{"id":601986,"league_id":55,"league":"Veikkausliiga","kickoff":1792839600,"home":"VPS","away":"Inter Turku","home_id":2093,"away_id":2098,"venue_id":1294,"rank":6,"status":"finished","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.593,"score":[0,1],"live_score":null,"lambda":[0.96,1.19],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.19495043406706056,"DRAW":0.2488118279925231,"AWAY":0.5562377379404163},"read":{"text":"Inter Turku to edge it","side":"away"},"top_pick":null,"pass":"VPS v Inter Turku is one to leave alone. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","confident":[],"flags":[],"lambda_home":0.9633836286503753,"lambda_away":1.189212997684224,"corner_rate":8.49,"card_rate":0.136,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.577,"home":{"formation":"3-4-1-2","players":[{"id":50609,"name":"Mamadou Jalloh","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.445},{"id":50610,"name":"Lassana Mané","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.371},{"id":50621,"name":"Miika Niemi","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.383},{"id":50611,"name":"Emmanuel Okereke","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.374},{"id":50626,"name":"Yassin Daoussi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.293},{"id":50615,"name":"Paulo Lima","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.373},{"id":50614,"name":"Antti-Ville Räisänen","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.434},{"id":50620,"name":"Joonas Vahtera","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.393},{"id":50616,"name":"Jayden Turfkruier","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.36},{"id":64922,"name":"Xavier Odhiambo","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.266},{"id":50613,"name":"Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.471},{"id":50619,"name":"Simon Lindholm","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.282},{"id":50612,"name":"Martti Haukioja","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.281},{"id":50623,"name":"Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.272},{"id":73353,"name":"Casper Holmelund","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.251},{"id":150248,"name":"Dren Terrnava","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.243},{"id":10653,"name":"Wilson Samaké","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.22},{"id":50662,"name":"Henri Salomaa","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.189},{"id":50617,"name":"Jonathan Muzinga","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.159},{"id":52799,"name":"Razak Simpson","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.146},{"id":13168,"name":"Lucas Väyrynen","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":204990,"name":"Arnold Adu-Boahen","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025},{"id":50625,"name":"Rasmus Forsbacka","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02}],"confidence":0.577},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":50645,"name":"Eetu Huuhtanen","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.514},{"id":50649,"name":"Jussi Niska","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.501},{"id":50655,"name":"Luka Kuittinen","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.503},{"id":11316,"name":"Robert Ivanov","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.484},{"id":50646,"name":"Albin Granlund","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.378},{"id":50656,"name":"Janne-Pekka Laine","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.522},{"id":50756,"name":"Jasse Tuominen","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.417},{"id":15392,"name":"Clinton Jephta","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.502},{"id":50652,"name":"Eeli Kiiskila","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.357},{"id":16285,"name":"Herman Sjögrell","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.288},{"id":50654,"name":"Alie Conteh","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.475},{"id":50660,"name":"Seth Saarinen","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.323},{"id":50661,"name":"Bismark Ampofo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.276},{"id":21893,"name":"Lauri Laine","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.271},{"id":50650,"name":"Johannes Yli-Kokko","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.257},{"id":50647,"name":"Juuso Hämäläinen","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.246},{"id":50658,"name":"Julius Tauriainen","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.241},{"id":50688,"name":"Muhammed Suso","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.212},{"id":50593,"name":"Yeboah Amankwah","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.16},{"id":50657,"name":"Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.159},{"id":50651,"name":"Prosper Ahiabu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.156},{"id":53627,"name":"Iiro Järvinen","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.14},{"id":50769,"name":"Eero Vuorjoki","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05}],"confidence":0.614},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":50609,"name":"Mamadou Jalloh","side":"home"},{"id":50610,"name":"Lassana Mané","side":"home"},{"id":50621,"name":"Miika Niemi","side":"home"},{"id":50611,"name":"Emmanuel Okereke","side":"home"},{"id":50626,"name":"Yassin Daoussi","side":"home"},{"id":50615,"name":"Paulo Lima","side":"home"},{"id":50614,"name":"Antti-Ville Räisänen","side":"home"},{"id":50620,"name":"Joonas Vahtera","side":"home"},{"id":50616,"name":"Jayden Turfkruier","side":"home"},{"id":64922,"name":"Xavier Odhiambo","side":"home"},{"id":50613,"name":"Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan","side":"home"},{"id":50619,"name":"Simon Lindholm","side":"home"},{"id":50612,"name":"Martti Haukioja","side":"home"},{"id":50623,"name":"Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi","side":"home"},{"id":73353,"name":"Casper Holmelund","side":"home"},{"id":150248,"name":"Dren Terrnava","side":"home"},{"id":10653,"name":"Wilson Samaké","side":"home"},{"id":50662,"name":"Henri Salomaa","side":"home"},{"id":50617,"name":"Jonathan Muzinga","side":"home"},{"id":52799,"name":"Razak Simpson","side":"home"},{"id":13168,"name":"Lucas Väyrynen","side":"home"},{"id":204990,"name":"Arnold Adu-Boahen","side":"home"},{"id":50625,"name":"Rasmus Forsbacka","side":"home"},{"id":50767,"name":"Vilmer