{"id":601552,"league_id":40,"league":"Carabao Cup","kickoff":1789585200,"home":"Manchester United","away":"Brighton & Hove Albion","home_id":17,"away_id":5,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,3],"colors":{"home":"#dd1422","away":"#0c4b93"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.143,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.832,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.14. The model reads this as a 3.40-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. Alongside it, the 0-3 defeat earlier in the season is the kind of result players remember and managers mention. Add it up and more than 1.5 goals in it is what this points to. 83% likely, returning 14p in the pound. The confidence is the point here, not the payout.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":4,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":5,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}