{"id":602022,"league_id":92,"league":"Taça de Portugal","kickoff":1789912800,"home":"FC Serpa","away":"Louletano DC","home_id":8307,"away_id":4833,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[1,1],"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#dc364b"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.333,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.802,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. 1.62 and 1.48 makes 3.10 between them — enough traffic that the goals market is the clearer read here. And a new manager at FC Serpa 3 matches ago means the market is still pricing the old side. Add it up and more than 1.5 goals in it is what this points to. 80% likely, returning 33p in the pound. The confidence is the point here, not the payout.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}}]}