Ronnberg","side":"home"},{"id":50772,"name":"Adrian Arrakoski","side":"home"},{"id":53823,"name":"Alex Myntti","side":"home"},{"id":52046,"name":"Joona Somppi","side":"home"},{"id":53825,"name":"Aleksi Piispa","side":"home"},{"id":53826,"name":"Eino Ehrnrooth","side":"home"},{"id":50618,"name":"Luka Smyth","side":"home"},{"id":50645,"name":"Eetu Huuhtanen","side":"away"},{"id":50649,"name":"Jussi Niska","side":"away"},{"id":50655,"name":"Luka Kuittinen","side":"away"},{"id":11316,"name":"Robert Ivanov","side":"away"},{"id":50646,"name":"Albin Granlund","side":"away"},{"id":50656,"name":"Janne-Pekka Laine","side":"away"},{"id":50756,"name":"Jasse Tuominen","side":"away"},{"id":15392,"name":"Clinton Jephta","side":"away"},{"id":50652,"name":"Eeli Kiiskila","side":"away"},{"id":16285,"name":"Herman Sjögrell","side":"away"},{"id":50654,"name":"Alie Conteh","side":"away"},{"id":50660,"name":"Seth Saarinen","side":"away"},{"id":50661,"name":"Bismark Ampofo","side":"away"},{"id":21893,"name":"Lauri Laine","side":"away"},{"id":50650,"name":"Johannes Yli-Kokko","side":"away"},{"id":50647,"name":"Juuso Hämäläinen","side":"away"},{"id":50658,"name":"Julius Tauriainen","side":"away"},{"id":50688,"name":"Muhammed Suso","side":"away"},{"id":50593,"name":"Yeboah Amankwah","side":"away"},{"id":50657,"name":"Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué","side":"away"},{"id":50651,"name":"Prosper Ahiabu","side":"away"},{"id":53627,"name":"Iiro Järvinen","side":"away"},{"id":50769,"name":"Eero Vuorjoki","side":"away"},{"id":51999,"name":"Axel Sandler","side":"away"},{"id":62505,"name":"Lukas Prokop","side":"away"},{"id":53628,"name":"Alex Hilden","side":"away"},{"id":50659,"name":"Ville Seppä","side":"away"},{"id":50757,"name":"Vilho Huovila","side":"away"},{"id":13158,"name":"Vincent Ulundu","side":"away"},{"id":50653,"name":"Antoin Loic Essomba","side":"away"},{"id":50648,"name":"Ilari Kangasniemi","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":50619,"name":"Simon Lindholm","side":"home","team":"VPS","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"CM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":9,"starts":6,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":38,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":6},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Ilves","kickoff":1777042800,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.02,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":39,"country":0}},{"id":64922,"name":"Xavier Odhiambo","side":"home","team":"VPS","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":2,"starts":1,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":38,"tracked_apps":2,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":2,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"IF Gnistan","kickoff":1791817200,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.005,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":109,"country":0}},{"id":50654,"name":"Alie Conteh","side":"away","team":"Inter Turku","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":14,"starts":11,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":7,"team_games":45,"tracked_apps":14,"tracked_starts":11},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"IFK Mariehamn","kickoff":1777125600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.035,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":179,"country":0}},{"id":15392,"name":"Clinton Jephta","side":"away","team":"Inter Turku","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":10,"starts":8,"goals":4,"assists":0,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":5,"team_games":45,"tracked_apps":10,"tracked_starts":8},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Başakşehir FK","kickoff":1785427200,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["best_performer"],"importance":0.082,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":180,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":2093,"away":2098},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":2,"d":0,"l":4},"below":{"w":2,"d":0,"l":2}},"away":{"above":{"w":2,"d":0,"l":0},"below":{"w":3,"d":3,"l":2}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":1523,"name":"Jussi Nuorela","vs":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":4,"last":{"kickoff":1789398000,"score":"0-1","result":"L"}}},"away":{"id":1528,"name":"Vesa Vasara","vs":{"w":4,"d":1,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1789398000,"score":"1-0","result":"W"}}}},"best_xi":[{"id":50648,"name":"Ilari Kangasniemi","team_id":2098,"position":"D","matches":5,"goals":1,"assists":0},{"id":50653,"name":"Antoin Loic Essomba","team_id":2098,"position":"F","matches":7,"goals":1,"assists":1}],"players":{"50654":{"caps":6,"goals":0,"country":"Sierra Leone","signed":null}}},"notable":[{"id":50725,"name":"Mads Borchers","goals":11,"rank":1},{"id":13160,"name":"Teemu Hytönen","goals":8,"rank":2},{"id":50636,"name":"Adeleke Akinyemi","goals":6,"rank":3},{"id":50744,"name":"Rasmus Karjalainen","goals":6,"rank":4},{"id":18843,"name":"Jaime Moreno","goals":5,"rank":5},{"id":50582,"name":"Martim Ferreira","goals":5,"rank":6},{"id":50704,"name":"Albijon Muzaci","goals":4,"rank":7},{"id":50728,"name":"Teemu Pukki","goals":4,"rank":8},{"id":50581,"name":"Aaron Lindholm","goals":3,"rank":9},{"id":50763,"name":"Adam Larsson","goals":3,"rank":10},{"id":12526,"name":"Bob Nii Armah","goals":3,"rank":11},{"id":50768,"name":"Elias Tamminen","goals":3,"rank":12},{"id":50745,"name":"Julius Körkkö","goals":3,"rank":13},{"id":14217,"name":"Theodoros Tsirigotis","goals":3,"rank":14},{"id":50724,"name":"Alfie Cicale","goals":2,"rank":15}],"round_label":"League phase","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":48,"home_wins":14,"draws":16,"away_wins":18,"home_goals":55,"away_goals":61,"avg_total_goals":2.4166666666666665,"home_win_rate":0.2916666666666667,"away_win_rate":0.375,"recent_matches":[{"away":"VPS","date":"2026-09-14T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Inter Turku","score":"1-0","event_id":601964,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":2093,"home_team_id":2098},{"away":"Inter Turku","date":"2026-08-02T12:00:00+00:00","home":"VPS","score":"0-1","event_id":207280,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":2098,"home_team_id":2093},{"away":"Inter Turku","date":"2026-06-30T15:00:00+00:00","home":"VPS","score":"2-3","event_id":209509,"away_score":3,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":2098,"home_team_id":2093},{"away":"VPS","date":"2026-04-04T10:00:00+00:00","home":"Inter