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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"FC Thun are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.01,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"HNK Hajduk Split have scored 7 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.59,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"138 yellow cards in this referee's last 35 games, where 80 would be usual in this league, and 3 reds.","evidence":{"matches":35,"yellows_per_match":3.94,"reds_per_match":0.086,"league_yellows_per_match":2.28,"league_reds_per_match":0.11,"yellow_ratio":1.73,"red_ratio":0.78},"strength":0.6,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":15}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":4.8,"temperature_c":8,"description":null},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.2939916836779091},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Hajduk Split should control this game comfortably as they look to exploit a struggling home side. Thun find themselves down in 30th after losing four of their last six games, hampered by a wasteful approach that sees them firing from poor areas rather than crafting quality openings. While Hajduk sits 10th after winning three of their last six, their superior structure makes them clear favorites. Missing key anchors at the back and in midfield leaves Thun vulnerable to a clinical attack spearheaded by Michele Šego. The visitors will dictate the tempo while Thun relies on desperate, low-percentage efforts. With the referee quick to produce cards, a disciplined display will be the deciding factor for a clinical Hajduk side.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5459,"created_at":"2026-10-16T02:15:21Z","event":{"id":601355,"event_date":"2026-10-22T19:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":255,"home_team":"FC Thun","away_team_id":2343,"away_team":"HNK Hajduk Split","league_id":83,"league_name":"Conference League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":39.4,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3941,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792658019,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#d11127","away":"#22419a"},"venue":{"name":"Stockhorn Arena","city":"Thun","capacity":10398},"pulled":[],"published":[]}