{"id":601381,"league_id":83,"league":"Conference League","kickoff":1792687500,"home":"Inter Club d'Escaldes","away":"Universitatea Craiova","home_id":398,"away_id":359,"venue_id":379,"rank":3,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.328,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.78,1.06],"read":{"text":"Universitatea Craiova to win","side":"away"},"pass":"No call on Inter Club d'Escaldes against Universitatea Craiova. The likely outcome is priced too short to be worth taking, and nothing else is sure enough to call.","flags":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection."},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","note":"Universitatea Craiova have taken 2.67 points a game from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.2, and 2.50 a game on the road."}],"lambda_home":1.7764565392380933,"lambda_away":1.060890520991003,"corner_rate":9.09,"card_rate":0.111,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.382,"home":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":13274,"name":"Javier Díaz","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.271},{"id":13279,"name":"Jilmar Torres","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.276},{"id":36301,"name":"Anwar Hernandez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.295},{"id":13286,"name":"Álex Sánchez","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.26},{"id":64646,"name":"Domi Berlanga","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.235},{"id":36298,"name":"Pablo Molina","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.276},{"id":13281,"name":"Víctor Alonso","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.296},{"id":36299,"name":"David López","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.283},{"id":32025,"name":"Soule Sidibe","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.249},{"id":36296,"name":"Faysal Chouaib","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.245},{"id":24978,"name":"Maurizio Pochettino","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.337},{"id":64092,"name":"Lamine Diaby","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.209},{"id":114473,"name":"Robin Lafarge","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.208},{"id":24967,"name":"Borja Arellano","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.162},{"id":13290,"name":"Adrian Da Cunha","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.061},{"id":11007,"name":"Rafinha","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.041},{"id":24972,"name":"Juan Camara","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":13289,"name":"Marc Rodríguez","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035},{"id":24976,"name":"Antonio Otegui","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":64647,"name":"Juanda Terrádez","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.03},{"id":94374,"name":"Marc Jurado","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.02},{"id":52718,"name":"Alex Leitao","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01},{"id":24980,"name":"Jaouad Erraji","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.01}],"confidence":0.382},"away":{"formation":"3-4-3","players":[{"id":11173,"name":"Laurenţiu Popescu","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.705},{"id":11197,"name":"Nikola Stevanović","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.786},{"id":11176,"name":"Oleksandr Romanchuk","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.773},{"id":11182,"name":"Vladimir Screciu","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.702},{"id":11186,"name":"Nicușor Bancu","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.703},{"id":11191,"name":"Carlos Mora","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.657},{"id":11192,"name":"Tudor Băluță","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.774},{"id":11185,"name":"Alexandru Cicâldău","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.717},{"id":11200,"name":"Luca Băsceanu","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.308},{"id":11193,"name":"Monday Etim","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.499},{"id":11188,"name":"Ștefan Baiaram","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.43},{"id":11187,"name":"David Matei","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.573},{"id":11190,"name":"Assad Al-Hamlawi","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.462},{"id":11183,"name":"Samuel Teles","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.366},{"id":2333,"name":"Simon Elisor","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.329},{"id":88726,"name":"Baptiste Roux","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.297},{"id":11189,"name":"Steven Nsimba","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.26},{"id":10930,"name":"João Lameira","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.252},{"id":2579,"name":"Răzvan Sava","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.244},{"id":11987,"name":"Mihnea Rădulescu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.217},{"id":11179,"name":"Adrian Rus","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.193},{"id":12482,"name":"Ronaldo Webster","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.192},{"id":22071,"name":"Heriberto Tavares","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.171}],"confidence":0.727},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":13274,"name":"Javier Díaz","side":"home"},{"id":13279,"name":"Jilmar Torres","side":"home"},{"id":36301,"name":"Anwar Hernandez","side":"home"},{"id":13286,"name":"Álex Sánchez","side":"home"},{"id":64646,"name":"Domi Berlanga","side":"home"},{"id":36298,"name":"Pablo Molina","side":"home"},{"id":13281,"name":"Víctor Alonso","side":"home"},{"id":36299,"name":"David