Turku","score":"0-0","event_id":207208,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":2093,"home_team_id":2098},{"away":"VPS","date":"2025-08-31T14:00:00+00:00","home":"Inter Turku","score":"2-1","event_id":229890,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":2093,"home_team_id":2098},{"away":"Inter Turku","date":"2025-04-19T12:00:00+00:00","home":"VPS","score":"0-2","event_id":230002,"away_score":2,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":2098,"home_team_id":2093},{"away":"VPS","date":"2024-06-28T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Inter Turku","score":"3-1","event_id":239494,"away_score":1,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":2093,"home_team_id":2098},{"away":"Inter Turku","date":"2024-05-27T15:00:00+00:00","home":"VPS","score":"3-1","event_id":239469,"away_score":1,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":2098,"home_team_id":2093},{"away":"Inter Turku","date":"2023-09-29T15:00:00+00:00","home":"VPS","score":"1-1","event_id":249714,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":2098,"home_team_id":2093},{"away":"VPS","date":"2023-07-12T15:00:00+00:00","home":"Inter Turku","score":"0-2","event_id":249801,"away_score":2,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":2093,"home_team_id":2098}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":2093,"position":7,"played":28,"points":39,"goal_diff":-2,"team_name":"VPS","won":11,"drawn":6,"lost":11,"goals_for":31,"goals_against":33,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":2098,"position":1,"played":28,"points":52,"goal_diff":14,"team_name":"Inter Turku","won":14,"drawn":10,"lost":4,"goals_for":34,"goals_against":20,"group":null},"size":12},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"2-0-4","goals_for":0.33,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLLLWL","venue_ppg":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":0.67,"clean_sheets":4,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWWDWL","venue_ppg":1.33}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"VPS report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter Turku report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.577,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.423,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"VPS have taken 1.00 points a game from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.8, and 2.00 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"2-0-4","goals_for":0.33,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLLLWL","venue_ppg":2},"strength":0.233,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter Turku have taken 1.67 points a game from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.7, and 1.33 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":0.83,"goals_against":0.67,"clean_sheets":4,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWWDWL","venue_ppg":1.33},"strength":0.211,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No league table or round number available, so what either side is playing for is unknown.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 1-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":-1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Jussi Nuorela has 33 matches in charge at VPS, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Jussi Nuorela","matches_in_charge":33,"tenure_days":197,"ppm":1.55,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.1,"after_ppm":2.1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vesa Vasara has 40 matches in charge at Inter Turku, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Vesa Vasara","matches_in_charge":40,"tenure_days":196,"ppm":1.98,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.5,"after_ppm":2.5,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"VPS come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":5.958333333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter Turku come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.833333333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6.8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.095,"defence":0.013,"effective_matches":16.5,"shrunk":0.33},"away":{"attack":0.077,"defence":0.3,"effective_matches":16.7,"shrunk":0.32}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter Turku average 9 points more possession than VPS, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48.2,"shots":10.1,"xg_per_shot":0.103,"corners":4.2,"corners_per_shot":0.416,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.37},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":57.4,"shots":12.8,"xg_per_shot":0.146,"corners":5.3,"corners_per_shot":0.414,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.95},"possession_gap":-9.2},"strength":0.368,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":1.9},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-1.9},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"VPS have scored 4 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.37,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter Turku have scored 11 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.95,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"26 yellow cards in this referee's last 10 games, where 31 would be usual in this league, with nobody sent off. — though 10 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":10,"yellows_per_match":2.6,"reds_per_match":0,"league_yellows_per_match":3.05,"league_reds_per_match":0.142,"yellow_ratio":0.85,"red_ratio":0,"sample":10,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No weather reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.2775698203287153},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 8.2% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0818,"margin_pct":8.18,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The line has barely moved since it opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":-2.9,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":-1,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":0.3,"direction":"DRIFTING"}]},"strength":0.145,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The sharp book and the wider market agree on this