{"id":602314,"league_id":51,"league":"Emperor Cup","kickoff":1791367200,"home":"Fagiano Okayama","away":"JEF United Chiba","home_id":1941,"away_id":1934,"venue_id":null,"rank":6,"status":"finished","provisional":false,"lineup_status":"confirmed","confidence":0.346,"score":[1,0],"live_score":null,"lambda":[2.08,0.87],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.5529153756255395,"DRAW":0.24646697882713106,"AWAY":0.20061764554732936},"read":{"text":"Fagiano Okayama to edge it","side":"home"},"top_pick":null,"pass":"Passing on Fagiano Okayama v JEF United Chiba. The likely outcome is priced too short to be worth taking, and nothing else is sure enough to call.","confident":[],"flags":[{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Fagiano Okayama have made six changes from the side expected, with Hiroshi Omori, Yugo Tatsuta and Kosuke Shirai out of the eleven. JEF United Chiba have made nine changes from the side expected, with José Aurelio Suárez, Masaru Hidaka and Takashi Kawano out of the eleven."}],"lambda_home":2.084462242164823,"lambda_away":0.8731923725857396,"corner_rate":8.26,"card_rate":0.049,"lineups":{"status":"confirmed","confidence":null,"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":43435,"name":"Lennart Moser","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44902,"name":"Soichiro Mori","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43431,"name":"Daichi Tagami","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43433,"name":"Yoshitake Suzuki","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43423,"name":"Masaya Matsumoto","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43420,"name":"Eiji Miyamoto","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43415,"name":"Yuta Kamiya","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43427,"name":"Rui Sueyoshi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44384,"name":"Ryoga Sato","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43405,"name":"Ataru Esaka","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43406,"name":"Lucão","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43436,"name":"Goro Kawanami","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43430,"name":"Hiroshi Omori","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43429,"name":"Yugo Tatsuta","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43416,"name":"Kosuke Shirai","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44343,"name":"Oberdan Alionço","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43418,"name":"Towa Yamane","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":17954,"name":"Léo Gaúcho","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44732,"name":"Sang-Ho Na","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43408,"name":"Kota Kawano","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"away":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":44298,"name":"Ryota Suzuki","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44295,"name":"Koki Yonekura","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45716,"name":"Boniface Nduka","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":64702,"name":"Daniel Hall","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44290,"name":"Rikuto Ishio","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44280,"name":"Zain Issaka","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":17388,"name":"Indio","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44272,"name":"Eduardo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44270,"name":"Makoto Himeno","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44268,"name":"Hiroto Goya","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44593,"name":"Erison","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":61798,"name":"Michiya Okamoto","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44286,"name":"Daisuke Suzuki","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44288,"name":"Takashi Kawano","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44275,"name":"Manato Shinada","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44283,"name":"Taiki Amagasa","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44273,"name":"Takuya Yasui","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44271,"name":"Takumi Tsukui","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44269,"name":"Takumi Matsumura","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":13997,"name":"Leonardo Rocha","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":43435,"name":"Lennart Moser","side":"home"},{"id":44902,"name":"Soichiro Mori","side":"home"},{"id":43431,"name":"Daichi Tagami","side":"home"},{"id":43433,"name":"Yoshitake Suzuki","side":"home"},{"id":43423,"name":"Masaya Matsumoto","side":"home"},{"id":43420,"name":"Eiji Miyamoto","side":"home"},{"id":43415,"name":"Yuta Kamiya","side":"home"},{"id":43427,"name":"Rui Sueyoshi","side":"home"},{"id":44384,"name":"Ryoga Sato","side":"home"},{"id":43405,"name":"Ataru Esaka","side":"home"},{"id":43406,"name":"Lucão","side":"home"},{"id":43436,"name":"Goro Kawanami","side":"home"},{"id":43430,"name":"Hiroshi Omori","side":"home"},{"id":43429,"name":"Yugo Tatsuta","side":"home"},{"id":43416,"name":"Kosuke Shirai","side":"home"},{"id":44343,"name":"Oberdan Alionço","side":"home"},{"id":43418,"name":"Towa Yamane","side":"home"},{"id":17954,"name":"Léo Gaúcho","side":"home"},{"id":44732,"name":"Sang-Ho Na","side":"home"},{"id":43408,"name":"Kota Kawano","side":"home"},{"id":185696,"name":"Shu Ikedo","side":"home"},{"id":43432,"name":"Ryo Senda","side":"home"},{"id":43409,"name":"Takaya Kimura","side":"home"},{"id":43410,"name":"Kanshiro Suemune","side":"home"},{"id":43438,"name":"Shun Matsuda","side":"home"},{"id":8070,"name":"Kewin","side":"home"},{"id":43437,"name":"Taro Hamada","side":"home"},{"id":43422,"name":"Ryo Takeuchi","side":"home"},{"id":43419,"name":"Ryo Tabei","side":"home"},{"id":43426,"name":"Ibuki Fujita","side":"home"},{"id":43421,"name":"Haruka Motoyama","side":"home"},{"id":43412,"name":"Kosei