{"id":603096,"league_id":95,"league":"Campeonato de Portugal","kickoff":1792926000,"home":"GD Lagoa","away":"JD Lajense","home_id":8328,"away_id":8326,"venue_id":null,"rank":6,"status":"1st_half","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.221,"score":null,"live_score":[0,0],"lambda":[1.33,1],"read":null,"pass":"Nothing to take on GD Lagoa against JD Lajense. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.","flags":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection."}],"lambda_home":1.3288123628466906,"lambda_away":0.9978786797970942,"corner_rate":11.09,"card_rate":0.277,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0,"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":161876,"name":"João Vitor","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.006},{"id":99036,"name":"Fábio Nunes","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":71028,"name":"Kenneth Bastian Sebastian","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":203666,"name":"Valter Barros","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":203308,"name":"Victor Ângelo","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":201777,"name":"Pedro Duarte Vila Guedes","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.006},{"id":203307,"name":"Afonso Soares","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":203619,"name":"Francisco Mendes","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":137184,"name":"Pedro Simoes","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":75667,"name":"Guilherme Sequeira","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":190656,"name":"Jorge Teixeira","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0}],"confidence":0.009},"away":{"formation":"4-1-4-1","players":[{"id":201853,"name":"Rui Santos","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":100260,"name":"Aliou Niang","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":202010,"name":"Breno","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":75718,"name":"Chadai","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":213751,"name":"Costinha","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":213747,"name":"Atila Fontinha","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":213744,"name":"Boris Kamdem","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":221090,"name":"Boris Kamdem Kamwa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":221091,"name":"Filipe Medeiros Ponte","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":221086,"name":"João Teixeira Lima","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0},{"id":213749,"name":"Eder Delgado","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0}],"confidence":0},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":161876,"name":"João Vitor","side":"home"},{"id":99036,"name":"Fábio Nunes","side":"home"},{"id":71028,"name":"Kenneth Bastian Sebastian","side":"home"},{"id":203666,"name":"Valter Barros","side":"home"},{"id":203308,"name":"Victor Ângelo","side":"home"},{"id":201777,"name":"Pedro Duarte Vila Guedes","side":"home"},{"id":203307,"name":"Afonso Soares","side":"home"},{"id":203619,"name":"Francisco Mendes","side":"home"},{"id":137184,"name":"Pedro Simoes","side":"home"},{"id":75667,"name":"Guilherme Sequeira","side":"home"},{"id":190656,"name":"Jorge Teixeira","side":"home"},{"id":201773,"name":"Chris Souza","side":"home"},{"id":169698,"name":"Ze Maria","side":"home"},{"id":201780,"name":"Ricardo Jorge da Silva Pinto Pereira","side":"home"},{"id":203304,"name":"Lucas Matheus","side":"home"},{"id":203234,"name":"Luís André Nascimento Batalha","side":"home"},{"id":201853,"name":"Rui Santos","side":"away"},{"id":100260,"name":"Aliou Niang","side":"away"},{"id":202010,"name":"Breno","side":"away"},{"id":75718,"name":"Chadai","side":"away"},{"id":213751,"name":"Costinha","side":"away"},{"id":213747,"name":"Atila Fontinha","side":"away"},{"id":213744,"name":"Boris Kamdem","side":"away"},{"id":221090,"name":"Boris Kamdem Kamwa","side":"away"},{"id":221091,"name":"Filipe Medeiros Ponte","side":"away"},{"id":221086,"name":"João Teixeira Lima","side":"away"},{"id":213749,"name":"Eder Delgado","side":"away"},{"id":116184,"name":"Diogo Careca","side":"away"},{"id":201851,"name":"Itto Cruz","side":"away"},{"id":213746,"name":"Francisco Machado","side":"away"},{"id":221085,"name":"Daniel Ferreira Spencer Pereira","side":"away"},{"id":201981,"name":"Filipe Andrade","side":"away"},{"id":221087,"name":"Franco Pinho","side":"away"},{"id":202015,"name":"Gustavo Martins","side":"away"},{"id":213743,"name":"Kell","side":"away"},{"id":213748,"name":"Toro","side":"away"},{"id":221088,"name":"Vasco Dimas Amaral Soares","side":"away"},{"id":221089,"name":"Tiago Figueiredo Ávila","side":"away"},{"id":201849,"name":"Ragner","side":"away"},{"id":213750,"name":"Lima","side":"away"},{"id":213745,"name":"Madalin Popescu","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":99036,"name":"Fábio Nunes","side":"home","team":"GD Lagoa","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":75667,"name":"Guilherme Sequeira","side":"home","team":"GD Lagoa","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":213749,"name":"Eder Delgado","side":"away","team":"JD Lajense","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"FWD","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":8328,"away":8326},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":2,"l":1},"below":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":0}},"away":{"above":{"w":2,"d":1,"l":3},"below":null}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":null,"away":{"id":3834,"name":"Pedro Lima","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":202015,"name":"Gustavo Martins","goals":1,"rank":1},{"id":119772,"name":"Marco Grave","goals":1,"rank":2},{"id":213748,"name":"Toro","goals":1,"rank":3}],"round_label":"Group D · Matchday 6","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":8328,"position":8,"played":5,"points":6,"goal_diff":0,"team_name":"GD Lagoa","won":1,"drawn":3,"lost":1,"goals_for":4,"goals_against":4,"group":"Group D"},"away":{"team_id":8326,"position":7,"played":6,"points":7,"goal_diff":0,"team_name":"JD Lajense","won":2,"drawn":1,"lost":3,"goals_for":9,"goals_against":9,"group":"Group D"},"size":56},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"1-3-2","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"DLWDLD"},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":2,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"LDLLWL","venue_ppg":0.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"GD Lagoa report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JD Lajense report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0,"cup_tie":false},"strength":1,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No manager record for GD Lagoa, so regime state cannot be read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Pedro Lima is 7 games into the job at JD Lajense, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Pedro Lima","matches_in_charge":7,"tenure_days":49,"ppm":1,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"GD Lagoa come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":13.875,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":13.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JD Lajense come in on 14 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":14,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":14},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 3.7048674901623064 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.08,"defence":0.121,"effective_matches":3.7,"shrunk":0.68},"away":{"attack":0.011,"defence":-0.069,"effective_matches":5.1,"shrunk":0.61},"sample":3.7048674901623064,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":7,"possession":49.8,"shots":null,"xg_per_shot":null,"corners":6.3,"corners_per_shot":null,"finishing_vs_xg":null},"away":{"matches":8,"possession":46.8,"shots":null,"xg_per_shot":null,"corners":3,"corners_per_shot":null,"finishing_vs_xg":null},"possession_gap":3},"strength":0.12,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for GD Lagoa's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":7},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for JD Lajense's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":8},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.18746873469742686},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: no-prices","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5939,"created_at":"2026-10-19T02:15:30Z","event":{"id":603096,"event_date":"2026-10-25T11:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":8328,"home_team":"GD Lagoa","away_team_id":8326,"away_team":"JD Lajense","league_id":95,"league_name":"Campeonato de Portugal"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":44.3,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4432,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792923321,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"live_minute":13,"colors":{"home":"#31347f","away":"#ecbc17"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[]}