fixture.","evidence":{"sharp":{"HOME":0.1907,"DRAW":0.2456,"AWAY":0.5637},"consensus":{"HOME":0.195,"DRAW":0.2488,"AWAY":0.5562},"largest_gap":{"outcome":"AWAY","points":0.75},"sharp_overround":1.0367},"strength":0.093,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.2851,"DRAW":0.3154,"AWAY":0.3995},"book":{"HOME":0.195,"DRAW":0.2488,"AWAY":0.5562},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.96,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.89,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.75,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"}},"overround":1.0818,"books":15,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.1907,"DRAW":0.2456,"AWAY":0.5637}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.1873,"DRAW":0.2392,"AWAY":0.5735}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"12":0.6846,"1X":0.6005,"X2":0.7149},"book":{"12":0.7512,"1X":0.4438,"X2":0.805},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"1X":{"odds":2.12,"bookmaker":"Sbo"},"X2":{"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"William Hill"}},"overround":1.0596,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7544,"1X":0.4363,"X2":0.8093}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7608,"1X":0.4265,"X2":0.8127}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.4164,"AWAY":0.5836},"book":{"HOME":0.2595,"AWAY":0.7405},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.33,"bookmaker":"Betano"}},"overround":1.0746,"books":11,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.2528,"AWAY":0.7472}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.2461,"AWAY":0.7539}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"yes":0.4415,"no":0.5585},"book":{"yes":0.5096,"no":0.4904},"best":{"yes":{"odds":1.9,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"no":{"odds":1.93,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0772,"books":16,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5114,"no":0.4886}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.516,"no":0.484}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.8725,"under":0.1275},"book":{"over":0.9365,"under":0.0635},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.04,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"under":{"odds":11,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.068,"books":3,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9353,"under":0.0647}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9353,"under":0.0647}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.6451,"under":0.3549},"book":{"over":0.7442,"under":0.2558},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.32,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":3.52,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.062,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7367,"under":0.2633}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7471,"under":0.2529}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.3645,"under":0.6355},"book":{"over":0.4925,"under":0.5075},"best":{"over":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.9,"bookmaker":"Sbo"}},"overround":1.0564,"books":6,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4854,"under":0.5146}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5,"under":0.5}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.1714,"under":0.8286},"book":{"over":0.2691,"under":0.7309},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.33,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0612,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.2641,"under":0.7359}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.2765,"under":0.7235}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.1301,"AWAY":0.8699},"book":{"HOME":0.0558,"AWAY":0.9442},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":9.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.003,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1057,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0558,"AWAY":0.9442}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.2152,"AWAY":0.7848},"book":{"HOME":0.1423,"AWAY":0.8577},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.9,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0544,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1423,"AWAY":0.8577}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.2851,"AWAY":0.7149},"book":{"HOME":0.2044,"AWAY":0.7956},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.21,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0617,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2044,"AWAY":0.7956}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.3385,"AWAY":0.6615},"book":{"HOME":0.2243,"AWAY":0.7757},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0805,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2243,"AWAY":0.7757}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.4164,"AWAY":0.5836},"book":{"HOME":0.2592,"AWAY":0.7408},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"}},"overround":1.0848,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2592,"AWAY":0.7408}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.5257,"AWAY":0.4743},"book":{"HOME":0.3632,"AWAY":0.6368},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.53,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0768,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3632,"AWAY":0.6368}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.6005,"AWAY":0.3995},"book":{"HOME":0.4458,"AWAY":0.5542},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.74,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0782,"books":9,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4458,"AWAY":0.5542}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.6756,"AWAY":0.3244},"book":{"HOME":0.5088,"AWAY":0.4912},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.875,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.96,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0731,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5088,"AWAY":0.4912}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.7724,"AWAY":0.2276},"book":{"HOME":0.5904,"AWAY":0.4096},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.625,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.35,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0688,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5939,"AWAY":0.4061}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.8009,"AWAY":0.1991},"book":{"HOME":0.6507,"AWAY":0.3493},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.48,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.7,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0765,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6498,"AWAY":0.3502}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.823,"AWAY":0.177},"book":{"HOME":0.6943,"AWAY":0.3057},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.95,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0809,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7005,"AWAY":0.2995}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.75,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.8748,"AWAY":0.1252},"book":{"HOME":0.7582,"AWAY":0.2418},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.275,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.55,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.082,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7582,"AWAY":0.2418}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":2,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.9336,"AWAY":0.0664},"book":{"HOME":0.8395,"AWAY":0.1605},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0792,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8395,"AWAY":0.1605}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":2.25,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.9377,"AWAY":0.0623},"book":{"HOME":0.8581,"AWAY":0.1419},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0732,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8581,"AWAY":0.1419}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":2.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.9414,"AWAY":0.0586},"book":{"HOME":0.8661,"AWAY":0.1339},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":6,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0803,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8661,"AWAY":0.1339}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":2.75,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"HOME":0.9621,"AWAY":0.0379},"book":{"HOME":0.9211,"AWAY":0.0789},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.027,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":7.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1053,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9211,"AWAY":0.0789}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":7.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.5829,"under":0.4171},"book":{"over":0.7313,"under":0.2687},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.29,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0877,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.7052,"under":0.2948}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":8.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.464,"under":0.536},"book":{"over":0.5906,"under":0.4094},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2.33,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0722,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5834,"under":0.4166}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5972,"under":0.4028}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.3537,"under":0.6463},"book":{"over":0.4655,"under":0.5345},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.04,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.82,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0687,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4577,"under":0.5423}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4763,"under":0.5237}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.2585,"under":0.7415},"book":{"over":0.3711,"under":0.6289},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.47,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.5,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0755,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3691,"under":0.6309}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3691,"under":0.6309}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":11.5,"confidence":0.593,"model":{"over":0.1816,"under":0.8184},"book":{"over":0.2796,"under":0.7204},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.31,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0859,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2132,"under":0.7868}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.475,"model":{"HOME":0.2677,"DRAW":0.1109,"AWAY":0.6214},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.415,"model":{"yes":0.1275,"no":0.8725},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.7724,"book_prob":0.5904,"edge":0.182,"shrunk_edge":0.1365,"odds":1.625,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.625},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.62},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.6},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.58},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.57}],"kelly":0.102,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.6756,"book_prob":0.5088,"edge":0.1669,"shrunk_edge":0.1252,"odds":1.875,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.875},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.85},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.81},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.786}],"kelly":0.0762,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.5257,"book_prob":0.3632,"edge":0.1625,"shrunk_edge":0.1219,"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.6},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.5},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.45},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.408}],"kelly":0.0573,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.4164,"book_prob":0.2592,"edge":0.1572,"shrunk_edge":0.1179,"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.45},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.3},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.28},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":3.2}],"kelly":0.0446,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4164,"book_prob":0.2595,"edge":0.1569,"shrunk_edge":0.117,"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.5},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":3.5},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":3.45},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":3.4},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":3.4},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":3.4},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":3.4},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":3.3},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":3.3},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.2},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":3.15}],"kelly":0.0457,"confidence":0.593,"family":"result"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