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call.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.047,"defence":-0.057,"effective_matches":3,"shrunk":0.73},"away":{"attack":0.118,"defence":0.225,"effective_matches":3,"shrunk":0.73},"sample":3.03077451069987,"required":6},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Brighton & Hove Albion average 15 points more possession than Getafe, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":42.1,"shots":13,"xg_per_shot":0.076,"corners":5,"corners_per_shot":0.385,"finishing_vs_xg":0.1},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":57.5,"shots":18.7,"xg_per_shot":0.1,"corners":5.8,"corners_per_shot":0.308,"finishing_vs_xg":0.55},"possession_gap":-15.4},"strength":0.6,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":3.2},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-3.2},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-3}]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Getafe are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.1,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Brighton & Hove Albion have scored 7 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.55,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"38 yellow cards in this referee's last 15 games, exactly what this league averages, and 1 red. — though 15 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":15,"yellows_per_match":2.53,"reds_per_match":0.067,"league_yellows_per_match":2.53,"league_reds_per_match":0.123,"yellow_ratio":1,"red_ratio":0.54,"sample":15,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":6.2,"temperature_c":12,"description":"unknown"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.2801560893022186},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6853,"created_at":"2026-10-30T02:15:13Z","event":{"id":601371,"event_date":"2026-11-05T20:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":50,"home_team":"Getafe","away_team_id":5,"away_team":"Brighton & Hove Albion","league_id":83,"league_name":"Conference League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":59.9,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.5994,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793899705,"verdicts":[{"narrative":"Brighton & Hove Albion will take the points here despite travelling badly, because their football points straight to a win. Underneath their recent three wins in six, they have carved out the better chances in eight of their last ten matches, proving they create danger even when they have less of the ball. The hosts miss their usual anchor at the back alongside two attacking options, which blunts their threat. Brighton can happily absorb pressure, given they thrive without possession and shut the door with four clean sheets in six, leaving Georginio Rutter to punish a leaky defence and decide it.","drivers":[{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Brighton & Hove Albion average 15 points more possession than Getafe, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":42.1,"shots":13,"xg_per_shot":0.076,"corners":5,"corners_per_shot":0.385,"finishing_vs_xg":0.1},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":57.5,"shots":18.7,"xg_per_shot":0.1,"corners":5.8,"corners_per_shot":0.308,"finishing_vs_xg":0.55},"possession_gap":-15.4},"strength":0.6,"moves":[{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":3.2},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-3.2},{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-3}]}],"set_aside":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.718,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.282,"moves":[]}]}],"locked":true,"plan":"monthly","locked_calls":1,"colors":{"home":"#1559a2","away":"#0c4b93"},"venue":{"name":"Coliseum Alfonso Pérez","city":"Getafe","capacity":17393},"pulled":[],"published":[]}