Ogura","side":"home"},{"id":43425,"name":"Yota Fujii","side":"home"},{"id":43413,"name":"Jun Nishikawa","side":"home"},{"id":43417,"name":"Noah Kenshin Browne","side":"home"},{"id":44298,"name":"Ryota Suzuki","side":"away"},{"id":44295,"name":"Koki Yonekura","side":"away"},{"id":45716,"name":"Boniface Nduka","side":"away"},{"id":64702,"name":"Daniel Hall","side":"away"},{"id":44290,"name":"Rikuto Ishio","side":"away"},{"id":44280,"name":"Zain Issaka","side":"away"},{"id":17388,"name":"Indio","side":"away"},{"id":44272,"name":"Eduardo","side":"away"},{"id":44270,"name":"Makoto Himeno","side":"away"},{"id":44268,"name":"Hiroto Goya","side":"away"},{"id":44593,"name":"Erison","side":"away"},{"id":61798,"name":"Michiya Okamoto","side":"away"},{"id":44286,"name":"Daisuke Suzuki","side":"away"},{"id":44288,"name":"Takashi Kawano","side":"away"},{"id":44275,"name":"Manato Shinada","side":"away"},{"id":44283,"name":"Taiki Amagasa","side":"away"},{"id":44273,"name":"Takuya Yasui","side":"away"},{"id":44271,"name":"Takumi Tsukui","side":"away"},{"id":44269,"name":"Takumi Matsumura","side":"away"},{"id":13997,"name":"Leonardo Rocha","side":"away"},{"id":44293,"name":"Ryota Kuboniwa","side":"away"},{"id":44833,"name":"Takahiro Iida","side":"away"},{"id":44285,"name":"Koji Toriumi","side":"away"},{"id":44287,"name":"Yuta Ueda","side":"away"},{"id":44292,"name":"Masaru Hidaka","side":"away"},{"id":44267,"name":"Daichi Ishikawa","side":"away"},{"id":43733,"name":"Ken Yamura","side":"away"},{"id":44296,"name":"José Aurelio Suárez","side":"away"},{"id":44299,"name":"Haruto Usui","side":"away"},{"id":44279,"name":"Taishi Taguchi","side":"away"},{"id":44281,"name":"Yusuke Kobayashi","side":"away"},{"id":44277,"name":"Kazuki Tanaka","side":"away"},{"id":44274,"name":"Naoki Tsubaki","side":"away"},{"id":44289,"name":"Takayuki Mae","side":"away"},{"id":44276,"name":"Naohiro Sugiyama","side":"away"},{"id":43189,"name":"Hinata Kida","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":43408,"name":"Kota Kawano","side":"home","team":"Fagiano Okayama","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":19,"starts":4,"goals":5,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":34,"tracked_apps":19,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":3,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Sanfrecce Hiroshima","kickoff":1788685200,"goals":3,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.123,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":43405,"name":"Ataru Esaka","side":"home","team":"Fagiano Okayama","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"AM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":28,"starts":25,"goals":3,"assists":3,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":17,"team_games":34,"tracked_apps":28,"tracked_starts":25},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Vissel Kobe","kickoff":1778389200,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.133,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":43406,"name":"Lucão","side":"home","team":"Fagiano Okayama","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":26,"starts":14,"goals":3,"assists":5,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":9,"team_games":34,"tracked_apps":26,"tracked_starts":14},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":3,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"V-Varen Nagasaki","kickoff":1786787700,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.119,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":44268,"name":"Hiroto Goya","side":"away","team":"JEF United Chiba","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":22,"starts":9,"goals":5,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":6,"team_games":31,"tracked_apps":22,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Tokyo Verdy","kickoff":1775275200,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.149,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":44593,"name":"Erison","side":"away","team":"JEF United Chiba","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":6,"starts":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":31,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Tokyo Verdy","kickoff":1789290000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.029,"country":null,"load":null}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":1941,"away":1934},"split":{"home":null,"away":null},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":1298,"name":"Takashi Kiyama","vs":{"w":1,"d":0,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1788343200,"score":"2-1","result":"W"}}},"away":{"id":3768,"name":"Yoshiyuki Kobayashi","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":43896,"name":"Takashi Usami","goals":3,"rank":1},{"id":4942,"name":"Ado Onaiwu","goals":2,"rank":2},{"id":43838,"name":"Daiki Shinoda","goals":2,"rank":3},{"id":43676,"name":"Fuki Yamada","goals":2,"rank":4},{"id":44694,"name":"Hayato Seno","goals":2,"rank":5},{"id":43408,"name":"Kota Kawano","goals":2,"rank":6},{"id":44489,"name":"Léo Ceará","goals":2,"rank":7},{"id":44520,"name":"Mao Hosoya","goals":2,"rank":8},{"id":46088,"name":"Michele Staccioli","goals":2,"rank":9},{"id":45367,"name":"Mutsuki Kato","goals":2,"rank":10},{"id":43379,"name":"Ryonosuke Kabayama","goals":2,"rank":11},{"id":46382,"name":"Soma Anzai","goals":2,"rank":12},{"id":45501,"name":"Toshiki Takahashi","goals":2,"rank":13},{"id":44533,"name":"Yota Komi","goals":2,"rank":14},{"id":44601,"name":"Yuto Ozeki","goals":2,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Round 3","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":2,"home_wins":2,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":5,"away_goals":1,"avg_total_goals":3,"home_win_rate":1,"away_win_rate":0,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Fagiano Okayama","date":"2026-09-02T10:00:00+00:00","home":"JEF United Chiba","score":"1-2","event_id":212226,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1941,"home_team_id":1934},{"away":"Fagiano Okayama","date":"2019-07-03T10:00:00+00:00","home":"JEF United Chiba","score":"0-3","event_id":288859,"away_score":3,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1941,"home_team_id":1934}]},"standings":null,"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":2,"record":"4-0-2","goals_for":2,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWWWL","venue_ppg":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.83,"record":"1-2-3","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DLLWDL","venue_ppg":0.