6005,"book_prob":0.4438,"edge":0.1567,"shrunk_edge":0.1168,"odds":2.12,"bookmaker":"Sbo","prices":[{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":2.12},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.06},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.05},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.05},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":2}],"kelly":0.0609,"confidence":0.593,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.6005,"book_prob":0.4458,"edge":0.1546,"shrunk_edge":0.116,"odds":2.1,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.1},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.1},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.05},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.05},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.05},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.05},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.05},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.05},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.05}],"kelly":0.0593,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8009,"book_prob":0.6507,"edge":0.1501,"shrunk_edge":0.1126,"odds":1.48,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.48},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.475},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.44},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.401}],"kelly":0.0965,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"under","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6355,"book_prob":0.5075,"edge":0.128,"shrunk_edge":0.1088,"odds":1.9,"bookmaker":"Sbo","prices":[{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.9},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.89},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.87},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.85},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.85},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.82}],"kelly":0.0576,"confidence":0.593,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.823,"book_prob":0.6943,"edge":0.1287,"shrunk_edge":0.0966,"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.4},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.35},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.32}],"kelly":0.0952,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8748,"book_prob":0.7582,"edge":0.1167,"shrunk_edge":0.0875,"odds":1.275,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.275},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.25},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.22}],"kelly":0.1049,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3385,"book_prob":0.2243,"edge":0.1141,"shrunk_edge":0.0856,"odds":3.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.8},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.75}],"kelly":0.0256,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"under","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3549,"book_prob":0.2558,"edge":0.0991,"shrunk_edge":0.0843,"odds":3.52,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":3.52},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":3.5},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":3.5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.34}],"kelly":0.0247,"confidence":0.593,"family":"goals"},{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"under","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8286,"book_prob":0.7309,"edge":0.0976,"shrunk_edge":0.083,"odds":1.33,"bookmaker":"betfair","prices":[{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.33},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.32},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.29},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.28}],"kelly":0.0773,"confidence":0.593,"family":"goals"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":7.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4171,"book_prob":0.2687,"edge":0.1484,"shrunk_edge":0.0816,"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.2}],"kelly":0.038,"confidence":0.593,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.9336,"book_prob":0.8395,"edge":0.0941,"shrunk_edge":0.0706,"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.16},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.14},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.104}],"kelly":0.1296,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":8.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.536,"book_prob":0.4094,"edge":0.1265,"shrunk_edge":0.0696,"odds":2.33,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.33},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.22}],"kelly":0.0468,"confidence":0.593,"family":"corners"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2851,"book_prob":0.195,"edge":0.0901,"shrunk_edge":0.0672,"odds":4.96,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":4.96},{"slug":"mansionbet","book":"MansionBet","odds":4.85},{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":4.7},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":4.6},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":4.6},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":4.6},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":4.6},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.51},{"slug":"macauslot","book":"Macauslot","odds":4.51},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":4.5},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":4.5},{"slug":"coral","book":"coral","odds":4.33}],"kelly":0.0261,"confidence":0.593,"family":"result"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":10.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7415,"book_prob":0.6289,"edge":0.1126,"shrunk_edge":0.0619,"odds":1.5,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.5},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.5}],"kelly":0.0561,"confidence":0.593,"family":"corners"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":9.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6463,"book_prob":0.5345,"edge":0.1118,"shrunk_edge":0.0615,"odds":1.82,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.82},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.74}],"kelly":0.0538,"confidence":0.593,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.2851,"book_prob":0.2044,"edge":0.0807,"shrunk_edge":0.0605,"odds":4.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":4.25}],"kelly":0.0163,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":2.