{"id":603912,"league_id":97,"league":"Challenger Pro League","kickoff":1789826400,"home":"Jong KRC Genk U23","away":"RFC Seraing","home_id":3729,"away_id":4662,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,2],"colors":{"home":"#0b4989","away":"#ed2028"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.143,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.829,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.14. Expected goals total 3.39 against a line of 1.5: above it, which is the call. Put together, the expectation is more than 1.5 goals in it. That puts it at 83%, priced 1.14 — a high-probability call rather than a claim the market is wrong.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":3,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":4,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}