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Fagiano Okayama report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JEF United Chiba report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Fagiano Okayama have made six changes from the side expected, with Hiroshi Omori, Yugo Tatsuta and Kosuke Shirai out of the eleven. JEF United Chiba have made nine changes from the side expected, with José Aurelio Suárez, Masaru Hidaka and Takashi Kawano out of the eleven.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":{"home":{"n":6,"out":["Hiroshi Omori","Yugo Tatsuta","Kosuke Shirai","Haruka Motoyama","Oberdan Alionço","Sang-Ho Na"],"in":["Soichiro Mori","Daichi Tagami","Masaya Matsumoto","Yuta Kamiya","Rui Sueyoshi","Ryoga Sato"]},"away":{"n":9,"out":["José Aurelio Suárez","Masaru Hidaka","Takashi Kawano","Takahiro Iida","Takumi Tsukui","Yusuke Kobayashi","Kazuki Tanaka","Daichi Ishikawa","Ken Yamura"],"in":["Ryota Suzuki","Koki Yonekura","Boniface Nduka","Rikuto Ishio","Zain Issaka","Eduardo","Makoto Himeno","Hiroto Goya","Erison"]}}},"strength":0.8,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Fagiano Okayama have taken 2.00 points a game from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3, and 2.00 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":2,"record":"4-0-2","goals_for":2,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWWWL","venue_ppg":2},"strength":0.433,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JEF United Chiba have taken 0.83 points a game from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5, and 0.33 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.83,"record":"1-2-3","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DLLWDL","venue_ppg":0.33},"strength":0.344,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 1-2, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Takashi Kiyama has 34 matches in charge at Fagiano Okayama, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Takashi Kiyama","matches_in_charge":34,"tenure_days":241,"ppm":1.38,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.6,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Yoshiyuki Kobayashi is 3 games into the job at JEF United Chiba. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Yoshiyuki Kobayashi","matches_in_charge":3,"tenure_days":249,"ppm":0.67,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.4,"after_ppm":0.8,"delta":null}},"strength":0.35,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":2.1}]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Fagiano Okayama come in on 18 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":18,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0,"days_rest":18},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JEF United Chiba come in on 18 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":18.020833333333332,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0,"days_rest":18},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 0.811337539502538 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.036,"defence":0.047,"effective_matches":0.8,"shrunk":0.91},"away":{"attack":-0.093,"defence":0.058,"effective_matches":0.8,"shrunk":0.91},"sample":0.811337539502538,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Fagiano Okayama work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":45.6,"shots":14.8,"xg_per_shot":0.079,"corners":6.4,"corners_per_shot":0.431,"finishing_vs_xg":0.26},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":46.8,"shots":9.4,"xg_per_shot":0.106,"corners":2.8,"corners_per_shot":0.3,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.16},"possession_gap":-1.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Fagiano Okayama have scored 3 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.26,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JEF United Chiba are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.16,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 574 km for JEF United Chiba.","evidence":{"travel_km":574},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.802899330411775},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 9.6% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0958,"margin_pct":9.58,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Since opening, AWAY has drifted 9.0% since the market opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":-9,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":-6,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":1.1,"direction":"SHORTENING"}]},"strength":0.449,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The sharp book and the wider market agree on this