{"id":602024,"league_id":92,"league":"Taça de Portugal","kickoff":1789916400,"home":"USC Paredes","away":"SC Maria da Fonte","home_id":4675,"away_id":5028,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[5,1],"colors":{"home":"#5477b7","away":"#9c9696"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"odds":1.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.857506361323155,"narrative":"Home draw-no-bet at 1.10. USC Paredes are materially the stronger side on expected goals, 1.99 to 0.93, and the market has not argued with it. Put together, the expectation is USC Paredes coming out on top if there is a winner. 86% on our numbers, 1.10 on the board. Both are saying the same thing, which is worth knowing and is not an edge.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":4,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":6,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"12","line":null,"odds":1.15,"bookmaker":"William Hill","model_prob":0.815,"narrative":"Double chance 12 at 1.15. Both sides are modelled to score: 1.97 against 0.93, and a match with that much in it rarely stays quiet. Which is why we land on a winner rather than a draw. 82% on our numbers, 1.15 on the board. Both are saying the same thing, which is worth knowing and is not an edge.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":4,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":6,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}