{"id":602689,"league_id":94,"league":"2. Bundesliga","kickoff":1792234800,"home":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","away":"Eintracht Braunschweig","home_id":1292,"away_id":1830,"venue_id":757,"rank":6,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.521,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.83,1.51],"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"pass":"Passing on SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Eintracht Braunschweig. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[],"lambda_home":1.8286568776720793,"lambda_away":1.5055602095286038,"corner_rate":10.92,"card_rate":0.198,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.75,"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":3120,"name":"Florian Hellstern","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.767},{"id":29579,"name":"Luca Itter","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.681},{"id":41577,"name":"Jannis Heuer","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.746},{"id":5870,"name":"Krisztián Keresztes","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.519},{"id":29581,"name":"Jannik Dehm","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.582},{"id":1515,"name":"Ole Pohlmann","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.721},{"id":29569,"name":"Paul Will","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.743},{"id":29562,"name":"Sacha Banse","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.663},{"id":29564,"name":"Felix Klaus","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.733},{"id":29560,"name":"Dennis Srbeny","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.512},{"id":41428,"name":"Omar Sillah","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.386},{"id":27751,"name":"Shinta Appelkamp","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.602},{"id":29577,"name":"Lukas Reich","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.452},{"id":28029,"name":"Hendry Blank","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.357},{"id":68345,"name":"Faton Ademi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.317},{"id":29566,"name":"Aaron Keller","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.283},{"id":1912,"name":"Jordan Siebatcheu","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.244},{"id":12532,"name":"Doni Arifi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.233},{"id":27574,"name":"Mika Wallentowitz","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.224},{"id":152596,"name":"Olgherto Balliu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.207},{"id":73634,"name":"Jakob Krautkramer","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":41638,"name":"Christian Ortag","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":12076,"name":"Elias Benkara","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02}],"confidence":0.809},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":41520,"name":"Ron Thorben Hoffmann","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.764},{"id":41526,"name":"Fabio Di Michele Sanchez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.476},{"id":41521,"name":"Kevin Ehlers","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.758},{"id":41522,"name":"Lukas Frenkert","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.397},{"id":41524,"name":"Mehmet Aydın","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.744},{"id":41974,"name":"Florian Flick","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.748},{"id":41525,"name":"Max Marie","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.732},{"id":27492,"name":"Yann Sturm","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.616},{"id":63835,"name":"Samuele Di Benedetto","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.542},{"id":6502,"name":"Aaron Opoku","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.719},{"id":4076,"name":"Jan Urbich","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.446},{"id":4737,"name":"Noah Katterbach","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.424},{"id":41371,"name":"Andi Hoti","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.393},{"id":30994,"name":"Maximilian Entrup","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.357},{"id":4177,"name":"Junior Zé","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.297},{"id":67444,"name":"Isidoros Koutsidis","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.239},{"id":7240,"name":"Jovan Mijatović","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.236},{"id":63837,"name":"Tristan Wagner","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.207},{"id":41528,"name":"Robin Heußer","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.206},{"id":41534,"name":"Sidi Sané","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.196},{"id":48146,"name":"Lino Tempelmann","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.187},{"id":41889,"name":"Benjamin Uphoff","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.045},{"id":30973,"name":"Damjan Kovačević","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.015}],"confidence":0.75},"unavailable":[{"id":21434,"name":"Maxim Dal","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Shoulder Injury"},{"id":29588,"name":"Silas Prüfrock","team_id":null,"side":"home","reason":"Knock Injury"}]},"people":[{"id":3120,"name":"Florian Hellstern","side":"home"},{"id":29579,"name":"Luca Itter","side":"home"},{"id":41577,"name":"Jannis Heuer","side":"home"},{"id":5870,"name":"Krisztián Keresztes","side":"home"},{"id":29581,"name":"Jannik Dehm","side":"home"},{"id":1515,"name":"Ole