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.9377,"book_prob":0.8581,"edge":0.0797,"shrunk_edge":0.0597,"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.14},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.087}],"kelly":0.1232,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"no","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5585,"book_prob":0.4904,"edge":0.0681,"shrunk_edge":0.0579,"odds":1.93,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.93},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.91},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.91},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":1.909},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.909},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.9},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.9},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.9},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.88},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.88},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.87},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.87}],"kelly":0.0209,"confidence":0.593,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":2.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.9414,"book_prob":0.8661,"edge":0.0754,"shrunk_edge":0.0565,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.13},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.1},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.071}],"kelly":0.1227,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.1301,"book_prob":0.0558,"edge":0.0743,"shrunk_edge":0.0557,"odds":9.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":9.2}],"kelly":0.006,"confidence":0.593,"family":"handicap"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5834,"created_at":"2026-10-18T02:15:33Z","event":{"id":601986,"event_date":"2026-10-24T11:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":2093,"home_team":"VPS","away_team_id":2098,"away_team":"Inter Turku","league_id":55,"league_name":"Veikkausliiga"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":20.4,"prob_draw":25.4,"prob_away":54.2,"predicted":"A"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.17,"away":1.23},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":72.8,"prob_over_25":49,"prob_over_35":26.6},"btts":{"prob_yes":50.6},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":47.5},"corners":{"prob_over_85":55.9,"prob_over_95":44.1,"prob_over_105":32.2}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":54.2,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5418,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792836244,"report":{"fetched_at":1792887090,"ht":[0,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"card","minute":39,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"A. Räisänen","player_id":50614,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"card","minute":42,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"J. Laine","player_id":50656,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":45,"added":4,"side":"home","in":"J. Muzinga","in_id":50617,"out":"Y. Daoussi","out_id":50626},{"t":"card","minute":62,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"L. Mané","player_id":50610,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"L. Laine","in_id":21893,"out":"A. Conteh","out_id":50654},{"t":"card","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"J. Tauriainen","player_id":50658,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":68,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"D. Terrnava","in_id":150248,"out":"L. Mané","out_id":50610},{"t":"sub","minute":68,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"X. Odhiambo","in_id":64922,"out":"W. Samaké","out_id":10653},{"t":"sub","minute":68,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"P. Lima","in_id":50615,"out":"A. Räisänen","out_id":50614},{"t":"card","minute":77,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"J. Laine","player_id":50656,"card":"second_yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":80,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"J. F. K. Botué","in_id":50657,"out":"C. Jephta","out_id":15392},{"t":"sub","minute":81,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"J. Vahtera","in_id":50620,"out":"H. Salomaa","out_id":50662},{"t":"sub","minute":81,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"J. Yli-Kokko","in_id":50650,"out":"H. Sjögrell","out_id":16285},{"t":"sub","minute":81,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"M. Suso","in_id":50688,"out":"J. Tuominen","out_id":50756},{"t":"goal","minute":84,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"L. Laine","player_id":21893,"assist":"E. Kiiskilä","kind":"regular","score":[0,1]},{"t":"sub","minute":89,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"Y. Amankwah","in_id":50593,"out":"J. Tauriainen","out_id":50658},{"t":"card","minute":90,"added":3,"side":"home","player":"J. Muzinga","player_id":50617,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"}],"players":[{"id":50616,"team_id":2093,"minutes":90,"rating":7.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":52799,"team_id":2093,"minutes":90,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":50609,"team_id":2093,"minutes":90,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":2,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50623,"team_id":2093,"minutes":90,"rating":7.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":50611,"team_id":2093,"minutes":90,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50621,"team_id":2093,"minutes":90,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50662,"team_id":2093,"minutes":81,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":10653,"team_id":2093,"minutes":68,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":50610,"team_id":2093,"minutes":68,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50614,"team_id":2093,"minutes":68,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50617,"team_id":2093,"minutes":46,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":50626,"team_id":2093,"minutes":44,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50615,"team_id":2093,"minutes":22,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":64922,"team_id":2093,"minutes":22,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":150248,"team_id":2093,"minutes":22,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50620,"team_id":2093,"minutes":9,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50772,"team_id":2093,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":53825,"team_id":2093,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50619,"team_id":2093,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":73353,"team_id":2093,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50647,"team_id":2098,"minutes":90,"rating":7.