{"id":603714,"league_id":92,"league":"Taça de Portugal","kickoff":1789912800,"home":"CD Fátima","away":"FC Vinhais","home_id":3241,"away_id":8340,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[4,1],"colors":{"home":"#8a364b","away":"#e43025"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.333,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.829,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Expected goals total 3.33 against a line of 1.5: above it, which is the call. In the same direction, recent results for FC Vinhais were collected under someone else's instructions, which is the whole reason to discount them. Everything above points the same way: more than 1.5 goals in it. We make it 83% at 1.33. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":4,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":5,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"odds":1.143,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.828171828171828,"narrative":"Double chance 1X at 1.14. 2.38 against 0.95. FC Vinhais's route to a result runs through a clean sheet the numbers do not expect them to keep. Alongside it, FC Vinhais are early enough into a new regime that recent form describes a different team. On that evidence, CD Fátima avoiding defeat. We make it 83% at 1.14. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":4,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":5,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}