fixture.","evidence":{"sharp":{"HOME":0.5589,"DRAW":0.2491,"AWAY":0.192},"consensus":{"HOME":0.5529,"DRAW":0.2465,"AWAY":0.2006},"largest_gap":{"outcome":"AWAY","points":-0.86},"sharp_overround":1.0406},"strength":0.108,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.6437,"DRAW":0.2189,"AWAY":0.1373},"book":{"HOME":0.5529,"DRAW":0.2465,"AWAY":0.2006},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.79,"bookmaker":"dafabet"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.9,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0958,"books":13,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.5589,"DRAW":0.2491,"AWAY":0.192}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.5409,"DRAW":0.2562,"AWAY":0.2029}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"12":0.7811,"1X":0.8627,"X2":0.3563},"book":{"12":0.7535,"1X":0.7994,"X2":0.4471},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"1X":{"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"X2":{"odds":2.14,"bookmaker":"Sbo"}},"overround":1.0574,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7509,"1X":0.808,"X2":0.4411}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7438,"1X":0.7971,"X2":0.4591}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.8241,"AWAY":0.1759},"book":{"HOME":0.7338,"AWAY":0.2662},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Betway"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Bwin"}},"overround":1.0808,"books":11,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.7443,"AWAY":0.2557}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.7272,"AWAY":0.2728}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"yes":0.5198,"no":0.4802},"book":{"yes":0.4924,"no":0.5076},"best":{"yes":{"odds":2.05,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"no":{"odds":1.88,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0813,"books":15,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5,"no":0.5}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5,"no":0.5}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.9382,"under":0.0618},"book":{"over":0.9302,"under":0.0698},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.05,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"under":{"odds":10,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0712,"books":3,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9262,"under":0.0738}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9262,"under":0.0738}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.8043,"under":0.1957},"book":{"over":0.7359,"under":0.2641},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.32,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":3.44,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0645,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7334,"under":0.2666}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7292,"under":0.2708}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.5673,"under":0.4327},"book":{"over":0.4784,"under":0.5216},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.02,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.85,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0639,"books":6,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4773,"under":0.5227}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4735,"under":0.5265}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.3433,"under":0.6567},"book":{"over":0.2619,"under":0.7381},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.31,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0636,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.2612,"under":0.7388}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.259,"under":0.741}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.75,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.1622,"AWAY":0.8378},"book":{"HOME":0.0918,"AWAY":0.9082},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":6.89,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.04,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1067,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0727,"AWAY":0.9273}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.213,"AWAY":0.787},"book":{"HOME":0.1392,"AWAY":0.8608},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.35,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0974,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1241,"AWAY":0.8759}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.25,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.2365,"AWAY":0.7635},"book":{"HOME":0.1479,"AWAY":0.8521},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.106,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1042,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1198,"AWAY":0.8802}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.2658,"AWAY":0.7342},"book":{"HOME":0.1688,"AWAY":0.8312},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.65,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.15,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.095,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1523,"AWAY":0.8477}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.3469,"AWAY":0.6531},"book":{"HOME":0.2465,"AWAY":0.7535},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.34,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.24,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1059,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2111,"AWAY":0.7889}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.4119,"AWAY":0.5881},"book":{"HOME":0.3177,"AWAY":0.6823},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.88,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"}},"overround":1.0841,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3064,"AWAY":0.6936}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.4659,"AWAY":0.5341},"book":{"HOME":0.3625,"AWAY":0.6375},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.5,"bookmaker":"Betsson"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.49,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.0875,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3374,"AWAY":0.6626}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.5362,"AWAY":0.4638},"book":{"HOME":0.4191,"AWAY":0.5809},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.3,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"10bet"}},"overround":1.0756,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4182,"AWAY":0.5818}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.597,"AWAY":0.403},"book":{"HOME":0.5082,"AWAY":0.4918},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.85,"bookmaker":"10bet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.92,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.084,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.488,"AWAY":0.512}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.6437,"AWAY":0.3563},"book":{"HOME":0.5474,"AWAY":0.4526},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.75,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.1,"bookmaker":"10bet"}},"overround":1.0796,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5501,"AWAY":0.4499}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.7228,"AWAY":0.2772},"book":{"HOME":0.6497,"AWAY":0.3503},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.47,"bookmaker":"Betsson"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.55,"bookmaker":"Betsson"}},"overround":1.088,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6236,"AWAY":0.3764}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.8241,"AWAY":0.1759},"book":{"HOME":0.7523,"AWAY":0.2477},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.27,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.42,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0948,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7337,"AWAY":0.2663}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.8458,"AWAY":0.1542},"book":{"HOME":0.7962,"AWAY":0.2038},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.178,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1053,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7603,"AWAY":0.2397}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.8627,"AWAY":0.1373},"book":{"HOME":0.8052,"AWAY":0.1948},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.35,"bookmaker":"Unibet"}},"overround":1.0702,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7976,"AWAY":0.2024}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.904,"AWAY":0.096},"book":{"HOME":0.879,"AWAY":0.121},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.073,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.75,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1059,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8567,"AWAY":0.1433}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.9494,"AWAY":0.0506},"book":{"HOME":0.9442,"AWAY":0.0558},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.003,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":9.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1057,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9294,"AWAY":0.0706}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"HOME":0.954,"AWAY":0.046},"book":{"HOME":0.9327,"AWAY":0.0673},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.02,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":8.7,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0953,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9415,"AWAY":0.0585}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":7.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.5346,"under":0.4654},"book":{"over":0.7793,"under":0.2207},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":3.64,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1081,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.7793,"under":0.2207}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":8.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.4303,"under":0.5697},"book":{"over":0.6455,"under":0.3545},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.47,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2.54,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0784,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6433,"under":0.3567}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6433,"under":0.3567}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.3358,"under":0.6642},"book":{"over":0.5233,"under":0.4767},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.81,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.98,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0686,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5198,"under":0.4802}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5198,"under":0.4802}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.2547,"under":0.7453},"book":{"over":0.4054,"under":0.5946},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.28,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.59,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0747,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4028,"under":0.5972}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4028,"under":0.5972}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":11.5,"confidence":0.346,"model":{"over":0.1882,"under":0.8118},"book":{"over":0.2971,"under":0.7029},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.89,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.33,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0979,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2971,"under":0.7029}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.276,"model":{"HOME":0.667,"DRAW":0.0973,"AWAY":0.2357},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.242,"model":{"yes":0.0478,"no":0.9522},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":7.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4654,"book_prob":0.2207,"edge":0.2447,"shrunk_edge":0.1346,"odds":3.64,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.64}],"kelly":0.0657,"confidence":0.346,"family":"corners"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":8.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5697,"book_prob":0.3545,"edge":0.2152,"shrunk_edge":0.1184,"odds":2.54,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.54},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.54}],"kelly":0.0726,"confidence":0.346,"family":"corners"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":9.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6642,"book_prob":0.4767,"edge":0.1875,"shrunk_edge":0.1031,"odds":1.98,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.98},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.95}],"kelly":0.0804,"confidence":0.346,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.5362,"book_prob":0.4191,"edge":0.1171,"shrunk_edge":0.0878,"odds":2.3,"bookmaker":"Interwetten","prices":[{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.3},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.29},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.27},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.25},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.9}],"kelly":0.0448,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":10.