{"id":602668,"league_id":94,"league":"2. Bundesliga","kickoff":1789749000,"home":"SpVgg Greuther Fürth","away":"1. FC Magdeburg","home_id":1292,"away_id":1838,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[1,1],"colors":{"home":"#30a642","away":"#0e68a7"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","model_prob":0.84,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.14. Both sides are modelled to score: 1.62 against 1.62, and a match with that much in it rarely stays quiet. Pulling the same way, 1. FC Magdeburg are 5 games into a new regime, and the early bounce has not yet reverted. Put together, the expectation is more than 1.5 goals in it. That puts it at 84%, priced 1.14 — a high-probability call rather than a claim the market is wrong.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":2,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal in it. Right, but there was nothing spare."}}]}