Pohlmann","side":"home"},{"id":29569,"name":"Paul Will","side":"home"},{"id":29562,"name":"Sacha Banse","side":"home"},{"id":29564,"name":"Felix Klaus","side":"home"},{"id":29560,"name":"Dennis Srbeny","side":"home"},{"id":41428,"name":"Omar Sillah","side":"home"},{"id":27751,"name":"Shinta Appelkamp","side":"home"},{"id":29577,"name":"Lukas Reich","side":"home"},{"id":28029,"name":"Hendry Blank","side":"home"},{"id":68345,"name":"Faton Ademi","side":"home"},{"id":29566,"name":"Aaron Keller","side":"home"},{"id":1912,"name":"Jordan Siebatcheu","side":"home"},{"id":12532,"name":"Doni Arifi","side":"home"},{"id":27574,"name":"Mika Wallentowitz","side":"home"},{"id":152596,"name":"Olgherto Balliu","side":"home"},{"id":73634,"name":"Jakob Krautkramer","side":"home"},{"id":41638,"name":"Christian Ortag","side":"home"},{"id":12076,"name":"Elias Benkara","side":"home"},{"id":21434,"name":"Maxim Dal","side":"home"},{"id":41837,"name":"Benjamin Merlin Zank","side":"home"},{"id":29588,"name":"Silas Prüfrock","side":"home"},{"id":79557,"name":"Dominik Spath","side":"home"},{"id":41520,"name":"Ron Thorben Hoffmann","side":"away"},{"id":41526,"name":"Fabio Di Michele Sanchez","side":"away"},{"id":41521,"name":"Kevin Ehlers","side":"away"},{"id":41522,"name":"Lukas Frenkert","side":"away"},{"id":41524,"name":"Mehmet Aydın","side":"away"},{"id":41974,"name":"Florian Flick","side":"away"},{"id":41525,"name":"Max Marie","side":"away"},{"id":27492,"name":"Yann Sturm","side":"away"},{"id":63835,"name":"Samuele Di Benedetto","side":"away"},{"id":6502,"name":"Aaron Opoku","side":"away"},{"id":4076,"name":"Jan Urbich","side":"away"},{"id":4737,"name":"Noah Katterbach","side":"away"},{"id":41371,"name":"Andi Hoti","side":"away"},{"id":30994,"name":"Maximilian Entrup","side":"away"},{"id":4177,"name":"Junior Zé","side":"away"},{"id":67444,"name":"Isidoros Koutsidis","side":"away"},{"id":7240,"name":"Jovan Mijatović","side":"away"},{"id":63837,"name":"Tristan Wagner","side":"away"},{"id":41528,"name":"Robin Heußer","side":"away"},{"id":41534,"name":"Sidi Sané","side":"away"},{"id":48146,"name":"Lino Tempelmann","side":"away"},{"id":41889,"name":"Benjamin Uphoff","side":"away"},{"id":30973,"name":"Damjan Kovačević","side":"away"},{"id":48149,"name":"Frederik Jäkel","side":"away"},{"id":41530,"name":"Sanoussy Ba","side":"away"},{"id":216968,"name":"Koki Tamayama","side":"away"},{"id":63839,"name":"Nick Bodon","side":"away"},{"id":48145,"name":"Lars Raebiger","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":29588,"name":"Silas Prüfrock","side":"home","team":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","club":null,"role":"GK","position":"GK","status":"out","reason":"Knock Injury","expected_return":"2026-10-31","season":null,"recent":null,"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":21434,"name":"Maxim Dal","side":"home","team":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"out","reason":"Shoulder Injury","expected_return":"2026-11-20","season":{"apps":1,"starts":0,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":1,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":1,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"VfL Bochum 1848","kickoff":1787482800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.004,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":29564,"name":"Felix Klaus","side":"home","team":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":8,"goals":5,"assists":1,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":8},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"1. FC Nürnberg","kickoff":1786791600,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"2-4","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.269,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":29560,"name":"Dennis Srbeny","side":"home","team":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":5,"goals":0,"assists":2,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"1. FC Nürnberg","kickoff":1786791600,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"2-4","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.057,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":9,"country":0}},{"id":4076,"name":"Jan Urbich","side":"away","team":"Eintracht Braunschweig","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":3,"goals":4,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":1,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"1. FC Magdeburg","kickoff":1786186800,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"6-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.189,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":67,"country":0}},{"id":6502,"name":"Aaron Opoku","side":"away","team":"Eintracht Braunschweig","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":8,"goals":1,"assists":1,"big_chances":4,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":8},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"1. FC Magdeburg","kickoff":1786186800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"6-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["chance_creator"],"importance":0.08,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":80,"country":0}}],"extras":null,"notable":[{"id":26306,"name":"Mohamed Ali Zoma","goals":7,"rank":1},{"id":27757,"name":"Emmanuel Iyoha","goals":5,"rank":2},{"id":29564,"name":"Felix Klaus","goals":5,"rank":3},{"id":41391,"name":"Joel Grodowski","goals":5,"rank":4},{"id":26311,"name":"Piet Scobel","goals":5,"rank":5},{"id":4076,"name":"Jan Urbich","goals":4,"rank":6},{"id":1986,"name":"Josip Brekalo","goals":4,"rank":7},{"id":41439,"name":"Justin Butler","goals":4,"rank":8},{"id":28071,"name":"Phil Harres","goals":4,"rank":9},{"id":1598,"name":"Robert