{"id":602020,"league_id":92,"league":"Taça de Portugal","kickoff":1789912800,"home":"Amora FC","away":"União Desportiva da Serra","home_id":4820,"away_id":8334,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[3,4],"colors":{"home":"#1d0b7f","away":"#db241c"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"X2","line":null,"odds":1.909,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.861,"narrative":"Double chance X2 at 1.91. For this to go wrong, Amora FC have to beat an expected 1.06 goals by some distance — which is the risk, stated plainly. On that evidence, União Desportiva da Serra avoiding defeat. We make it 86% at 1.91. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":7,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.333,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.832,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Both sides are modelled to score: 1.06 against 2.29, and a match with that much in it rarely stays quiet. Everything above points the same way: more than 1.5 goals in it. Call it 83%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":6,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":7,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}