López","side":"home"},{"id":32025,"name":"Soule Sidibe","side":"home"},{"id":36296,"name":"Faysal Chouaib","side":"home"},{"id":24978,"name":"Maurizio Pochettino","side":"home"},{"id":64092,"name":"Lamine Diaby","side":"home"},{"id":114473,"name":"Robin Lafarge","side":"home"},{"id":24967,"name":"Borja Arellano","side":"home"},{"id":13290,"name":"Adrian Da Cunha","side":"home"},{"id":11007,"name":"Rafinha","side":"home"},{"id":24972,"name":"Juan Camara","side":"home"},{"id":13289,"name":"Marc Rodríguez","side":"home"},{"id":24976,"name":"Antonio Otegui","side":"home"},{"id":64647,"name":"Juanda Terrádez","side":"home"},{"id":94374,"name":"Marc Jurado","side":"home"},{"id":52718,"name":"Alex Leitao","side":"home"},{"id":24980,"name":"Jaouad Erraji","side":"home"},{"id":35300,"name":"Marc Vargas","side":"home"},{"id":24979,"name":"Klebinho","side":"home"},{"id":36297,"name":"Kaxe","side":"home"},{"id":75951,"name":"Antoni Paredes Garcia","side":"home"},{"id":130811,"name":"Pol Freixanet","side":"home"},{"id":24986,"name":"Julian Pedernera","side":"home"},{"id":89082,"name":"Souleymane Sidibe","side":"home"},{"id":24975,"name":"Martí Riverola","side":"home"},{"id":94375,"name":"Hugo de Miguel Vicente","side":"home"},{"id":13280,"name":"Ángel de la Torre","side":"home"},{"id":32710,"name":"Yerai Dávila","side":"home"},{"id":11173,"name":"Laurenţiu Popescu","side":"away"},{"id":11197,"name":"Nikola Stevanović","side":"away"},{"id":11176,"name":"Oleksandr Romanchuk","side":"away"},{"id":11182,"name":"Vladimir Screciu","side":"away"},{"id":11186,"name":"Nicușor Bancu","side":"away"},{"id":11191,"name":"Carlos Mora","side":"away"},{"id":11192,"name":"Tudor Băluță","side":"away"},{"id":11185,"name":"Alexandru Cicâldău","side":"away"},{"id":11200,"name":"Luca Băsceanu","side":"away"},{"id":11193,"name":"Monday Etim","side":"away"},{"id":11188,"name":"Ștefan Baiaram","side":"away"},{"id":11187,"name":"David Matei","side":"away"},{"id":11190,"name":"Assad Al-Hamlawi","side":"away"},{"id":11183,"name":"Samuel Teles","side":"away"},{"id":2333,"name":"Simon Elisor","side":"away"},{"id":88726,"name":"Baptiste Roux","side":"away"},{"id":11189,"name":"Steven Nsimba","side":"away"},{"id":10930,"name":"João Lameira","side":"away"},{"id":2579,"name":"Răzvan Sava","side":"away"},{"id":11987,"name":"Mihnea Rădulescu","side":"away"},{"id":11179,"name":"Adrian Rus","side":"away"},{"id":12482,"name":"Ronaldo Webster","side":"away"},{"id":22071,"name":"Heriberto Tavares","side":"away"},{"id":52598,"name":"Alexandru Maxim","side":"away"},{"id":22624,"name":"Alexandru Glodean","side":"away"},{"id":11194,"name":"Pavlo Isenko","side":"away"},{"id":11199,"name":"Alexandru Crețu","side":"away"},{"id":37514,"name":"Alexandru Iamandache","side":"away"},{"id":11675,"name":"David Barbu","side":"away"},{"id":11201,"name":"Denys Muntean","side":"away"},{"id":52269,"name":"Sebastian Șerban","side":"away"},{"id":211455,"name":"Eric Călugărescu","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":32025,"name":"Soule Sidibe","side":"home","team":"Inter Club d'Escaldes","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":1,"starts":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":9,"tracked_apps":0,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.008,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":61,"country":0}},{"id":36296,"name":"Faysal Chouaib","side":"home","team":"Inter Club d'Escaldes","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":1,"starts":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":9,"tracked_apps":0,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.008,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":11193,"name":"Monday Etim","side":"away","team":"Universitatea Craiova","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":8,"starts":5,"goals":2,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":20,"tracked_apps":8,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":2,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"FC Voluntari","kickoff":1787499000,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.096,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":11188,"name":"Ștefan Baiaram","side":"away","team":"Universitatea Craiova","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":9,"starts":4,"goals":1,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":20,"tracked_apps":7,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"UTA Arad","kickoff":1784398500,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"4-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["chance_creator"],"importance":0.068,"country":{"team":null,"apps":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"tournament":null,"lately":null},"load":{"games":3,"minutes":187,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":398,"away":359},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":0,"l":1},"below":null},"away":{"above":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":0},"below":null}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":1663,"name":"Felip Ortiz","vs":null},"away":{"id":478,"name":"Filipe Coelho","vs":null}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":7534,"name":"Winsley Boteli Mokango","goals":7,"rank":1},{"id":7260,"name":"Kevin Behrens","goals":6,"rank":2},{"id":4244,"name":"Andreas Cornelius","goals":5,"rank":3},{"id":3772,"name":"Davy Klaassen","goals":5,"rank":4},{"id":4654,"name":"Cyriel Dessers","goals":4,"rank":5},{"id":30956,"name":"Ercan Kara","goals":4,"rank":6},{"id":5264,"name":"Marko Pjaca","goals":4,"rank":7},{"id":3568,"name":"Mohamed Elyounoussi","goals":4,"rank":8},{"id":16348,"name":"Nicklas Røjkjær","goals":4,"rank":9},{"id":3777,"name":"Oscar Gloukh","goals":4,"rank":10},{"id":3566,"name":"Robert","goals":4,"rank":11},{"id":7558,"name":"Andrin Hunziker","goals":3,"rank":12},{"id":3263,"name":"Gue-sung