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7453,"book_prob":0.5946,"edge":0.1506,"shrunk_edge":0.0828,"odds":1.59,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.59},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.58}],"kelly":0.0784,"confidence":0.346,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.4659,"book_prob":0.3625,"edge":0.1034,"shrunk_edge":0.0775,"odds":2.5,"bookmaker":"Betsson","prices":[{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.42}],"kelly":0.0275,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"over","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5673,"book_prob":0.4784,"edge":0.0889,"shrunk_edge":0.0755,"odds":2.02,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.02},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.97},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.91},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.89},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.89}],"kelly":0.0357,"confidence":0.346,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3469,"book_prob":0.2465,"edge":0.1005,"shrunk_edge":0.0753,"odds":3.34,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.34}],"kelly":0.017,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.2658,"book_prob":0.1688,"edge":0.0971,"shrunk_edge":0.0728,"odds":4.65,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.65},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4.6}],"kelly":0.0162,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6437,"book_prob":0.5529,"edge":0.0908,"shrunk_edge":0.0726,"odds":1.79,"bookmaker":"dafabet","prices":[{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":1.79},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.74},{"slug":"coral","book":"coral","odds":1.73},{"slug":"ladbrokes","book":"ladbrokes","odds":1.73},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.72},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.72},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.67},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.67},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.66},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.65},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.65},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.65}],"kelly":0.0482,"confidence":0.346,"family":"result"},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8241,"book_prob":0.7338,"edge":0.0904,"shrunk_edge":0.0723,"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Betway","prices":[{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":1.3},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.286},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.286},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.285},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.28},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.27},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.26},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.26},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.26},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.26},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.25}],"kelly":0.0595,"confidence":0.346,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.6437,"book_prob":0.5474,"edge":0.0963,"shrunk_edge":0.0722,"odds":1.75,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.75},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.72},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.7},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.7},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.7},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.65}],"kelly":0.0422,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.4119,"book_prob":0.3177,"edge":0.0942,"shrunk_edge":0.0707,"odds":2.88,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.88},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.75},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.75},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.74}],"kelly":0.0248,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"over","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3433,"book_prob":0.2619,"edge":0.0814,"shrunk_edge":0.0692,"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":3.5},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":3.4},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":3.4},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.14}],"kelly":0.0201,"confidence":0.346,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.597,"book_prob":0.5082,"edge":0.0888,"shrunk_edge":0.0666,"odds":1.85,"bookmaker":"10bet","prices":[{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.85},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.82},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.78}],"kelly":0.0307,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.2365,"book_prob":0.1479,"edge":0.0886,"shrunk_edge":0.0664,"odds":5,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5}],"kelly":0.0114,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":11.