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games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.018,"defence":0.02,"effective_matches":1.4,"shrunk":0.85},"away":{"attack":0.02,"defence":-0.028,"effective_matches":0.9,"shrunk":0.9},"sample":0.8524033177353226,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":54.2,"shots":17.6,"xg_per_shot":0.107,"corners":6.2,"corners_per_shot":0.351,"finishing_vs_xg":0.77},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":57.8,"shots":20.1,"xg_per_shot":0.104,"corners":6.5,"corners_per_shot":0.323,"finishing_vs_xg":0.66},"possession_gap":-3.7},"strength":0.146,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"SC Freiburg have scored 9 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.77,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"VfL Wolfsburg have scored 8 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.66,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"90 yellow cards in this referee's last 18 games, where 63 would be usual in this league, and 6 reds. — though 18 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":18,"yellows_per_match":5,"reds_per_match":0.333,"league_yellows_per_match":3.49,"league_reds_per_match":0.132,"yellow_ratio":1.43,"red_ratio":2.53,"sample":18,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 535 km for VfL Wolfsburg.","evidence":{"travel_km":535},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":2.9,"temperature_c":9,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":-0.8451215158532553},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6173,"created_at":"2026-10-22T02:15:16Z","event":{"id":602347,"event_date":"2026-10-28T17:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":89,"home_team":"SC Freiburg","away_team_id":82,"away_team":"VfL Wolfsburg","league_id":43,"league_name":"DFB Pokal"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":62,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.6201,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793188717,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#423b45","away":"#539b0d"},"venue":{"name":"Europa-Park-Stadion","city":"Freiburg","capacity":34700},"pulled":[],"published":[]}