Cho","goals":3,"rank":13},{"id":27525,"name":"Hjalte Boe Rasmussen","goals":3,"rank":14},{"id":5592,"name":"Max Bruns","goals":3,"rank":15}],"round_label":"League phase · Matchday 2","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":0,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":null,"away_goals":null,"avg_total_goals":null,"home_win_rate":null,"away_win_rate":null,"recent_matches":[]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":398,"position":34,"played":1,"points":0,"goal_diff":-2,"team_name":"Inter Club d'Escaldes","won":0,"drawn":0,"lost":1,"goals_for":0,"goals_against":2,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":359,"position":19,"played":1,"points":1,"goal_diff":0,"team_name":"Universitatea Craiova","won":0,"drawn":1,"lost":0,"goals_for":1,"goals_against":1,"group":null},"size":36},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.33,"record":"2-2-2","goals_for":1.33,"goals_against":0.83,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"LWWDDL","venue_ppg":2},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.67,"record":"5-1-0","goals_for":2.67,"goals_against":0.17,"clean_sheets":5,"streak":"won 5","sequence":"DWWWWW","venue_ppg":2.5}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter Club d'Escaldes report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Universitatea Craiova report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.382,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.618,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.table","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Felip Ortiz is 10 games into the job at Inter Club d'Escaldes, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Felip Ortiz","matches_in_charge":10,"tenure_days":465,"ppm":0.9,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.2,"after_ppm":1.2,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Filipe Coelho is 3 games into the job at Universitatea Craiova. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Filipe Coelho","matches_in_charge":3,"tenure_days":12,"ppm":2.33,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":2.1,"after_ppm":2.33,"delta":null}},"strength":0.35,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":2.1}]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Inter Club d'Escaldes come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":7},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Universitatea Craiova come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":3.9479166666666665,"matchesIn7":2,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":3.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.0748172410089967 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.107,"defence":0.143,"effective_matches":2.9,"shrunk":0.74},"away":{"attack":0.003,"defence":0.005,"effective_matches":1.1,"shrunk":0.88},"sample":1.0748172410089967,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Universitatea Craiova average 10 points more possession than Inter Club d'Escaldes, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":45.9,"shots":null,"xg_per_shot":null,"corners":4.4,"corners_per_shot":null,"finishing_vs_xg":null},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":56,"shots":20.3,"xg_per_shot":0.111,"corners":5.8,"corners_per_shot":0.288,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.33},"possession_gap":-10.1},"strength":0.406,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":2.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-2.1}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"No chance data on record for Inter Club d'Escaldes's recent matches, so finishing cannot be compared to chances.","evidence":{"matches":12},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Universitatea Craiova have scored 4 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.33,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"104 yellow cards in this referee's last 21 games, where 48 would be usual in this league, and 7 reds. — though 21 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":21,"yellows_per_match":4.95,"reds_per_match":0.333,"league_yellows_per_match":2.28,"league_reds_per_match":0.11,"yellow_ratio":2.17,"red_ratio":3.04,"sample":21,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":7.9,"temperature_c":17,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.2939916836779091},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Universitatea Craiova sit 19th and arrive under Filipe Coelho with five wins from six alongside five clean sheets, yet their stellar form masks a visitor whose recent results flatters them against 34th-placed hosts who are a completely different side at home under Felip Ortiz despite his ongoing settling period. Inter Club d'Escaldes line up in a 4-3-3 with Javier Díaz in goal, whereas the visitors counter in a 3-4-3 through Laurenţiu Popescu. The home side has won two of their last six and managed three shutouts, meaning they can frustrate the opposition's front line of Monday Etim and Ștefan Baiaram. Ultimately, the defensive resilience of Inter Club d'Escaldes will decide it against Soule Sidibe and Faysal Chouaib.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5481,"created_at":"2026-10-16T02:15:21Z","event":{"id":601381,"event_date":"2026-10-22T16:45:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":398,"home_team":"Inter Club d'Escaldes","away_team_id":359,"away_team":"Universitatea Craiova","league_id":83,"league_name":"Conference League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":58.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5876,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792657902,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#2542c1","away":"#0e6baf"},"venue":{"name":"DEVK-Arena","city":"Sant Julia de Loria","capacity":1000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}