3},"below":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":1}},"away":{"above":{"w":1,"d":0,"l":3},"below":{"w":2,"d":2,"l":0}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":3926,"name":"Igor Camargo","vs":null},"away":{"id":3138,"name":"Thomas Matton","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":42107,"name":"Arnold Vula","goals":8,"rank":1},{"id":40668,"name":"Abdelsamad Hachem","goals":6,"rank":2},{"id":67294,"name":"Maxime Bastian","goals":6,"rank":3},{"id":74017,"name":"Javan Ngoyi","goals":4,"rank":4},{"id":42173,"name":"Milan Robberechts","goals":4,"rank":5},{"id":110275,"name":"Myung-jun Kim","goals":4,"rank":6},{"id":67453,"name":"Naïm Amengai","goals":4,"rank":7},{"id":42171,"name":"Radja Nainggolan","goals":4,"rank":8},{"id":7514,"name":"Siebe Van Keymolen","goals":4,"rank":9},{"id":42203,"name":"Simon Paulet","goals":4,"rank":10},{"id":54337,"name":"Vancy Mabanza","goals":4,"rank":11},{"id":15185,"name":"Amine Messoussa","goals":3,"rank":12},{"id":42105,"name":"Anas Haj Mohamed","goals":3,"rank":13},{"id":90204,"name":"Ba-Muaka Simakala","goals":3,"rank":14},{"id":77524,"name":"Jakke Van Britsom","goals":3,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 10","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":3729,"position":11,"played":9,"points":9,"goal_diff":-3,"team_name":"Jong KRC Genk U23","won":2,"drawn":3,"lost":4,"goals_for":13,"goals_against":16,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":3972,"position":9,"played":8,"points":11,"goal_diff":-2,"team_name":"KAA Gent Reserve U23","won":3,"drawn":2,"lost":3,"goals_for":11,"goals_against":13,"group":null},"size":15},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"1-3-2","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"winless 5","sequence":"WLDLDD","venue_ppg":1.67},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.33,"record":"2-2-2","goals_for":1.5,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"DLDWLW","venue_ppg":0.5}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Jong KRC Genk U23 report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"KAA Gent Reserve U23 report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.523,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.477,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":18,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":11,"points":9,"games_left":18,"gap_to_leader":15,"gap_to_safety":1,"gap_to_europe":6},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":9,"points":11,"games_left":18,"gap_to_leader":13,"gap_to_safety":3,"gap_to_europe":4},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Igor Camargo is 10 games into the job at Jong KRC Genk U23, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Igor Camargo","matches_in_charge":10,"tenure_days":84,"ppm":1,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":2.17,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Thomas Matton is 9 games into the job at KAA Gent Reserve U23, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Thomas Matton","matches_in_charge":9,"tenure_days":99,"ppm":1.22,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":3,"after_ppm":1.22,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Jong KRC Genk U23 come in on 5 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":5.166666666666667,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":5.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"KAA Gent Reserve U23 come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.018,"defence":-0.1,"effective_matches":6.7,"shrunk":0.54},"away":{"attack":-0.087,"defence":0.013,"effective_matches":6.1,"shrunk":0.57}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Jong KRC Genk U23 work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48,"shots":12.1,"xg_per_shot":0.124,"corners":6,"corners_per_shot":0.495,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.17},"away":{"matches":10,"possession":51.9,"shots":10.6,"xg_per_shot":0.095,"corners":3.3,"corners_per_shot":0.306,"finishing_vs_xg":0.19},"possession_gap":-3.9},"strength":0.155,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Jong KRC Genk U23 are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.17,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"KAA Gent Reserve U23 are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.19,"matches":10},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.34796780021635026},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6935,"created_at":"2026-10-31T02:15:20Z","event":{"id":603940,"event_date":"2026-11-06T19:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":3729,"home_team":"Jong KRC Genk U23","away_team_id":3972,"away_team":"KAA Gent Reserve U23","league_id":97,"league_name":"Challenger Pro League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":43.4,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4343,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793956056,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0b4989","away":"#0c4b90"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[]}