Glatzel","goals":4,"rank":10},{"id":41438,"name":"Tolcay Ciğerci","goals":4,"rank":11},{"id":2489,"name":"Abdoulie Ceesay","goals":3,"rank":12},{"id":26313,"name":"Adam Markhiev","goals":3,"rank":13},{"id":28070,"name":"Alexander Bernhardsson","goals":3,"rank":14},{"id":41358,"name":"Alexander Nollenberger","goals":3,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 8","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":1,"home_wins":1,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"avg_total_goals":3,"home_win_rate":1,"away_win_rate":0,"recent_matches":[{"away":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","date":"2010-08-14T17:30:00+00:00","home":"Eintracht Braunschweig","score":"1-2","event_id":450230,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1292,"home_team_id":1830}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":1292,"position":15,"played":7,"points":6,"goal_diff":-3,"team_name":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","won":1,"drawn":3,"lost":3,"goals_for":10,"goals_against":13,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1830,"position":11,"played":7,"points":7,"goal_diff":0,"team_name":"Eintracht Braunschweig","won":2,"drawn":1,"lost":4,"goals_for":13,"goals_against":13,"group":null},"size":18},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.83,"record":"1-2-3","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":2.17,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"winless 5","sequence":"WLDDLL","venue_ppg":0.5},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.67,"record":"1-1-4","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":2.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"LLDLLW","venue_ppg":0}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth are without 2 players, none of them central to how the side plays.","evidence":{"count":2,"measured":1,"combined_goal_share":0,"combined_importance":0.004,"players":[{"player":"Maxim Dal","role":"DEF","reason":"Shoulder Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.004,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":7},{"player":"Silas Prüfrock","role":"GK","reason":"Knock Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":2}]},"strength":0.15,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":0.8}]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Eintracht Braunschweig report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.75,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":26,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":15,"points":6,"games_left":26,"gap_to_leader":15,"gap_to_safety":0,"gap_to_europe":6},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":11,"points":7,"games_left":26,"gap_to_leader":14,"gap_to_safety":1,"gap_to_europe":5},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Heiko Vogel has 18 matches in charge at SpVgg Greuther Fürth, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Heiko Vogel","matches_in_charge":18,"tenure_days":353,"ppm":1.17,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1,"after_ppm":1.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Lars Kornetka has 18 matches in charge at Eintracht Braunschweig, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Lars Kornetka","matches_in_charge":18,"tenure_days":417,"ppm":1.06,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.4,"after_ppm":1.5,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":5.979166666666667,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":6},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Eintracht Braunschweig come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.770833333333333,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":7.8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 5.457966713865701 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.017,"defence":-0.006,"effective_matches":5.5,"shrunk":0.59},"away":{"attack":0.056,"defence":-0.086,"effective_matches":5.5,"shrunk":0.59},"sample":5.457966713865701,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; SpVgg Greuther Fürth work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":51.8,"shots":15.5,"xg_per_shot":0.106,"corners":6,"corners_per_shot":0.387,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.14},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":48.5,"shots":16.4,"xg_per_shot":0.104,"corners":4.1,"corners_per_shot":0.251,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.38},"possession_gap":3.3},"strength":0.132,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.14,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Eintracht Braunschweig have scored 5 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.38,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":13.2,"temperature_c":20,"description":"unknown"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.19454846501105857},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5162,"created_at":"2026-10-11T02:15:32Z","event":{"id":602689,"event_date":"2026-10-17T11:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1292,"home_team":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","away_team_id":1830,"away_team":"Eintracht Braunschweig","league_id":94,"league_name":"2. Bundesliga"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":43.4,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4336,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792037769,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#30a642","away":"#0d6aa6"},"venue":{"name":"Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer","city":"Fürth","capacity":15000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}