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8118,"book_prob":0.7029,"edge":0.1089,"shrunk_edge":0.0599,"odds":1.33,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.33}],"kelly":0.0604,"confidence":0.346,"family":"corners"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8043,"book_prob":0.7359,"edge":0.0683,"shrunk_edge":0.0581,"odds":1.32,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.32},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.3},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.29},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.26}],"kelly":0.0482,"confidence":0.346,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.213,"book_prob":0.1392,"edge":0.0738,"shrunk_edge":0.0554,"odds":5.35,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5.35},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":5.3}],"kelly":0.008,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7228,"book_prob":0.6497,"edge":0.0731,"shrunk_edge":0.0548,"odds":1.47,"bookmaker":"Betsson","prices":[{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.47},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.411}],"kelly":0.0333,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8241,"book_prob":0.7523,"edge":0.0719,"shrunk_edge":0.0539,"odds":1.27,"bookmaker":"Interwetten","prices":[{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.27},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.25},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.23}],"kelly":0.0432,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1622,"book_prob":0.0918,"edge":0.0704,"shrunk_edge":0.0528,"odds":6.89,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.89}],"kelly":0.005,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8627,"book_prob":0.7994,"edge":0.0633,"shrunk_edge":0.0506,"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"William Hill","prices":[{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.18},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.18},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.14},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.14},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.08}],"kelly":0.0249,"confidence":0.346,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.8627,"book_prob":0.8052,"edge":0.0574,"shrunk_edge":0.0431,"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.19}],"kelly":0.0349,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8458,"book_prob":0.7962,"edge":0.0495,"shrunk_edge":0.0371,"odds":1.178,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.178}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.346,"family":"handicap"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":4317,"created_at":"2026-10-01T02:15:25Z","event":{"id":602314,"event_date":"2026-10-07T10:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1941,"home_team":"Fagiano Okayama","away_team_id":1934,"away_team":"JEF United Chiba","league_id":51,"league_name":"Emperor Cup"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":53.7,"prob_draw":25.2,"prob_away":21.1,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":2.91,"away":0.96},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":73.8,"prob_over_25":49.4,"prob_over_35":33.2},"btts":{"prob_yes":50},"score":{"most_likely":"2-0"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":91.4},"corners":{"prob_over_85":58.3,"prob_over_95":46.5,"prob_over_105":34.7}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":53.7,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5372,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1791365555,"report":{"fetched_at":1791374682,"ht":[0,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"sub","minute":11,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"T. Yasui","in_id":44273,"out":"Indio","out_id":17388},{"t":"sub","minute":18,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"Y. Tatsuta","in_id":43429,"out":"D. Tagami","out_id":43431},{"t":"card","minute":29,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"R. Ishio","player_id":44290,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"card","minute":45,"added":6,"side":"away","player":"K. Yonekura","player_id":44295,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"card","minute":50,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"Y. Kamiya","player_id":43415,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"sub","minute":59,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"S. Na","in_id":44732,"out":"R. Sato","out_id":44384},{"t":"sub","minute":59,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"O. Alionço","in_id":44343,"out":"Y. Kamiya","out_id":43415},{"t":"sub","minute":59,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"K. Shirai","in_id":43416,"out":"E. Miyamoto","out_id":43420},{"t":"goal","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"M. Matsumoto","player_id":43423,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[1,0]},{"t":"sub","minute":70,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"T. Yamane","in_id":43418,"out":"R. Sueyoshi","out_id":43427},{"t":"sub","minute":74,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"D. Suzuki","in_id":44286,"out":"M. Himeno","out_id":44270},{"t":"sub","minute":74,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"T. Matsumura","in_id":44269,"out":"H. Goya","out_id":44268},{"t":"sub","minute":74,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"M. Shinada","in_id":44275,"out":"K. Yonekura","out_id":44295},{"t":"sub","minute":80,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"T. Tsukui","in_id":44271,"out":"Z. Issaka","out_id":44280},{"t":"sub","minute":80,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"L. Gaúcho","in_id":17954,"out":"A. Esaka","out_id":43405},{"t":"card","minute":82,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"L. Gaúcho","player_id":17954,"card":"yellow","reason":null}],"players":[{"id":13997,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44298,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44295,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":45716,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":64702,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44290,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44280,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":17388,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44272,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44270,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44268,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44593,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44273,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