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out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.155,"defence":0.027,"effective_matches":1.8,"shrunk":0.82},"away":{"attack":0.15,"defence":0.017,"effective_matches":3,"shrunk":0.73},"sample":1.7986822569164906,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":52.4,"shots":14.4,"xg_per_shot":0.14,"corners":4.7,"corners_per_shot":0.325,"finishing_vs_xg":0.25},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":52.7,"shots":15.9,"xg_per_shot":0.097,"corners":5.5,"corners_per_shot":0.349,"finishing_vs_xg":0.79},"possession_gap":-0.3},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Trabzonspor are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.25,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"SC Freiburg have scored 9 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.79,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"44 yellow cards in this referee's last 8 games, where 20 would be usual in this league, and 4 reds. — though 8 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":8,"yellows_per_match":5.5,"reds_per_match":0.5,"league_yellows_per_match":2.53,"league_reds_per_match":0.123,"yellow_ratio":2.18,"red_ratio":4.07,"sample":8,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":4.7,"temperature_c":13,"description":"cloudy"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.2801560893022186},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Trabzonspor will struggle to turn their superior chance creation into a win without their main goal threat. The hosts usually craft the better openings in eight of their last ten, but they are missing the top scorer who bagged six goals in his last five games. Losing that focal point removes a big chunk of their goals. Defensively they rely on luck, having faced six or more strikes on target in five of their last six games. Freiburg are slumping and hit the target only 21 times from 89 attempts recently. They have also conceded 16 in their last nine despite giving up very little. Clinical finishing determines the winner.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6875,"created_at":"2026-10-30T02:15:14Z","event":{"id":601416,"event_date":"2026-11-05T17:45:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":197,"home_team":"Trabzonspor","away_team_id":89,"away_team":"SC Freiburg","league_id":83,"league_name":"Conference League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":39.5,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3951,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793887558,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#423b45"},"venue":{"name":"Papara Park","city":"Trabzon","capacity":41000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}