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50652,"team_id":2098,"minutes":90,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":50649,"team_id":2098,"minutes":90,"rating":7.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50645,"team_id":2098,"minutes":90,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11316,"team_id":2098,"minutes":90,"rating":8.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":50658,"team_id":2098,"minutes":89,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":16285,"team_id":2098,"minutes":81,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":50756,"team_id":2098,"minutes":81,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":15392,"team_id":2098,"minutes":80,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":50656,"team_id":2098,"minutes":77,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":2,"red":1,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":4},{"id":50654,"team_id":2098,"minutes":64,"rating":5.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":21893,"team_id":2098,"minutes":26,"rating":8,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":50657,"team_id":2098,"minutes":10,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50688,"team_id":2098,"minutes":9,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50650,"team_id":2098,"minutes":9,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50593,"team_id":2098,"minutes":1,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50655,"team_id":2098,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":53627,"team_id":2098,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50660,"team_id":2098,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":50769,"team_id":2098,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":44,"shots":5,"on_target":0,"corners":1,"fouls":14,"yellow":3,"red":0,"big_chances":0,"passes":384,"pass_pct":75.8,"offsides":4,"saves":2},"away":{"possession":56,"shots":11,"on_target":3,"corners":7,"fouls":10,"yellow":3,"red":1,"big_chances":2,"passes":491,"pass_pct":83.5,"offsides":2,"saves":0}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"3-5-2","players":[{"id":50609,"name":"Mamadou Jalloh","position":"G","number":41,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":52799,"name":"Razak Simpson","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50611,"name":"Emmanuel Okereke","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50621,"name":"Miika Niemi","position":"D","number":23,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":50626,"name":"Yassin Daoussi","position":"M","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50623,"name":"Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi","position":"M","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50610,"name":"Lassana Mané","position":"M","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50614,"name":"Antti-Ville Räisänen","position":"M","number":34,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50616,"name":"Jayden Turfkruier","position":"M","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":10653,"name":"Wilson Samaké","position":"F","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50662,"name":"Henri Salomaa","position":"F","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50617,"name":"Jonathan Muzinga","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":150248,"name":"Dren Terrnava","position":"M","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50615,"name":"Paulo Lima","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":64922,"name":"Xavier Odhiambo","position":"F","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50620,"name":"Joonas Vahtera","position":"M","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":53825,"name":"Aleksi Piispa","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50772,"name":"Adrian Arrakoski","position":"D","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50619,"name":"Simon Lindholm","position":"M","number":14,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":73353,"name":"Casper Holmelund","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":50645,"name":"Eetu Huuhtanen","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50658,"name":"Julius Tauriainen","position":"D","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11316,"name":"Robert Ivanov","position":"D","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50647,"name":"Juuso Hämäläinen","position":"D","number":3,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":50649,"name":"Jussi Niska","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50756,"name":"Jasse Tuominen","position":"M","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50656,"name":"Janne-Pekka Laine","position":"M","number":14,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50652,"name":"Eeli Kiiskila","position":"M","number":35,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":16285,"name":"Herman Sjögrell","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":50654,"name":"Alie Conteh","position":"F","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":15392,"name":"Clinton Jephta","position":"F","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":21893,"name":"Lauri Laine","position":"F","number":28,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50657,"name":"Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50650,"name":"Johannes Yli-Kokko","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50688,"name":"Muhammed Suso","position":"F","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50593,"name":"Yeboah Amankwah","position":"D","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50769,"name":"Eero Vuorjoki","position":"G","number":12,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50660,"name":"Seth Saarinen","position":"D","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":50655,"name":"Luka Kuittinen","position":"D","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":53627,"name":"Iiro Järvinen","position":"M","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#999999","away":"#124691"},"venue":{"name":"Elisa Stadion","city":"Vaasa","capacity":4600},"pulled":[],"published":[]}