44286,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44275,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44269,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44271,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":61798,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44288,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44283,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43435,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44902,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43431,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43433,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43423,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43420,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43415,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43427,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44384,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43405,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43406,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43429,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43416,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44343,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44732,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43418,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":17954,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43436,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43430,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43408,"team_id":1941,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":51,"shots":null,"on_target":5,"corners":7,"fouls":11,"yellow":2,"red":0,"big_chances":null,"passes":null,"pass_pct":null,"offsides":4,"saves":null},"away":{"possession":49,"shots":null,"on_target":3,"corners":6,"fouls":15,"yellow":2,"red":0,"big_chances":null,"passes":null,"pass_pct":null,"offsides":3,"saves":null}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":43435,"name":"Lennart Moser","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44902,"name":"Soichiro Mori","position":"D","number":44,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43431,"name":"Daichi Tagami","position":"D","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43433,"name":"Yoshitake Suzuki","position":"D","number":43,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43423,"name":"Masaya Matsumoto","position":"M","number":28,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43420,"name":"Eiji Miyamoto","position":"M","number":41,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43415,"name":"Yuta Kamiya","position":"M","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43427,"name":"Rui Sueyoshi","position":"M","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44384,"name":"Ryoga Sato","position":"M","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43405,"name":"Ataru Esaka","position":"F","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43406,"name":"Lucão","position":"F","number":99,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43429,"name":"Yugo Tatsuta","position":"D","number":48,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43416,"name":"Kosuke Shirai","position":"M","number":51,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44343,"name":"Oberdan Alionço","position":"M","number":80,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44732,"name":"Sang-Ho Na","position":"F","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43418,"name":"Towa Yamane","position":"M","number":88,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":17954,"name":"Léo Gaúcho","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43436,"name":"Goro Kawanami","position":"G","number":77,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43430,"name":"Hiroshi Omori","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43408,"name":"Kota Kawano","position":"F","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":44298,"name":"Ryota Suzuki","position":"G","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44295,"name":"Koki Yonekura","position":"D","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45716,"name":"Boniface Nduka","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":64702,"name":"Daniel Hall","position":"D","number":66,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44290,"name":"Rikuto Ishio","position":"D","number":39,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44280,"name":"Zain Issaka","position":"M","number":42,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":17388,"name":"Indio","position":"M","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44272,"name":"Eduardo","position":"M","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44270,"name":"Makoto Himeno","position":"M","number":37,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44268,"name":"Hiroto Goya","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44593,"name":"Erison","position":"F","number":99,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44273,"name":"Takuya Yasui","position":"M","number":41,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44286,"name":"Daisuke Suzuki","position":"D","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44275,"name":"Manato Shinada","position":"M","number":44,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44269,"name":"Takumi Matsumura","position":"F","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44271,"name":"Takumi Tsukui","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":61798,"name":"Michiya Okamoto","position":"G","number":31,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44288,"name":"Takashi Kawano","position":"D","number":28,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44283,"name":"Taiki Amagasa","position":"M","number":38,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":13997,"name":"Leonardo Rocha","position":"F","number":45,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#202769","away":"#0a7635"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[]}